Washington Wizards guard John Wall (2) goes to the basket against Los Angeles Lakers guard Jordan Clarkson (6) during the second half of an NBA basketball game, Wednesday, Dec. 2, 2015, in Washington. The Lakers won 108-104. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 28.27 DK - 30.94
Derrick Rose left last game, and we are expecting him to miss this one. If Rose plays, Jennings is nowhere near as good of a play. Rose has missed 3 games over the last 20, and Jennings has been great in his spot. In those 3 games, Jennings finished with 27, 34 and 27. He also hit over 20 in a few games where Rose did play. The Hawks haven't been great against PG's this season, as Dennis Schroder is a much worse defender than Jeff Teague. Jennings takes plenty of shots, and he is not shy about having the ball in his hand. He should see an easy 34 minutes if Rose is out, and will be a lock for cash games. He would be close to a tournament must as well, as his upside combined with price gives him the capability to be a guy that could be a must to win. With that being said, there are always a lot of ways to go at point guards, and today is no different. Let's take a look at a few guys you can target if you want to pay up.
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 49.16 DK - 52.37
Wall has been awesome this year, and it doesn't look like he plans on letting up anytime soon. The Pelicans present an interest match up, and one I have a lot of interest in. Jrue Holiday is a decent man to man defender, but the Pelicans play fast and have poor defensive efficiency. In result, they give up the 8th most fantasy points to PG's. Wall is the guy who makes this offense go, and he should be right back at it tonight against the Pels. The minutes are a guarantee, as the Wizards didn't play yesterday and they don't play tomorrow. This is a game with a lot of upside, and I love a game stack in tournaments. If this stays close, Wall, Beal, AD and Holiday all have a bunch of upside. Wall is someone I will have exposure to in all formats, and think he is one of the safer options on the board.
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 47.23 DK - 50.67
Demar Derozan is officially questionable to play in this one, but we will write this article with the assumption that he sits. If Derozan ends up suiting up, Lowry will just turn into a tournament play, and Norman Powell will lose most appeal. If Derozan sits, both of them are phenomenal options. The Raptors will face off with the Magic tonight, who don't play much defense and don't mind running the floor a little bit. Elfrid Payton is an average defender by himself, but the lack of a center that plays defense hurts the entire defense. As long as Nikola Vucevic is in the middle of the defense, you can target point guards that like to attack the rim. Lowry should be able to dice this defense up, and I do expect this one to stay close with no Derozan. Lowry is a bit cheaper than Wall, and offers close to the same floor and upside.
Opponent - CLE
Proj Pts FD - 28.5 DK - 30.57
This is another game with some fun potential, and should be one of the best games to watch. However, there isn't too much to love in terms of DFS. OF course, the likes of Westbrook and the big 3 are great tournament plays, but are just too much for tournament when you look at the slate as a whole. Oladipo is a guy I am willing to target in cash games, though, and will have a lot of him. The Cavs have been sporting a lot of Kyle Korver at the 2, and I will love to see how that turns out. Oladipo should get some extra run if Korver matches up with him, as I assure you Westbrook sees that as a mismatch. 'Dipo has always had the upside, and I still think it's there, though it just surfaces less. This is a game where we could see it, as the Cavs could double team Westbrook and the offense could be funneled his way. Even if none of that happens and he just plays his game, value should be easy to come by in this match up.
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 25.92 DK - 27.62
Powell has seen a noticeable increase in price over the last week, so this isn't the must play it was the last couple games. However, he is still a guy who presents value at a position that lacks much appeal. Powell isn't a guy that will fill in and sit in the corner all game like P.J. Tucker. He loves to attack the basket, and has the green light to initiate this offense. He is very good, too, and I love watching him drive with a full head of steam. The Magic don't have anyone to stop his size, offering C.J. Watson and Mario Hezonja at SG. Powell should bully both of those guys, and I would expect a game around 30 fantasy points. If Demar Derozan makes an unexpected return tonight, Powell loses most of his shine.
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 23.74 DK - 25.99
It looks like Wesley Matthews will today, but the same can't be said for Deron Williams. He will miss the next 2 games, and knowing him, will probably miss a few after that. With Pierre Jackson straining his hamstring and getting released, Curry is really the only one that will get big minutes at PG. They picked up Yogi Ferrell, but doubt they throw him into more than 12 minutes. Curry has shown the upside, and the Spurs are a team that can be attacked by point guards. Tony Parker is a pretty bad defender at this point, and Curry could be the only guy that can get open. Kawhi Leonard will be on Harrison Barnes, so they will definitely find production elsewhere. Let's hope Curry is that elsewhere.
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 51.6 DK - 55.25
There are a lot of ways to pay up tonight, but not too many options that are overly appealing. Durant is one of the guy I am most interested in, as I just don't see who can cover him on this team. Maurice Harkless is way too small, Aminu is way too slow and Even Turner is just a horrible defender. Durant is going to have his way here, and if this one stays close, the upside is rediculous. I'm not sure this one will stay close, but Durant has the possibility to do enough in 3 quarters. The Warriors have to be winning by A LOT at this point to not thhe begining of the 4ht quarter rotation, which I don't expect here. The Blazers don't see much chance of a win here, but Lillard and McCollum should hit plenty of shots to keep it relatively close. The game i sin Portland, which is also a huge factor. Durant is my top option at SF, and will be used in all formats.
