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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

04/14/2017
Brent Holloway

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/14/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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Pitchers

Stephen StrasburgStephen Strasburg FD 9900 DK 10800
Opponent - PHI (Nola) Park - @WSH
FD - 39.06 DK - 25.64

With the amount elite pitching available today, you're probably gonna have to pay up to keep up. And if you're dipping into the all-day slates, Strasburg makes a very interesting pivot off of Clayton Kershaw and Noah Syndergaard. That's not to imply that he's a safe play, because for a guy with this kind of talent, he can get blown up from time to time. But he also has ace-caliber stuff, with a career K/9 of 10.50 and a 2.84 xFIP. He'll be facing the Phillies today, who are a patient bunch, but getting deep into counts can elevate the number of punch-outs, and in the early going of 2017, the Phils have one of the league's highest K% (24%). Last season, they were among the worst offenses in baseball vs. RHP, with the fifth-highest K% and second-lowest wRC+. The lineup appears marginally improved this year, but not the to point that we're afraid of them. So while he's less of a sure thing than Kershaw, the similar upside and savings make him our first choice for all-day tournaments.
Felix HernandezFelix Hernandez FD 8900 DK 8600
Opponent - TEX (Perez) Park - @SEA
FD - 34.14 DK - 22.44

Again, I'm not sure how wise it is to skimp on your SP today, but I don't think that's what we're doing here. I think we're getting something resembling 2015 King Felix at something closer to his 2016 prices.  Last year, it looked like all the mileage Hernandez had accumulated was finally catching up to him. He endured the worst season of his career (4.45 xFIP) as his velocity and Ks continued to dip, paired with a dramatic rise in walks. Early in 2017, the velocity isn't all the way back, but he has regained a tick, and even though the results through his first two starts aren't great, there's a lot to be encouraged by -- mostly his 12:0 K:BB ratio through 11 innings. If he's got his command back, Hernandez is gonna be a tough customer again, and while the Rangers can throw some tough lefties at him, there's plenty of swing-and-miss in this lineup (see: Joey Gallo, Mike Napoli, Carlos Gomez all with career 24-plus K% vs. RHP). His ceiling isn't the same as the elite SPs, because it's been over a year since the last time Hernandez recorded double-digit Ks in game. But he can get you about a K per inning, which should put you decent position as long as you put the savings to good use.

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