Welcome to the daily updates and injury news article. We'll try and update it right up to line-up locks with as much information as comes across our desks. Let's get to it!
Last night's picks can be found here, so you can wrap your mind around what you need to be looking at before lineups lock tonight.
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Now let’s look at some news that’s come in throughout the day to see if anything’s changed in our minds or in the NBA landscape. It's a shorter slate and a light news day, but we'll be updating as stuff rolls in. Also throw out some ideas in the comments and we can take it from there.
Earl Watson has come out publicly and said the Suns are going to "try something new" with a twin-towers approach of Len and Chandler. Knowing this, Len is a must play until he's something like $6,000 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Love him tonight.
Russell looks to be the biggest beneficiary, boasting a gaudy 27.8% usage with Bryant off the floor this season. Anthony Brown played 32 minutes in his first game back (with Kobe out), and Julius Randle sees a 10% usage bump as well with Kobe off the floor. Basically, this makes every Laker who you can project for reasonable playing time a nice play, since they'll spread around 30 minutes and 30% of the usage during those minutes.
Easily the biggest shoe to drop tonight, for obvious reasons. Redistributing 32% usage and 34 minutes is huge, and the primary Warriors benefactors will be Klay Thompson (whose usage rises to 30 with Curry off the court), and Shaun Livingston, who would likely play a starter's minutes. It has the domino effect of making the game a lot less likely to be a blowout, which is a boon to the projections of everyone involved. For now, I'm operating under the assumption that he's playing, but I'll be cautious until we know for sure (if we ever do).
Normally I'd list two guys on the same team in the same write-up, but Steph just impacts too much to lump him in with others. Iggy is a little different. The most dramatic benefactor his absence would be Harrison Barnes, whom the system already likes. If Curry and Iggy are BOTH out, Barnes becomes a phenomenal play.
Fournier is highly doubtful for now, and both Oladipo and Hezonja were terrific values in his absence. I'd be happy to roll it back with both for tonight's slate in any format.
Reports are that he will likely be back. If so, this should depress the value of all of the guys on the Bulls, who are enjoying his absence quite a bit. I wouldn't touch him personally, as one never knows what will happen when a guy returns from injury. Tony Snell takes the biggest hit here, which is nice, since he was a non-entity anyway.
He was looking like a terrific play until he left last night's game with concussion-like symptoms. I'm assuming he'll miss this one, which will open it up for Bojan Bogdanovic and Markel Brown. I like Bojan much better, if you're choosing between them.
Still being listed as questionable, and I'd love to grab Galloway if he's going to play starter's minutes again. Afflalo went through shootaround, though, so I'm assuming he'll be out there.
Opponent - CHA
FD Proj. Pts - 28.83 DK Proj. Pts - 29.34
No surprise here. Price and opportunity mismatch. Easy play against a less than tough defensive front-court in Charlotte.
Opponent - DAL
FD Proj. Pts - 35.04 DK Proj. Pts - 36.53
Another no-brainer if Fournier is out. Oladipo played more minutes and had more opportunity with those minutes in Fournier's absence last game, and since that looks to be the case again tonight, Oladipo would be a play almost regardless of match-up once again.
Opponent - POR
FD Proj. Pts - 41.01 DK Proj. Pts - 43.07
Lots of minutes and shots for him, a weak position tonight, and not a lot of places to spend up tonight. This surprises me a little bit since I personally like a few other bigger money guys better, but that's the power of optimization! Let's us know where to spend up, and where to go cheap.
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View Comments
Let's not rule out Robin Lopez for a possible big game. Look at portlands last 10 games DvP.....the minutes have to be there though
I'm not ruling out Lopez, but be careful with 10 game DVP. Portland's had a tough stretch, there. Good Dwight 3 times, Brook Lopez, KAT, Gobert, Pau, Mahinmi, Valancunias, Marc Gasol. Still a nice match-up.
Love the slate tonight for cash games. I need a win after last night. I was trailing in all my leagues by 7-10 points and get this, Ellington was 1-3% owned all over fan duel cash games i was playing in. It was looking awesome and then bam. He gets his head knocked around a bit. Ah well bad luck. Tonight I'm gonna nail this. Thx James. You're better and better all the time man. Keep it up. Glad I found the site
kobe bryant is out. d russell and randle benefit the most from this? thanks.
Nice catch, Bret - updated article above!
I actually think whiteside is a better cash game play then len...thought?
Whiteside's a good play, but I don't personally have the stomach to play guys in cash games whose minutes range from 26 to 41. Almost necessarily means they aren't properly priced. Whiteside's way overpriced for 26 minutes, and way underpriced for 41. Just not sure which version you'll get tonight. And Len is just so damned cheap.
Perfect update! I think Alex Len is going to go B-A-N-A-N-A-S (yea, I'm a Gwen Stefani fan, we can't all be perfect!) What's your thoughts on Bogdanovic? If Ellington is out, does that solidify him even more? Great price tag and minutes even if Ellington plays.
So what do you think about Clarksons value in scoring raw points tonight with Kobe being out and I think he has the best matchup of all the lakers
I second the Clarkson mention, Alonzo. He looks like a heck of a value at $6k FD, with Kobe down. How does his usage change when Kobe is down?
Rolling the dice with David Lee in cash games... Thoughts?
It's risky mostly because there are so many cheaper options tonight.
I should say, that is on FD. Risk is more tolerable on DK where he's cheaper.