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 29.13 DK - 31.26
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 27.73 DK - 29.31
We have looked at 2 Raptors so far, and will end up targeting this game quite a bit from both sides. Aaron Gordon is a guy we have looked at a lot this year for upside, and he has come through on a consistent basis. The Magic are finally giving this guy some solid minutes, and he is showing them what we all knew he could do. This match up with the Raptors is a nice one, as they have nobody to cover him, and lack the rebounders to shut him down there. He should be able to rack up the peripherals, and I wouldn't be surprised to see one of his huge games here. I am relying on this game staying close, but strongly think it does, and so does Vegas. Gordon is naturally more of a tournament option, and would rather just go with Ariza in cash.
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 41.53 DK - 44.05
Draymond Green is still the same do-it-all guy he has been in past seasons, and his upside is still the same as it ever was. The triple double is always in play, and this is the type of game where it has a lot of potential. W all know the Blazers are bad down low, and they can be taken advantage of by a guy like Draymond. The Warriors should look to get him the ball often, as he will almost certainly see a mismatch with Aminu or Plumlee. He has distinct advantages over both, and the Warriors are fantastic at identifying those. The floor is there, and the upside is unquestioned. You can roster Draymond across the board.
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 29.66 DK - 31.21
Ibaka seems to be way too cheap in this spot, and he immediately jumped out to me as someone I wanted exposure to when I first looked at the slate. Patrick Patterson got the start last game, so would expect him to match up with Ibaka most of the time. Patterson is a pretty average defender, and doesn't help much in terms of rebounding. Ibaka should be able to score enough, and the peripheral upside could be huge. The Raptors have given up the 5th most rebounds to PF's, and the 9th most points with pace adjusted. The Raptors do drive the lane a lot, and the potential for blocks is always there in that case. These teams play at a similar pace, and should end somewhere in the 215 range. I love the game stack in all formats, and this is one I will have a lot of exposure to.
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 27.58 DK - 30.08
Ryan Anderson has been back for 3 games now, and he finally showed the minutes upside last time out. The shot hasn't been falling as of late, but i'm not going to wait until it does. This is Ryan Anderson, and we know the 3 point upside he has. Don't be the guy who has to see it for the 100th time to believe he can do it again. This match up with the Pacer should be pretty beneficial, as Thaddeus Young is not the guy who likes to play outside. H prefers to play down low, and bang around each play. I expect this game to stay pretty close, and the Rockets use Anderson in these games a ton. Myles Turner is pretty good against the pick n roll, which could force Harden to turn to alternative methods of scoring. I will target Anderson more in tournaments, but completely get the merit in cash games.
Opponent - NY
Proj Pts FD - 39.35 DK - 41.47
Howard is a completely different player this year, and we haven't heard drama or complaining out of him, for the first time in what seems like 10 years. He has also been pretty consistent on the floor, topping 35 fantasy points in 4 straight contests. The Knicks have been extremely weak against centers, giving up the 3rd most rebounds and allowing the 2nd best FG %. Howard should have plenty of easy looks at the rim, and the shots should certainly be there. Joakim Noah used to be a capable defender, but is far too slow at this point to stay with an athlete like Dwight Howard. I still think Okafor is safer with Embiid out, but Howard is a fantastic way to go in all formats.
Opponent - CLE
Proj Pts FD - 30.05 DK - 31.54
Adams sits right between Okafor and Howard in terms of price, and in terms of expected production too. All 3 of these guys are relatively safe, but Adams might be the safest. With Kanter punching a chair and fracturing his wrist, Adams will have his minutes locked in. Westbrook doesn't have too much fun with Sabonis and Lauvergne, so he will want Adams out there for as long as he can be. Tristan Thompson is a very similar rebounder, and this will absolutely be a battle down low. Adas should win plenty of the battles, and I see a double double as a lock. Adams is going to get you 25, and the upside for 40 is there if the game stays close. Adams is the only reliable big they have now, and he will be leaned on down the stretch.
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View Comments
Great article , thank you .
Any thoughts on center for the 6pm FD slate austyn ?
I can tell you who NOT to play....Jusuf Nurkic. DFSRbwas all over this clown yesterday. I have 2 words for them...NO BUENO! Tighten up boys.
Regarding Nurkic. Denver decided to play small ball, hence using Faried more at center and also less of Arthur. He is also prone to foul trouble and had 3 fouls in 15 minutes. If you don't get the minutes, you aren't going to score points. The projection system is exactly that, a system. It is up to you to decide the game flow and you can always click the X to eliminate players.
This is a tough day with not a lot of value. After I got burned by the likes of Randy Foye and Jerebko yesterday, I'm going balanced and not taking major chances today.
BigAl seems like a BigDBag. Computer projections did also not predict Chandler to have 0 at half with Faried and Gall going off. BigAl needs to tighten up on his common sense and logic. If systems could predict 100% on punt plays, everyone would be millionaires using them.
GL all