Welcome to our new daily article breaking down some of the other pitching targets on this slate. We covered our system's top value plays in our daily picks article and our updates articles but here we will look at other dudes to consider.
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Stacking in DFS MLB is such an important concept if you’re looking to take down a big tournament on FanDuel or DraftKings. It’s also a good way to diversify cash games because the variance in baseball can mean wild swings (ahem) in the scoring on a particular slate. The concept is easy. You want to pile players from one or two teams into your lineups because those guys compound scores by helping each other score runs when the going is good.
Pitching Targets
Note: We discussed Danny Salazar, Kyle Hendricks, Noah Syndergaard and Zack Greinke in the Early Main Article and Main Article. And will be going over a few more options below.
Opponent - TB (Moore) Park - @TB
FD - 33.81 DK - 19.13
Oh Pineda, welcome to my lineups. Please don't let me down. You have a beautiful matchup going up against the Tampa Bay Rays, but the best part about your matchup today, is the fact that this game will take place at Tropicana Field. You got this Pineda! I believe in you. (Just for today).
On a series note-- Pineda has a nice matchup going up against the Rays. They own a .305 wOBA (22nd in MLB) to go along with a 95 wRC+ (17th in MLB) against right-handed pitching. These guys rely heavily on the long ball, which gives Pineda and his 45.4 GB% an advantage. And the best part about Pineda will be his ownership. Many people will see that he owns a 6.34 ERA and be on full-fade mode. Well, he is a much better pitcher than his ERA suggests. He owns a 3.54 xFIP and 3.47 SIERA, so don't worry about that ERA. It is going to come down and it all starts today against the Rays!
FYI: The Rays own a 26.1 K% on the year against right-handed pitching (2nd in MLB).
Opponent - COL (Rusin) Park - @COL
FD - 37.48 DK - 21.97
Playing at Coors is never ideal, but I love Bumgarner as a tournament play. There are obviously some risks with picking him up, as Coors is a hitter's paradise and the Rockies are above average against left-handed pitchers. So why I'm I suggesting Bumgarner for GPP's you may ask? Well here is your answer:
Bumgarner is a stud! He owns a 27.9 K% on the year, which only means one thing -- UPSIDE! He also owns a 41.8 GB%, which will help him out quite a bit playing at Coors. And don't forget -- he owns a 2.17 ERA that is backed up by a 2.98 FIP.
Like I mentioned before -- the matchup is not ideal, as the Rockies are an above average club against southpaws, but there is one thing that is sticking out to me about facing the Rockies. And that is their K% against southpaws. They own a K% of 24.9, so this gives Bumgarner even more upside! This is a boom-or-bust type of play, but I see it being a boom! He has such tremendous upside to pass up on.
Opponent - ATL (Kelly) Park - @ATL
FD - 32.4 DK - 17.8
Alright ladies and gentlemen, I will give you another option that myself and the optimizer like -- but it does have some risks. And that is Wei-Yin Chen.
Chen has either been lights-out or a not so good pitcher this season (it's been a popular trend over the course of his career as well). He is coming into this contest with a 3.89 xFIP and a 19.7 K%. Those stats aren't all that but there is one thing I like about Chen tonight, and that is his matchup against the Braves.
The Braves have been awful against left-handed pitchers this season. They own a .264 wOBA (29th in MLB) to go along with a 62 wRC+ (29th in MLB). They have had trouble hitting for extra bases all season long and creating runs. The matchup is a great one and I believe Chen will deliver a quality start for this Fish.
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