James Harden de los Rockets de Houston durante el duelo contra los Wizards de Washington el miércoles 9 de diciembre de 2015. (AP Foto/Nick Wass)
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Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 47 DK - 51.3
There are a lot of great, expensive options on tonight’s slate. That’s what happens when you have a bunch of fast-paced, scoring heavy squads facing off against each other. This is a fantastic night just to be a fan and the OKC/ GSW game is close to appointment television. Without Durant the Warriors aren’t as explosive a team and this one should be close. I think Westbrook is a little too expensive all things considered, but Curry is still coming at somewhat of a value. He’s gotten his deep ball groove back in the last three, shooting 46% from behind the arc on his way to blowouts in the last two. This game has a 221 over/under to open and OKC’s favored by two. It’s a great game to stack and I think you see major minutes from Curry.
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 35.26 DK - 37.9
He’s not all that good a point guard in real life but he should be seen as a solid option tonight considering the Hawks are without Paul Millsap (and to a lesser extent Kent Bazemore). Schroder sees a moderate usage bump without Millsap on the floor and should be in line for a few more shots against a Charlotte team about league average defending opposing point guards. The one knock against Schroder here is with the minutes. Too often he’ll see a rather steep minutes’ reduction though some of that has been due to blowouts in the short term. He got up 14 shots in only 28 minutes against the Blazers on Saturday and I do see that as the floor for his field goal attempts. Not a total bargain, but point guard is one of the weaker value positions on the board today.
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 29.86 DK - 31.7
There’s some chance you see lineups made up more of middle tier plays today because it should be a bit tougher to fit in the huge salaries without a ton of possible punts (though of course things always seem to change there). Hill is in that range is never exactly the most exciting DFS play on the board. But he has a decent matchup against a league average Indy team against opposing ones. Hill seems a slight usage bump without Rodney Hood and the Jazz are very much in win-now mode. The key for Hill is seeing minutes in the mid 30’s. There’s no guarantee on that even in a close game though you can somewhat live with it on his price. He’s played 37 in two of his last four (but played only 31 in the other two). It’s a close one with Hill but he’s a fine cash game option at the weakest position tonight.
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 60.8 DK - 65.56
This is going to look awfully similar to the write up we had on Harden the other night when he faced Denver. It’s a fantastic matchup against a team he just flat out destroyed on Saturday. Harden put up an absurd 40/10/10 line good for the play of the night. He was the entire Rockets’ team and while I don’t think you can expect the same performance he does represent an incredibly high floor. I suspect folks are making the decision between Harden and Westbrook tonight in the elite price tier. I’ll take Harden for the $1K+ discount in a game that should see a ton of points. Denver is second to last in the league in defensive efficiency this season thanks in large part to games like Harden put up the other night.
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 34.17 DK - 37.38
Klay’s heating up! His last four games have been really something to behold from a shooting point of view. He’s knocking down 54% from the field and a crazy 53% fro behind the arc. That’s good for a 27 point per game average including two that saw reduced minutes because of blowouts. Except high 30’s minutes in terms of run tonight in what should be a shootout. He hasn’t see much of a price climb even with the recent performance and comes as a solid value play. He’ll likely draw Oladipo for much of the game, but I’m not concerned there.
Opponent - PHI
Proj Pts FD - 27.46 DK - 30.17
He could fit a specific need tonight if needing to round out lineups along the middle pricing tier. Philly’s struggled this season against SG/SF types allowing league average scoring but above average rebounding and assists. Fournier’s put up 18 or more shots in two of his last three games and we want him jacking up threes in this one. He has solid scoring upside (at these prices) if he’s bombing from beyond the arc and scoring is the name of his game in this offense. He’s isn’t a favorite to add much (beyond some steals here and there) elsewhere along the fantasy line. But I like the chance at solid minutes and do think he draws a good matchup in the Sixers.
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 60.8 DK - 65.56
This is going to look awfully similar to the write up we had on Harden the other night when he faced Denver. It’s a fantastic matchup against a team he just flat out destroyed on Saturday. Harden put up an absurd 40/10/10 line good for the play of the night. He was the entire Rockets’ team and while I don’t think you can expect the same performance he does represent an incredibly high floor. I suspect folks are making the decision between Harden and Westbrook tonight in the elite price tier. I’ll take Harden for the $1K+ discount in a game that should see a ton of points. Denver is second to last in the league in defensive efficiency this season thanks in large part to games like Harden put up the other night.
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 34.17 DK - 37.38
Klay’s heating up! His last four games have been really something to behold from a shooting point of view. He’s knocking down 54% from the field and a crazy 53% fro behind the arc. That’s good for a 27 point per game average including two that saw reduced minutes because of blowouts. Except high 30’s minutes in terms of run tonight in what should be a shootout. He hasn’t see much of a price climb even with the recent performance and comes as a solid value play. He’ll likely draw Oladipo for much of the game, but I’m not concerned there.
