Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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Per usual, you're going to want exposure on both sides of Coors Field tonight. The Nationals come in with one of baseball's most potent offenses, and the solid-but-not-spectacular Tyler Anderson isn't enough to push us off. Still, the prospect of spot-starting Jacob Turner in Coors Field is maybe even more appealing. The former first-round pick has never lived up to his pedigree, and is only cracking the Washington rotation today due to rotation shuffling with Stephen Strasburg on paternity leave. We haven't seen much of Turner since 2014 (just 24 IP in the bigs since then), but the track record tells us he can't get major league hitters out. In 323 career innings, he's struck out just 5.85 per 9 and owns a 4.45 xFIP. Meanwhile, the Rockies own a .375 wOBA and .215 ISO at Coors since the beginning of 2016. Also worth noting: Turner's quasi-reverse splits. He's yielded a .371 wOBA vs. righties in his career, compared to .321 vs. lefties, but his xFIP (4.76) is actually higher against lefties due to the fact that his Ks and walks are virtually equal in the split. All that we take away from that is that everybody's in play for Colorado today.
The Rangers offense hasn't been great this season, but there's still plenty of GPP goodness in this lineup, and Phil Hughes should accentuate it. He's an extreme fly-ball pitcher with a long history of HR problems, and Globe Life Park is one of the better hitting environments in baseball. Hughes lives in the strike zone, but that's about the only nice thing we can say about him. Dating back to 2015, he's struck out less than 6 per 9, with a 34% hard contact rate and 1.7 HRs/9. He's also close to split-neutral, with a .353 wOBA allowed vs. righties over than span, and .348 vs. lefties. So, pretty much any Rangers bat you like is in play here, but the projection system is highest on Carlos Gomez, Mike Napoli and Rougned Odor, each of whom come with plenty of upside.
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Another great hitter's park inhabited by a bad pitcher here, as Matt Garza will be taking the hill for the first time this season. He actually did an admirable job of limiting homers last season, but don't let that deter you too much, because he's still a soft target. He owns a 4.50 xFIP dating back to 2015, and lefties have been especially rough on him (.365 wOBA, 4.98 xFIP). The obvious Cincinnati bats (Billy Hamilton, Joey Votto) are your best bets, but don't sleep on the power bats elsewhere in the lineup. Miller Park is one of the most homer-friendly venues in baseball, and Adam Duvall and Scott Schebler come with intriguing upside in that kind of setting.
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