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    Golf Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    07/15/2016
    Chris Durell

    Daily Fantasy Nascar Picks
    New Hampshire 301


    DFSR is proud to bring you Chris Durell. He'll be bringing weekly NASCAR picks, analysis and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings. If you are new to DraftKings NASCAR DFS be sure to click on the banner below.
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    New Hampshire 301

    New Hampshire Motor Speedway - Loudon, New Hampshire
    Track - 1.058 Mile Oval Intermediate
    Banking - 12° Banking in the Turns

    Welcome back for another exciting week of NASCAR racing as the Sprint Cup series heads to Loudon, New Hampshire this weekend. It is a very exciting time for the sports as drivers will be facing a different style of track for the 6th straight week starting back at Pocono, Michigan, Sonoma, Daytona, Kentucky and now New Hampshire. The track is a 1.058 mile oval flat track that can be best compared to Phoenix and is also similar to Richmond and Martinsville in that they are all flat. Passing will tough and drivers will be forced to use a ton of brakes to get through the 12° banked corners. Not only will track history at New Hampshire be very relevant but I will also look at recent track history form other flat tracks, specifically Phoenix. Track position is extremely important this so I will be weighting qualifying quite high. There has not been a winner who has started outside of 13th in since Denny Hamlin won from the 32nd starting position back in September 2012. Before we get into the picks for this week let's take a look back at the finish to last years New Hampshire 301 where we witnessed one of the best passes in a long time(In my biased Kyle Busch fan opinion).

     

    Are looking to get better as fantasy NASCAR but don't have the time to conduct all the research necessary? Check out my DFS NASCAR Cheatsheet which will give you the edge to cash more consistently on DraftKings. The cheatsheet includes driver salaries, current form(Last 5 races), Track History(Last 5 Years), Loop Data, weekly salary trends,  and practice and qualifying ranks. I have also created a weighting system which changes weekly and takes in to account all of the things listed previously. I update the practice and qualifying as they happen which changes the overall rankings through the weekend. The cheatsheet will also be final shortly after the final practice. If you purchase the cheatsheet prior to final practice you will receive an email when the final lineup has been set.

    If you have any questions about the cheatsheet throw me an email(jagerbombs99@gmail.com) or hit me up on Twitter(@jager_bombs9).

     

    Upper Tier Targets ($9,000+)

     

    Kyle Busch
    DraftKings - $10,500
    First Practice - 3rd
    Second Practice - 7th
    Final Practice - 5th
    Qualified - 2nd

    I couldn't make you watch that video and talk up the #18 and not put him as my top guy this week. After a tough stretch of four races Kyle is trending back in the right direction with a 7th at Sonoma, 2nd at Daytona and a 12th at Kentucky last week where he ran inside the Top 5 for most of the race. Over the last five years(10 races) Kyle has grabbed a win with four Top 5's and five Top 10's and is one of only four drivers to lead over 300 laps in that time.

     

     

    Brad Keselowski
    DraftKings - $10,300
    First Practice - 11th
    Second Practice - 8th
    Final Practice - 6th
    Qualified - 9th

    Could he make it three straight wins this week? You bet he can. No one is hotter than Brad Keselowski right now who has back to back wins and a Top 10 in eight of his last nine races. He is also pretty good here at New Hampshire. In the the last 10 races he has a win, five Top 5's, seven Top 10's, 344 laps led and a series best 8.5 average finish. Crack a Miller Lite on Sunday and enjoy watching the deuce drive off into victory lane and pad your bankroll.

     

     

    Denny Hamlin
    DraftKings - $9,500
    First Practice - 5th
    Second Practice - 2nd
    Final Practice - 2nd
    Qualified - 5th

    His salary took a big jump from last week but that won't scare me off one of the best flat track drivers in NASCAR. Hamlin comes back to New Hampshire with some nice track history over the past five years. He has a win, four Top 5's, five Top 10's and 12.9 average finish. He has also led the series in laps led with 416 during those 10 races. The price jump and recent form have me fading him in cash games but I love his upside for the GPP's this week.

     

    Also Consider - Kevin Harvick

    Middle Tier Targets ($6,500-$9,000)

     

    Kyle Larson
    DraftKings - $8,500
    First Practice - 25th
    Second Practice - 10th
    Final Practice - 11th
    Qualified - 17th

    In this price range it comes down to Austin Dillon or Kyle Larson. I sided with Larson as he has better current form(10.2 average finish last 5 races) and a better track record here at New Hampshire. Both came into the Sprint Cup series at the same time and have four races under their belts. While Dillon has one Top 10, Larson has two Top 5 finishes and a 13.3 average finish. I will pay the $200 more and ride with Larson this week in all formats.

     

     

    Greg Biffle
    DraftKings - $6,600
    First Practice - 34th
    Second Practice - 15th
    Final Practice - 19th
    Qualified - 28th

    Biffle is currently enjoying his best stretch of the season after an awful start to 2016. He has back to back Top 10's at Kentucky and Daytona and has a Top 20 finish in five of his last six races. I will take that with a mid $6K price tag. He is another driver who has enjoyed some success here at New Hampshire. In the last 10 races he has three Top 5's and four Top 10's with the 7th best average finish(12.8) in the field. Take advantage while the price is still below $7K.

     

    Also Consider - Ryan Newman

     

     

    Low End Targets ($6,500 and Below)

     

    Trevor Bayne
    DraftKings - $6,400
    First Practice - 28th
    Second Practice - 28th
    Final Practice - 25th
    Qualified - 31st

    It is tough picking down here with few drivers with even average track history or form this week. I will again lean on Trevor Bayne who is also enjoying his best stretch of the season. He finished 11th at Kentucky, 3rd at Daytona and has five Top 15's in his last seven races. Pair him with his Roush Fenway Racing teammate Biffle for a great start to a GPP lineup leaving you a ton of salary to just about anything.

     

    Also Consider - Aric Almirola

     

    Post Practice & Qualifying Update

     

    Qualifying Top 10
    qual Top 10 Bristol
     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    If you have any questions on lineups or drivers prior to lineup lock scroll down to the comment section and join the conversation.

     

    Good Luck everyone!

     

     

    Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for the New Hampshire 301? Chris is selling lineups only $5. He covers DraftKings and FantasyFeud Cash Games & Tournaments. Fill out the form below or click here to purchase using PayPal. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.


    Chris Durell has been playing Daily Fantasy Sports for three years and fantasy in general for more than a decade. He is active player in college football, NFL, NBA, PGA, and of course NASCAR. He lives in Saskatchewan, Canada with his wife and two daughters. You can follow him on Twitter at @jager_bombs9 for advice, strategy, answers to any NASCAR questions or how he copes with the winters up north.

     

    image sources

    • NASCAR Daytona Auto Racing: (AP Photo/John Raoux)

    6 Visitor Comments

    1. I will be lowering my exposure to Biffle unless he shows some speed in the final two practices tomorrow.

    2. Hi Chris – I just wanted to let you know that your NASCAR article is actually located under the PGA picks tab.

    3. Jeepers Chris I can’t stand Kyle Busch but i won’t hold that against you, and I sure can’t argue with him being the top pick this week. He may get and in the lead and pull a Martin Truex Jr and just rack up the laps led. Great pics man. Keep up the good work

    4. Thank you @Susan. I will pass that on to support.

    5. @Ryan LOL. I don’t know many people who do like him. My friends continue to bet against me due to their hate. Hahaha

    6. Brian Scott has some low end potential for stars and scrubs. Starting 33rd and 26th/21st in final two practices.

    Post a Reply

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