Opponent - PHI
Proj Pts FD - 27.46 DK - 30.17
He could fit a specific need tonight if needing to round out lineups along the middle pricing tier. Philly’s struggled this season against SG/SF types allowing league average scoring but above average rebounding and assists. Fournier’s put up 18 or more shots in two of his last three games and we want him jacking up threes in this one. He has solid scoring upside (at these prices) if he’s bombing from beyond the arc and scoring is the name of his game in this offense. He’s isn’t a favorite to add much (beyond some steals here and there) elsewhere along the fantasy line. But I like the chance at solid minutes and do think he draws a good matchup in the Sixers.
Strongly consider Tim Hardaway if he draws the start for Bazemore. Gary Harris is also a solid play if Gallo sits again.
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 23.2 DK - 25.31
He’s been the clear beneficiary of the Rodney Hood injury and assuming the latter is out again on Monday then you can fire Ingles right back into cash game lineups. He’s played 36 minutes each of the last two games as a starter and averaged an 11/4/5. That’s more than enough to get the job done on these salaries. He doesn’t have enormous upside considering where he falls in the offensive chain of command, but the minutes offset it as his versatility keeps him on the floor for long stretches. If Hood sits again you’ll see him again as one of the more popular plays on the slate because of the salary relief.
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 22 DK - 23.16
It sure feels like he should see a bunch more minutes with both Millsap and Kent Bazemore sitting this one out. Though that wasn’t the case Saturday against the Blazers, I think it’s reasonable to expect at least 30 minutes out of Thabo if the game stays close. He’s a punt play plain and simple on the assumption that the Hawks being so shorthanded from key minutes’ guys will need him on the court for longer. Thabo doesn’t excel in any one particular area, but he’s coming at or around the minimums. Sometimes that’s good enough to get the job done on a night with a bunch of enticing expensive options.
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 25.19 DK - 26.93
It seemed like just about everyone on the Rockets except Harden was a disappointment against the Nuggets on Saturday. But that doesn’t mean we should write them off tonight. While there’s no early line on the game (presumably waiting on the Gallo news) we can assume it will be right up there with the OKC/ GSW game in terms of implied points. Ariza still has a high minutes floor and can score when the three is falling. He didn’t see many looks (only 4, mesh) in the last game but he’s averaging more than double that on the season. Here’s to hoping others look at that last game as a one-to-one comp for what the expectation is tonight. Ariza has big upside at these prices.
Consider Terrence Ross on the cheap
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 27.17 DK - 29.01
This follows some of the same line of thinking as the Thabo write up in that it sure feels like Ersan should see more minutes (potentially a lot) with Millsap and Baze off the court tonight. He only played 27 on Saturday, but that game was well out of hand by the fourth and that was the end of his run. He still managed an borderline great (at his prices) 23/4/1/2/1 line. The especially encouraging piece was his 11 shot attempts showing he can get looks when running with the starters. I think you see him as one of the more popular plays on FanDuel tonight considering we already know Millsap's status and Ersan is a relatively known quantity at this point.
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 24.16 DK - 25.2
Richaun was well on his way to an unreal game against the Mavs on Friday until the Sixers inexplicably blew out Dallas and the starters sat. Then yesterday he played 29 minutes filling in for an injured Okafor and 8/7/5/4/2 to more than pay off his price. At these salaries it’s all about the minutes for Holmes who will likely be a chalk play at least on FanDuel if he enters the game as the starter. He can put up numbers on a per minute basis and the Magic don’t have much in the way of interior defense when Vuce is playing major minutes at center.
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 38.74 DK - 41.21
With the Warriors causing to blowouts in the last two Green hasn’t been asked to do too terribly much. The games were easy and he only played 25 and 30 minutes respectively. Don’t expect that the be the case tonight and if it stays close, his defense versatility could mean upwards up 40 minutes if the game breaks right. Drayman does need all of those minutes at these prices considering he’s the (distant) third option on offense after Steph and Klay. He makes his bones on the glass and with about the best assist numbers you’ll see out of the power forward position. He’s not a lock in cash games and I do think a bunch of cheap value will crop up, but I see him as a solid floor guy.
Strongly consider Nikola Jokic and Blake Griffin on the expensive end.
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 27.17 DK - 29.01
This follows some of the same line of thinking as the Thabo write up in that it sure feels like Ersan should see more minutes (potentially a lot) with Millsap and Baze off the court tonight. He only played 27 on Saturday, but that game was well out of hand by the fourth and that was the end of his run. He still managed an borderline great (at his prices) 23/4/1/2/1 line. The especially encouraging piece was his 11 shot attempts showing he can get looks when running with the starters. I think you see him as one of the more popular plays on FanDuel tonight considering we already know Millsaps’ status and Ersan is a relatively known quantity at this point.
