Daily Fantasy MLB Weather Report 6/23/16

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Brief Summary:

PPD Threat: None

Delay Threats: PIT(40%), DET(30%), CIN(25%), COL(25%)

Good Hitting Environments: COL, BOS, ATL, CIN

Poor Hitting Environments: MIA, LAA

Forecasting Analysis:

SF@PIT

A few showers will move through western PA all afternoon. The heavy rain that is getting all the media attention has a) already passed through the region this morning and b) they were only on the northern fringe of the heavy rain anyway. Here is a simulated radar for 1 PM:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

There is the threat of some heavier and steadier rain passing through the region....but probably not until well after the game has started and it will likely pass north of the Steel City. Here is a simulated radar for 3 PM:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

So we have a close call this afternoon but most of the steady rain SHOULD pass the north. LOW CHANCE OF A PPD, LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)

SEA@DET

The same basic system that will affect PIT will also be impacting DET. In fact, most of the things that were written about PIT can be applied to DET as well. Here is the simulated radar for 2 PM:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As we can see, most of the rain is forecast to stay north of the city and just barely clip them. But this is a close call, too close for comfort! Things will not be nailed in terms of exact position until much closer to scheduled 1st pitch so a slight shift in the position of this rain in either direction could make a huge difference. LOW CHANCE OF A PPD, LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)

SD@CIN

The majority of the rough weather should be sinking to the south and east of the Ohio River Valley this evening but I will keep a close eye on the region this region. Here is the simulated radar for 7 PM:

LOW CHANCE OF PPD; LOW TO PERHAPS MODERATE CHANCE OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)

ARI@COL

A line of thunderstorms is expected to be be east of Denver by scheduled 1st pitch and SHOULD not be a major problem. Timing of these things this far out could be off by a bit. 9 PM simulated radar:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I always look to see what surface feature (if any) is causing the rain near Denver because typically they will have thunderstorms form to their west in the mountains on an almost daily basis during the summer months that die as the head east and never really impact Denver. This looks different and thus it makes me ask: "what is causing this?"

Well here we go:

A

And there is the surface feature I was looking for, an area of low pressure just to their southeast. What does all of this mean for ARI@COL? Well, it means that the chance of rain is higher than normal since these are not your run of the mill thunderstorms in the mountains. However, if the timing of this model is correct, we should not have a huge problem this evening. LOW RISK OF PPD/LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF ANY TYPE  OF DELAY(S)

 

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