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I’m just going to avoid Coors today, we all know those teams are well in play for GPP’s as always, but if you need a cheaper team to pair with them, or just want to fade entirely there are a few other teams for you to consider. First up we have the Indians. The tribe blanked the White Sox 7-0 last night and should continue that domination into the series finale this afternoon. Although they’re not in that other hitter friendly field in Chi-Town, Guaranteed Rate Field has it’s own perks, though the wind may not be one of them this afternoon as it’s only forecasted at a light 3MPH blowing across to right. The Sox will send southpaw Derek Holland to the hill to face down the Indians battalion of batters . Holland ended last season with a decent .260 wOBA against left handed hitters, but it rose to .346 against right handers. Look for switch hitters Carlos Santana, Francisco Lindor, and Jose Lindor to hit from the right side today adding adding to the right handed bats of Edwin Encarnacion and Brandon Guyer You can work in lefties Michael Brantley, and Jason Kipnis if you like, though I’d be cautious with Kipnis as he’s still fresh of the DL and hasn’t found his groove yet.
The Rangers have taken 3 games of this series already from the Royals, and look to finish them out this afternoon in Arlington. They’ll be facing Jason Hammel to complete the four game sweep. Hammel is 0-1 in three starts this year with his new team. The Rangers will come at him primarily from the left, with Shin-soo Choo, Nomar Mazara, and Rougned Odor, you can complete that stack with Carlos Gomez. In the early going this year, the Rangers are sporting a .291 team wOBA but that quickly climbs to .308 when there’s a right hander on the mound. Their 25 combined home runs is the best in the American League, and they’re walking at 8.41%. Hammel has struggled in his first few starts back in the AL. He was striking out 7.78 batters per nine when he was facing pitchers with the world champions, but in the designated hitter league he’s down to 5.17/9 in his first three starts. He hasn’t given up any long balls to date with the Royals, but over his career he’s allowed 1.11/9 at an even rate from both sides of the plate, so his first bomb could come this afternoon, especially with the wind blowing out to right at 12 mph.
This is my outside the box pick for the day. Miami will throw their righty heavy lineup at Luis Perdomo today as they wrap up their weekend in Petco Park. Sure, it’s hard to get the ball out here, but the Marlins have 21 home runs already this year which is fourth in the NL, and they’re pulling 39.2% of the time, and will have a 9MPH wind blowing out to right so they could potentially send some balls out over the right field wall. Even if they don’t get help from the long ball, they’re quick on the basepaths. Perdomo meanwhile, through one start this year, went 5.1 innings against the Giants, allowing 5 runs on 8 base runners, while only striking out 3. Last season he had a .355 wOBA against right handed bats, and .366 versus left. He also struggled mightily at Petco with a .375 wOBA and allowed 10 of his 23 total home runs surrendered at home. The Marlins will attack him from both sides of the plate with Dee Gordon, Martin Prado, Giancarlo Stanton, Justin Bour, and J.T. Realmuto as my top picks to stack against him.
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