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 24.16 DK - 25.2
Richaun was well on his way to an unreal game against the Mavs on Friday until the Sixers inexplicably blew out Dallas and the starters sat. Then yesterday he played 29 minutes filling in for an injured Okafor and 8/7/5/4/2 to more than pay off his price. At these salaries it’s all about the minutes for Holmes who will likely be a chalk play at least on FanDuel if he enters the game as the starter. He can put up numbers on a per minute basis and the Magic don’t have much in the way of interior defense when Vuce is playing major minutes at center.
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 38.74 DK - 41.21
With the Warriors causing to blowouts in the last two Green hasn’t been asked to do too terribly much. The games were easy and he only played 25 and 30 minutes respectively. Don’t expect that the be the case tonight and if it stays close, his defense versatility could mean upwards up 40 minutes if the game breaks right. Drayman does need all of those minutes at these prices considering he’s the (distant) third option on offense after Steph and Klay. He makes his bones on the glass and with about the best assist numbers you’ll see out of the power forward position. He’s not a lock in cash games and I do think a bunch of cheap value will crop up, but I see him as a solid floor guy.
Strongly consider Nikola Jokic and Blake Griffin on the expensive end.
Jason SmithJuan Hernangomez if Gallo is out again.
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 36.26 DK - 38.21
Did you ever think you’d see this many Hawks in a picks article? Me neither. But that’s what happens when the best player on a team (and another auxiliary part) are going to sit out and leave somewhere in the high 50’s in the minutes on the table. Howard’s price is fair across the industry and he should see both a minutes and usage uptick without Millsap. Charlotte’s been hurt on the glass this season by opposing centers are allowing about 3% more rebounding than league average to the position. Dwight was one of the few Hawks who saw his full compliment of minutes against the Blazers on Saturday and put up a 14/10/3/5 (steals) that brought him to value. The defensive numbers are likely outliers, but you can almost pencil him in for a double-double if the minutes are there.
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 34.67 DK - 37.67
It sure seems like Plumlee will continue starting even when Gallo returns to the court (which could be today). Mason's been real good in the short term, averaging 33 minutes per game over his last three and a 12/10 in that time period. With Wilson Chandler still out there's room for minutes in the front court and Plumlee's recent play suggests he sticks in the starting lineup for at least the short term. He's seen a moderate price climb but I'm still very much buying in this matchup.
Strongly consider Bismarck Biyombo if Vucevic sits tonight.
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View Comments
Why do you suggest George Hill every time he plays? He's paid below 4× value 3 of his last 5 games. He also leaves games often. He's far from a safe pick.
Right and he lost minutes in one of those games because of a blowout. With implied close spreads he sees high 30's minutes and sees a usage bump without Hood. Pretty simple really.
Why wouldn't a player like prince be recommendEd that almost 50% of DFS Lineups chose anyway? Wouldn't yall recommend a good pick like that over a hit and miss like hill?
Not a huge Hill guy or a revenge game conspiracy believer but this is Hill's first game back to IND. The last game against IND he torched them for 45 FD pts. Not a game I love touching but Hill and Gobert in my eyes are nice plays if Hood sits.
you going to put up your analysis today? ;)
He mentioned that the jazz need a win! So, he suggested hill! If I read that right!
They suggest Hill every time the Jazz play. I hope a lot of people read this article and jump on George Hill. Cause he won't be in any of my lineups
Let em know Ryan!!!
Usually is the same people always in these picks. George hill is 💩 And is always mentioned
If you don't like the picks why continue to use the site? George Hill has paid off for me multiple times, and it is a good spot for him to again. I hope he drops 40!
G Hill narrative too. 48 DK points vs Indiana last game.
I understand George Hill can have a great game. Im not saying he can't. Im.just saying more often than not he pays below value. That seems odd to suggest a player like that every time. I also find it odd to suggest Biyombo if Vucevic sits. Vucevic hasn't missed a game in almost 2 weeks and isn't listed on an Injury report. Some of the comments about players makes me wonder if the guys on this site even watch bball.
I don't see Hill all the time, just when he's relevant. I only use this site daily though. I don't think Hill tosses DFSR royalty money to drop his name on the Opti list if that's whats being implied ha ha
Ruben Badillo @1RubenBadillo
Nikola Vucevic is nursing an Achilles injury and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the 76ers tonight.
George Hill is always a GPP. No "expert" in their right mind would recommend him in cash games.jameer nelson torched the Rockets the other night and is $600 cheaper on Fanduel. Huge O/U in that game. chandler and Gallo out. sooooo huh?
Orlando Magic center Nikola Vucevic did not practice Sunday because his right Achilles tendon flared up.
What It Means:
Not a good sign for Vucevic's availability on Monday as he sat out four games with the injury just two weeks ago. He also sprained his ankle on Thursday, likely causing the flare up in his Achilles. If he is unable to play, Bismack Biyombo will jump into the starting lineup with Stephen Zimmerman backing him up.
My big guys tonight are Tim Hardaway Jr, Richaun Holmes and Ersan Iiyasova. Going 100 % on them and getting Westbrook and Harden in.