Daily Fantasy MLB Pitcher Breakdown FanDuel and DraftKings- 6/26/16

Welcome to our new daily article breaking down some of the other pitching targets on this slate. We covered our system's top value plays in our daily picks article but here we will look at other dudes to consider.

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Pitching Targets

The big tourney plays
James Paxton FD 7300 DK 7400
Opponent - STL (Garcia) Park - @SEA
FD - 29.73 DK - 15.53
The Cardinals have been a strong offensive squad this season, but have actually put up the 4th worst wOBA in the league against LHP.

Paxton himself is a prospect with grade A pedigree who hasn't quite put it together at the major league level yet. He's put up ridiculous K numbers across AAA and the majors in a short sample this season, averaging better than 10 K/9 and generating ground-balls on 51.1% of the balls in play he does allow. That's a recipe for the occasional big start, as evidenced by his back to back great starts against Cleveland and Texas earlier this season. Might he get blown up? Sure. It's arguably likely. But don't be shocked if you see his name atop tourney leaderboards alongside the fantastic big money plays you can grab today.

Aaron Nola FD 8100 DK 8400
Opponent - SF (Cueto) Park - @SF
FD - 32.4 DK - 18.33
If you want one that's really off board, here you go. Nola's got a phenomenal 2.92 xFIP this season, which is good for the 5th best in the majors. He's striking out 9.75 batters per 9 innings, good for 14th in the majors. If we're being honest with each other - and we should be honest with each other if this is going to be a long term thing - I'm not sure that Aaron Nola is really the budding ace he seems to be. The minor league track record sort of isn't there. But here's a little DFS lesson for you!

You don't need guys with A+ true talent to win a big tournament. You don't need guys with good match-ups, either. You just need guys who are capable of big numbers (check). That's really it. The Giants will probably beat the Phillies today, yes. But they might not. And if they don't, it will likely be because Nola is awesome. There are so many great pitchers going today that it's hard to fathom Nola being the best among them (especially against a SF team that doesn't strike out much), but you can probably get him and the most expensive bats at a less than %1 start. And that just might be a winning recipe.

Note: We discussed the chalk cash game plays in the main picks article today - Kershaw, Fernandez, and Cueto. This article is about some guys the rest of the field might not see coming.

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