Daily Fantasy MLB Pitcher Breakdown FanDuel and DraftKings- 7/6/16

Welcome to our new daily article breaking down some of the other pitching targets on this slate. We covered our system's top value plays in our daily picks article and our updates articles but here we will look at other dudes to consider.

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Pitching Targets

Early Slate 

Jeremy Hellickson FD 7100 DK 9200
Opponent - ATL (Jenkins) Park - @PHI
FD - 29.28 DK - 19.43

There are little to no options outside the top two pitchers(Roark/deGrom) in the early slate. For GPP formats I would definitely take a shot with Hellickson in a plus matchup today. He will face the Braves who rank dead last in wOBA(.283) , ISO(.112) and wRC+(74) vs. right handed pitching and sit with a -111 run differential on the season. The Phillies are currently sitting as -140 favorites at home and Hellickson is coming in with some nice form having won two straight starts and limiting his opponents to two earned runs on 10 hits in 12 innings. He has seen a spike in his strikeout rate this season as it sits at 8.13 K/9. His big issue this season has been the long ball(17% HR/FB rate) so if he can limit the hard contact I feel he can own the Braves and pickup the win today.

 

Evening Slate 

Marcus Stroman FD 7100 DK 6400
Opponent - KC (Kennedy) Park - @TOR
FD - 31.59 DK - 20.88

The scenario is about the same on the evening slate with one clear cut chalky pitcher in Cueto then a bunch of mid tier options that are not completely trustworthy. For the big discount I will side with Stroman today against a Royals team that does not look anything like the World Series champs from 2015. They currently rank 20th in wOBA(.310) vs. right handed pitching and have been terrible away from Kauffman Stadium with a 16-29 record on the road. Stroman has experienced an up and down season, which is to be expected of a pitcher who relies less on strikeouts and more on his command and control. He doesn't have a pretty strikeout rate (6.42 K/9) but is producing a 59% ground ball rate. He ERA of 5.08 has room for some positive regression as the xFIP is much lower at 3.83 and he also has a below average 64% LOB rate. There are some positive signs for Stroman who is coming off an excellent start vs. the red hot Indians as he only gave up one earned run on five hits in 6.2 innings pitched with six punchouts and only one walk. I would even go as far as trusting him in DraftKings cash games paired with on of the top options.
 

 

 

 

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