featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Value Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 6 10/16/16
We covered our main cash game plays in our Week 6 Picks where we touched on Antonio Brown, Sammie Coates, TY Hilton, Doug Baldwin, and Mike Wallace. For this piece we will touch on some of the cheaper targets you can use for salary relief and/or GPP upside.
In case you didn’t notice, we just released our brand new NFL DFS suite of tools including full projections, optimal NFL lineups and our Player Lab, which includes filters to help you create NFL lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings for any format. It’s a set of tools well beyond anything we’ve ever had, and something we feel will help our users *ahem* tackle the NFL season.
WIDE RECEIVER AND TIGHT END VALUES
Brandon Marshall FD 7500
Opponent ARI
Proj Points FD - 15.83 DK - 19.05
Marshall would have been a slam dunk for the main picks article had the Jets not been playing outside of the main slate. What can you really say about the guy? With Eric Decker gone, he's garnered a ridiculous 27% and 19% of the target share in New York, and had the type of production that follows. He's averaged 19 fantasy points per week against Seattle and Pittsburgh, which is pretty impressive considering that Seattle has allowed the 2nd fewest passing yards per game including Marshall's fine game against them. He's the clear first look in the red zone once they get down there, and their main chain-mover as well. It's not a super easy match-up with Arizona, but Marshall's situation is good enough that it shouldn't matter. He's a fine value for all formats.
Cameron Meredith FD 5400 DK 4100
Opponent JAX
Proj Points FD - 11.04 DK - 13.19
Doug did a write-up about all the Bears guys last week, but Meredith was a notable omission there. Hoyer very clearly has an eye for Meredith, and it goes beyond just one big game. Meredith has been targeted 19.42% of the time during passing plays when he's been on the field this season, and his production has scaled very nicely as he's seen more snaps. Everything came to a head against Indy last week, when Meredith went off for 9 receptions for 130 yards and a touchdown. He also outsnapped Alshon Jeffery. Meredith's major role on your team will be as a salary fixer - with incredible big money options like Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown going this week, you'll likely need to save up somewhere. It's rare that we can get a burgeoning target-machine at such low prices, and I suspect Meredith will be a highly owned player in all manner of formats in a great match-up with the Jags.
Amari Cooper FD 7100 DK 7500
Opponent KC
Proj Points FD - 15.11 DK - 18.11
Cooper isn't exactly a sleeper this week after catapulting back into fantasy relevance with a huge performance against the Chargers last week. And really, it's not like that much had changed prior to last week. Cooper had averaged almost 10 targets per game before dipping down to a paltry 6 against the Ravens, but his bounce-back 12 target game has him tied for 9th in the NFL with 47. A key note on Cooper, though - his low target/reception conversion rate (55%) will necessarily make him a high variance guy from week to week. While I wouldn't trust him for cash games this week, I view him as something like a poor man's TY Hilton - which is to say a huge upside guy who will have some deep lows from time to time.
Jarvis Landry FD 6900 DK 6800
Opponent PIT
Proj Points FD - 14.58 DK - 18.25
Another week, another match-up where the Dolphins will likely lose by a bundle. You know who that's typically good for? A team's best receiver. Landry is tied with Cooper for the 9th most targets in the league, but he's hauled in 34 of the 47 balls thrown his way as compared to Cooper's 26. He's the team's primary red zone option as well. There's just one problem - the Dolphins really suck at scoring. So why the love for Landry? Well, there will be a week when the Dolphins don't score less than 10 points, and he's just their best skill position guy by a country mile. Marshall killed them even as the Jets got destroyed last week, and Landry is basically a lower variance, lower upside version of him. He's a very reasonable play in cash games, and I still believe there will be a week where he finds himself in big tournament winning lineups on account of how much he means to his team.
Emmanuel Sanders FD 6800 DK 7000
Opponent SD
Proj Points FD - 13.98 DK - 16.92
It's possible that I should have written up Sanders, Landry, and Cooper all together. There really are a lot of similarities between them, but the differences are distinct enough that it's worth going into more detail. Sanders has out-targeted both Cooper and Landry, and has more touchdowns than both of those combined. We can count this as a Very Good Thing. While he has a young quarterback, his young quarterback also seems to look Sanders' way often, and has difficulty progressing through his reads. He'll also have his best match-up of the season with the Chargers, who have allowed the 4th highest passing yards per game this season. I think Sanders has sneaky huge upside, and a plenty high floor as well.
Again, you can sign up for our NFL DFS suite of tools including full projections, optimal NFL lineups and our Player Lab, which includes filters to help you create NFL lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings for any format. It’s a set of tools well beyond anything we’ve ever had, and something we feel will help our users crush it this daily fantasy NFL season.
Sign up now for our new NFL DFS suite of tools including full projections, optimal NFL lineups and our Player Lab, which includes filters to help you create NFL lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings for any format.
image sources
- Brandon Marshall: (AP Photo/Bill Kostroun)