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Per usual, both teams at Coors Field are firmly in play, but we're giving the Dodgers the edge, because we're not sure opposing pitcher Kyle Freeland is a real person. Rumor has it he's a 23-year-old lefty who had a 3.91 ERA and less than 7 Ks per 9 in Triple-A last year, but I dunno. Sounds fishy. Meanwhile, the Dodgers had their trouble with southpaws last year, but took some nice steps to correct those issues with the addition of lefty killers Logan Forsythe and Franklin Gutierrez. Respectively, they'll likely be at the top of and in the heart of the order, and both would make fine additions to your stack. But then again, so would practically everybody in this game. I wouldn't be overly concerned about splits vs. SP either, because Vegas has the Dodgers pegged for more than six runs in this one, and odds are the kid making his major league debut at baseball's worst pitcher's park isn't gonna survive all that long.
The Brewers found a way to keep the Colorado bats mostly in check during their four-game, season-opening set, giving up just three runs in the last two. Maybe that sorcery will continue tonight with Jimmy Nelson on the hill and the Cubs coming to town. Yeah. Maybe. Or -- just hear me out on this -- or maybe the the team with five hitters sporting a +.360 wOBA vs. RHP in the last two seasons will rattle some bats, and maybe Miller Park will play the top-five HR park it has proven itself to be, and maybe Jimmy Nelson will display the form that earned him a 5.12 FIP last season and get chased before the sixth inning like he did in 14 of his last 21 starts last year. But who knows. It's baseball. Anything could happen. If you choose to play the favorable odds, there's plenty to like the Cubs lineup. Virtually every hitter is worth some level of exposure, but Kyle Schwarber, Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant probably deserve the largest share of your investment. Also keep an eye on where Willson Contreras falls in the order. If he slides up out of the bottom third, he's going to be mighty attractive.
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Reports are that Shelby Miller worked out the kinks in his mechanics that had him dragging knuckles on his follow through last season, and that the velocity was back up in the spring. That's heartwarming and all, and it's great that he struck a bunch of guys out, but if we're chatting about the spring, how about those 17 hits and 11 runs he surrendered in 15.1 IP? It's totally conceivable that Miller will return to form in 2017, but it's also important to remember what that form was: average Ks and a FIP in the high-3s. That's fine, but it's not as intimidating as the 3.06 ERA he rang up in 2015 might have you remember. Plus, he accrued those numbers pitching for the Cardinals and Braves in pretty neutral offensive parks. Tonight he'll be in a hitter's haven taking on a potent bunch of bats from Cleveland. Vegas clearly isn't back on board with Miller yet, making the Indians the highest non-Coors total on the board. Until Miller proves otherwise, that sounds about right to us.
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