Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/13/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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MILWAUKEE BREWERS

Early in 2017, the Brewers are looking like a pure boom-or-bust play. And so far, they've mostly busted. They struck out more frequently than any team in baseball last year, and their rate is even higher (29.9%) through the first 10 days of 2017. But they've also got plenty of pop in the lineup, and that could play well in Cincinnati, which consistently ranks among the MLB's most homer-happy venues. But I think we have have buried the lead here, and that's Bronson Arroyo, the 40-year-old soft-tosser who last week made his first MLB appearance since 2014. The intervening years appear to have taken another couple of ticks off of his already-sluggish fastball, and he was lighting up the gun at about 84 mph as the Cardinals smacked six hits, six runs and a pair of homers. He's also never been able to miss bats, and the last time he averaged more than 6 Ks/9 was 2008(!). In other words, for a team prone to swinging from the heels, this is a dream scenario, and we see massive upside for Milwaukee's 1-6 hitters.

DETROIT TIGERS

The Tigers won't have a favorable home run park working in their favor today, but they will have Phil Hughes, and sometimes that's just as good. Hughes is an extreme fly-ball pitcher who over the last couple of seasons appears to have completely lost the ability to make guys miss. In 2015-'16, he averaged less than 5.5 Ks/9 while allowing 1.68 HRs/9. Compounding the potential trouble with the Tigers, he's historically had his biggest HR problems vs. righties, and the Tigers are loaded with right-handed bats who handle RHP quite well. They won't have Ian Kinsler at the top of the lineup today, but there's plenty of potential in a stack of Nick Castellanos (.214 ISO vs. RHP last year), Miguel Cabrera (.258), Victor Martinez (.196) and Justin Upton (.225).

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CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Hey, if you want chalk, you can go with the Red Sox. They've got the highest implied run total on the board and if they go bananas on Chad Kuhl, it wouldn't surprise me at all. But telling you that Boston has a good lineup to roll out against a so-so starter is kinda boring. So, let's look elsewhere and try to find some lower ownership percentages. The White Sox should meet that criteria, because I'm guessing the 3.55 implied total is going to scare a lot of people off. It probably should. This isn't a team you want to commit to with half your lineups. But going against Josh Tomlin, I'm intrigued. Tomlin has excellent control, which we don't love, but he also gives up loads of homers, which we do. His lifetime HR/9 is 1.55 and he's hit career highs in each of the last two seasons, including 1.86/9 in 2016. He also doesn't show much favoritism, with an identical HR rate against lefties and righties, and virtually no FIP split to speak of either. So, he's a fine guy to target, and Progressive Field is a good park for offense. The downside here is the White Sox don't give us a many of the guys we usually look for in tourneys. But Jose Abreu and Todd Frazier can always make noise, and Tim Anderson also has enough power/speed to make him usuable. And if you're using those three, might as well go ahead and plug in Melky Cabrera in the three-hole for cheap. The whole stack on FanDuel will cost you less than $3K per player, which will come in handy if you're planning to use Darvish or MadBum in a large-field GPP.

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