Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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Who's ready to get weird? Ender Inciarte is pacing toward 50 bombs and the Braves are undefeated at home. Small sample sizes can be fun, right? Hey, I'm sure we've recommended Braves stacks at some point in the past, but if we have, the memory has been sufficiently suppressed. But here we are, with the Braves sporting the highest implied run total of the day. Could it be the stadium driving up the expectations for offense? Three games into its existence, Sun Trust Park is still a bit of a mystery, so probably not. With Jered Weaver, on the other hand, we know exactly what we're getting, and really, you need look no further than the Padres' righty to figure out why we (and Vegas) believe in the Braves' bats today. His xFIP has been hovering on the wrong side of 5.00 since the beginning of the 2015 season, and is somehow even worse vs. lefties. That puts Freddy Freeman, Inciarte and Nick Markakis squarely in play, even though the latter two aren't exactly GPP regulars.
If you just can't see rostering multiple Atlanta bats with limited HR upside, congratulations on your shrewd orthodoxy. Perhaps we can interest you in some Cleveland bats. Not that Michael Brantley is anybody's idea of a slugger, but we know this is a dangerous lineup. The 1-5 hitters present a tantalizing mix of high floor and respectable upside, and Kyle Gibson won't do much to lower either. In fairness, Gibson isn't terrible. He's actually around league average in most regards, but he doesn't strike guys out and the ability to miss bats if vital to success against Cleveland. They're loaded with switch hitters and lefties, and a year after posting the sixth-best wRC+ in baseball against RHP, they're in the top five in the early going of 2017. They can create offense in a lot of ways, and Vegas has them pegged to push across the second-most runs on tonight's slate. As usual, it's the top five hitters we're highest on, but Lonnie Chisenhall (.784 OPS vs. RHP last year) also deserves a look if you're seeking a play that might be just slightly off the radar.
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Disclaimer: I never get the Astros right. When everything seems lined up perfectly, it's their opponent that mashes. When I fade, they go off. They are the bane of my DFS existence and I wish they would get relegated to KBO. All that said, they're almost never a terrible play at home. There's home-run potential all over the lineup and Minute Maid Park caters to power. One caveat here, regarding the park: the Astros made some changes in the offseason, bringing in the CF wall from 436 feet to 409, and doing away with the death trap that was Tal's Hill. Obviously, that'll make HRs a little more doable in the deepest part of the park, but with less ground for the outfielders to cover, it will surely lead to fewer doubles and triples. It'll be a while before we know exactly how to work all that in, but as long as we've got the Crawford Boxes establishing an extremely short porch in left, and as long as the Astros roll out so many power-hitting righties, they're going to require our attention more often than not. Also worth noting, most of those righties fare well against same-handed splits, and Carlos Correa actually favors RHP. They get Jesse Chavez tonight, and while he's not a bad arm, at 33 years old, he does appear to be decline. More encouraging is his fly ball profile (in the 40% neighborhood). Counting on fly ball outs works fine in Anaheim, but equates to living dangerously at Minute Maid.
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