Welcome to the daily MLB updates and news article. We'll try and update it right up to line-up locks with as much information as comes across our desks. Let's get to it!
Last night's picks can be found here, so you can wrap your mind around what you need to be looking at before lineups lock today.
By the way - we keep our projection system updated with all of the batting lineup changes as they occur throughout the day right up until lineup lock. Every day. If you want access to that system so you can cut out a lot of the research element, click the button below!
Personnel
Diamondbacks
So if I had to choose between stacking the Rockies or Diamondbacks, I would go with the Dbacks.
They will be going up against Jorge De La Rosa who has struggled so far this season. He is coming into this contest sporting a 7.17 ERA (wow) that is backed up by a 4.41 xFIP. His ERA is definitely inflated, but pitching at Coors certainly won't help his cause today.
The reason why I went with the Dbacks over the Rockies, is not only because Jorge De La Rosa has had his struggles this season, but the Dbacks also devour southpaws. They are coming into this contest sporting a .359 wOBA (1st in MLB) and .206 ISO (1st in MLB). It's safe to say they are one of the best offenses against southpaws and playing at Coors will certainly help them out.
Padres
Brandon Finnegan is coming into this contest with a good-looking 3.81 ERA. Sure that's a nice ERA, but the question that I have for you guys is: Is he as good as his ERA indicates? And the answer to that question is [no]. On the year, he owns a 5.03 xFIP to go along with a 4.8 K-BB%. Let's just say that ERA is going to drop big-time and it all starts today.
I know we have a tendency to target pitchers against the Padres, but that is a big mistake when you have a southpaw on the mound. The Padres own a .340 wOBA (6th in MLB) and 116 wRC+ (3rd in MLB) against lefties. They throw out a ton of right-handed bats when a lefty is on the hill, so look for the Padres to have themselves a day; especially at Great American (Small) Park.
Paul Goldschmidt FD 4900 DK 5600
Opponent - COL (De La Rosa) Park - @COL
FD - 14.31 DK - 11.16
Goldy at Coors against a southpaw? Sign me up!
Since 2014, Goldy owns a .444 wOBA and .256 ISO against southpaws. He crushes lefties and will be going up against one who has had his struggles this year in Jorge De La Rosa. Jorge has an ERA over 7 and his hard contact rate is sitting at 37.5%. Look for this guy to be in every lineup today and to have himself a day. This is the most obvious play of the day ladies and gentlemen. And oops.. I forgot to mention this game is taking place at Coors Field.
Kenta Maeda FD 8600 DK 10800
Opponent - PIT (Locke) Park - @PIT
FD - 30.65 DK - 16.2
Everyone is talking about Madison Bumgarner, but not the Japanese phenom, Kenta Maeda. He will be going up against a Pirates' offense that has struggled as of late. In their past 30 contest, they own a .300 wOBA (22nd in MLB) and 89 wRC+ (27th in MLB). They have had their struggles, so look for Maeda to have himself a night playing at spacious PNC Park. Maeda has nice upside as he owns a 24.2 K%, so don't be surprised if he has yet another big game and comes close or matches Bumgarner's outing.
Good luck out there today! If you want access to all of our numbers, get started with a free trial below of our lineup optimizer, on us!
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View Comments
Didi as NS in optimizer. Need to check feed, did the same thing to headley the other day
Hey nick was looking forward to your long ball segment as you have been right on. Do you have any guys for tonight. Thank you
Hey Kyle, sorry I couldn't put one up today. Will put one up for Sunday's slate!