Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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Yeah, it's chalk. Sue me. I'm only human, and like every other DFSer on the planet, my eyes light up when a team with as much thump as Baltimore enters the Great American Ballpark. And when Bronson Arroyo is taking the hill, it's just too much to resist. The wind is expected to be breezing in tonight, but that's only a slight concern, because the venue is one of the best in baseball for homers, Baltimore led MLB last season in home runs, ISO and ISO vs. RHP, and Arroyo has a long history of not striking guys out and giving up loads of fly balls. Odds are somebody's going deep tonight, and it could be multiple somebodies. The hard part is figuring out which one of the seven top candidates it might be. The best bet might be to just carpet bomb the whole lineup and get exposure to everybody.
Ok, so we gave you the obvious play. Now here's something entirely different. Sort of. Truth is, if you'd have asked anybody two weeks ago what they thought about the Blue Jays against a mediocre lefty in the Rogers Centre, they probably would've slotted them as one of the top two stacks on this slate. And that, precisely, is why we're writing them up here. I mean, I get it. They've been really, really bad to start 2017, and it's no fun building lineups with a bunch of dudes OPSing in the .500-.600 range. But we're trusting the true talent to come through for us, and even without Josh Donaldson in the lineup, there's nice upside for this lineup going against Brian Johnson, a 26-year-old non-prospect making his second big-league appearance. As a bonus: there's a good chance the size of the slate (15 games) and the Blue Jays' exaggerated struggles will keep their ownership low, so if this is night they rise from the dead, all the better for the few of use who will probably choose to roster them.
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I think Josh Tomlin is a guy you've at least got to consider stacking against every time he's out there. He's done an admirable job working around absurd HR rates each of the last two seasons (xFIP around 4.00 while giving up more than 1.8 HR/9), but the numbers declined last year, and he's gotten bombed in both of his 2017 starts. The conditions are right for that to continue tonight as Progressive Field is a nice hitters' park and we're expecting an out-bound breeze. Minus Joe Mauer, we like all of the Twins' 1-6 regulars here. And if you possess a special blend of optimism and masochism, I guess you can consider Byron Buxton for a wrap-around stack, as well.
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