Hockey Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy Hockey Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings 11/15/16
Welcome to a huge night in daily fantasy hockey with 13 games on the NHL schedule. With just one game on Monday night only one team(TB) will be playing a back to back. With so many top goalies in good situations it will be very important to find value plays at multiple positions. Let's take a look at a few at each position.
Hockey is back and with it come our NHL projections which help inform these picks every night. When you purchase a DFSR NHL subscription to our base hockey projections you also get access to our brand new NFL DFS suite of tools including full projections, optimal NFL lineups and our Player Lab, which includes filters to help you create NFL lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings for any format. It’s a set of tools well beyond anything we’ve ever had, and something we feel will help our users *ahem* tackle the NFL season.
If you want to see the numbers behind our projections, create linueps with a single click, or research as deeply as your heart desires, click the button below to test out yourself.
GOALIES
Carey Price FD - $10500 DK - $8300
Opponent - FLA
Proj Pts FD - 14.26 DK - 3.56
Eventually he is going to lose a game right? At this point I am just not convinced it will happen and until he shows that he is actually human I will plug him in my lineups on a nightly basis. He has now won all 10 of his starts and leads the league with a 1.40 GAA and .957 save % leading the Habs to a NHL leading 27 points. They will look to extend their home unbeaten streak on Tuesday as -170 favorites to the Panthers who sit with a .500 record and 14th ranked offense. The only downside to Price tonight is his $10K+ salary on FanDuel where he should only be used in tournaments.
Henrik Lundqvist FD - $9100 DK - $8200
Opponent - VAN
Proj Pts FD - 14.18 DK - 3.54
While I prefer Price on DraftKings at just $100 more, I will take King Henrik in cash games all day on FanDuel at a $1,400 discount. The Rangers are the biggest favorites on the slate(writing this Monday evening) as they travel to Vancouver to face the Canucks. He has yet to reach his ceiling this season with an average .919 save % overall but has been getting close allowing two goals or less in three straight games. While he doesn't offer the upside of some other options in terms of shots against per game, he has the leagues #1 offense and #4 defense in front of him and can still be trusted in all formats.
Devan Dubnyk FD - $9000 DK - $7900
Opponent - CGY
Proj Pts FD - 14.45 DK - 3.61
With a projected ownership lower than Lundqvist due to a very similar price on both sites, Dubnyk makes an excellent GPP pivot tonight. Despite recording just a 4-3 record over the past three weeks, he has been very impressive with a .965 save % and three shutouts. Tuesday he matches up against a Flames team that has struggled early on with just five wins and ranking 24th in offense , scoring just 2.4 goals per game. The Wild are -185 home favorites where they have played much better with a 4-1 record.
CENTERS
Claude Giroux FD - $7200 DK - $6900
Opponent - OTT
Proj Pts FD - 17.65 DK - 5.84
Looking at the projections we notice right away that Claude Giroux is projected as the top center from a PTS/$ perspective. He comes at a discount from the top options at the position and is getting very heavy usage as the center piece of the Flyers offense. He is skating nearly 20 minutes per game on the top line while also playing close to four minutes on the leagues #2 powerplay. The Senators present a fairly tough test on Tuesday with a Top 10 defense but will have their hands full on the road in Philly where the Flyers are averaging 3.6 goals per game.
Stack With: Brayden Schenn, Wayne Simmonds, Jakub Voracek(PP)
Connor McDavid FD - $7900 DK - $8000
Opponent - ANA
Proj Pts FD - 16.14 DK - 5
On the surface it is a fairly neutral matchup as the Oilers offense has cooled off and ranks 11th while the Ducks sit just outside the Top 10 in defense so far this season. Look a little closer and we can find a ton of value in rostering McDavid tonight. First of all, his price has dropped to it's lowest point since early October on DraftKings while holding steady under $8K on FanDuel as well. The Oilers should get a few extra chances on the powerplay tonight as the Ducks currently lead the league in penalty minutes per game and at that volume their 9th ranked penalty kill will be tough to sustain.
PP Stack with: Jordan Eberle, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Milan Lucic
Travis Zajac FD - $4600 DK - $4600
Opponent - DAL
Proj Pts FD - 8.89 DK - 2.8
Whether you are looking for a salary relief option in cash games or a low owned stacking combination for tournaments the Devils have what you're looking for. They have been one of the surprises of the early season with an 8-3-3 record with the leagues #3 ranked defense. They don't have an over powering offense(23rd) but will get a boost tonight facing a struggling Stars team ranked 26th in defense, allowing 3.4 goals per game. Zajac comes at a very affordable mid $4K price tag on both sites making a great play in any format.
Stack with: Taylor Hall, P.A. Parenteau
WINGERS
Alexander Ovechkin FD - $8600 DK - $8400
Opponent - CBJ
Proj Pts FD - 20.29 DK - 6.55
Even with a high price tag Ovi continues to project as a top PTS/$ play. I would limit my exposure to tournaments only tonight as he has been held pointless in three straight and you are going to want a top goalie in cash games. He has an elite floor as he leads the league in shot attempts per 60 minutes(26.03) and arguably the highest ceiling as well as a seven time 50 goal scorer. Checking in with the Capitals practice their have been some radical changes for Tuesday including a value combo of Andre Burakovsky and Jay Beagle pairing up with Ovi.
Stack with: Jay Beagle, Andre Burakovsky
WATCH: #Caps head coach Barry Trotz talks to the media about new lines in practice and #CapsJacekts tomorrow night. https://t.co/FDcfwlHBOb pic.twitter.com/8ve5nDIoq9
— Washington Capitals (@Capitals) November 14, 2016
Alexander Radulov FD - $5800 DK - $5800
Opponent - FLA
Proj Pts FD - 10.39 DK - 3.24
After a long break from the NHL Radulov has returned and is contributing in a big way for the first place Canadiens. He is playing top line minute and has produced with 14 points through the first 16 games. In his last stop in the NHL he was more of a goal scorer but has taken on a role as setup man this time around playing with Galchenyuk, Gallagher, and Pacioretty who fire a ton of shots at the net on a nightly basis. The matchup doesn't scream high scoring game but with his role in the offense and price under $6K on both sites Radulov is a nice mid range value tonight.
Stack with: Alex Galchenyuk, Brendan Gallagher(PP), Paul Byron(Punt)
Travis Konecny FD - $4200 DK - $4500
Opponent - OTT
Proj Pts FD - 7.66 DK - 2.36
If you are looking to spend right down at one of your wing positions consider another Flyer playing a big role as a rookie. Konecny has fit comfortably into a second line scoring role with Voraeck and Couturier and until his price elevates above $5K he will be an elite value. He has tallied 10 points through 16 games and is also getting second unit powerplay time. His role should continue to grow. The Flyers are a recipe for fantasy points almost every time they play as they have a high scoring offense but weak defense leading to a ton of Vegas Overs. Konecny is safe in all formats.
Stack with: Sean Couturier, Jakub Voracek
DEFENSEMEN
Ryan Suter FD - $5600 DK - $5700
Opponent - CGY
Proj Pts FD - 10.81 DK - 3.59
With the need for a top goalie tonight I will be fading Brent Burns for cash games and jumping on the salary relief/value train. I will start with Ryan Suter who is having a fantastic offensive season for the Wild. Through 14 games he is already halfway(4) to his career high ion goals and has added eight assists and an impressive +9 rating. For fantasy he is playing heavy minutes which leads to added opportunities and is averaging just over two shots a game. At a price under $6K on both sites he is a safe option in any format.
Damon Severson FD - $4400 DK - $4600
Opponent - DAL
Proj Pts FD - 6.93 DK - 2.09
Speaking of career highs, there appears to be many on the horizon for young Damon Severson this season. He recorded just 17 points in 51 games in his rookie season and followed that up with just 21 in 72 games last year. Through 14 games he is second on the Devils in points with 11 through 14 games playing 20+ minutes and taking on a much bigger role on the powerplay. He is another one of the early season values that has yet to be priced correctly. Take advantage before it does or he cools off.
Also Consider: Morgan Rielly(TOR)
Hockey is back and with it come our NHL projections which help inform these picks every night. When you purchase a DFSR NHL subscription to our base hockey projections you also get accessto our brand new NFL DFS suite of tools including full projections, optimal NFL lineups and our Player Lab, which includes filters to help you create NFL lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings for any format. It’s a set of tools well beyond anything we’ve ever had, and something we feel will help our users *ahem* tackle the NFL season.
If you want to see the numbers behind our projections, create linueps with a single click, or research as deeply as your heart desires, click the button below to test out yourself.
image sources
- Carey_Price_-_Montreal_Canadiens (1): By Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA (IMG_8259) [CC BY-SA 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons
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I could be wrong, but I believe per the DraftKings player report that Alexander Radulov is not playing this Tuesday with an undisclosed illness. Is this true? if so who would start in his stead?
Hey Justin it looks like Danult is getting bumped to the 1st line witg byron and galchenyuk. It was that way at practice and it shows that Terry practiced on the 1st pp