fbpx

Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

02/27/2016
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Basketball Injury News and Updates for FanDuel and DraftKings - 2/27/16

Welcome to the daily updates and injury news article. We'll try and update it right up to line-up locks with as much information as comes across our desks. Let's get to it!

Last night's picks can be found here, so you can wrap your mind around what you need to be looking at before lineups lock tonight.

By the way - we keep our projection system updated with all of the changes as they occur throughout the day right up until lineup lock. Every day. If you want access to that system so you can cut out a lot of the research element, click the button below!

Special Note: Our new optimizer is available! Click the button below to check it out and see if it's right for you.

Now let’s look at some news that’s come in throughout the day to see if anything’s changed in our minds or in the NBA landscape. It's a shorter slate and a light news day, but we'll be updating as stuff rolls in. Also throw out some ideas in the comments and we can take it from there.

What We Know

Anthony Davis is out!
Ryan Anderson everywhere. We're going to make other changes to usage of the other players that will be reflected inside our lineup optimizer.

Eric Gordon is back
I doubt he factors much into the minutes for the Pelicans except that he will cut into some of the backcourt minutes for guys like Alonzo Gee and possibly Toney Douglas. New Orleans has been running some odd guard sets over the last couple of weeks though that could stabilize with Gordon back in the lineup.

Not much other than the obvious - Relatively speaking.
This is a pretty slow news day so far as we are only really waiting on a couple of pieces of info. Most teams come into this game on the healthier side, especially when it comes to their top players. And of course there's the big game today between Golden State and Oklahoma City. To say I'm excited to watch this one is an understatement. I know that isn't news per se, but the game has a ridiculously high over/under at 234.5

Couple this game with two other games on the schedule projected at around 215 and higher (Spurs-Rockets, Pelicans-Timberwolves) and you have to believe we are going to see some really high cash lines for tonight. Plan appropriately.

 

What We’re Waiting to Know

Will Derrick Rose play?
He was ruled out pretty early last night which has me thinking there's a possibility he sits again in this one. I'm writing this rather early and will update throughout the day as we learn Rose's status. It's a little tough to figure how another Rose absence will effect the Bulls except to obviously make them worse. Last night against the Hawks they were involved in a mini-blowout and the starting backcourt of Moore and Snell really didn't see much in the way of minutes. Doug McDermott played 30 minutes with a healthy 20/5 line thanks to him throwing up 13 shots. I don't want to pencil in that kind of volume for the guy and at this point even sans-Rose the Bulls are a risky proposition.

Will Tony Allen play?
This news is important because Allen coming back would almost assuredly cut into minutes for guys like Matt Barnes, Lance Stephenson and P.J. Hairston among others. It's hard to know exactly how the Grizz plan to play things when they are back fully healthy. I suspect the minutes get trimmed from everyone just a little and they run a "deep" team. ("Deep" is a stretch because I mostly mean they will just play a lot of different guys rather than the positive form of deep wherein a team is good).

 

The "every lineup" guys

Man today is crazy. Let me start by saying that when I originally looked at the projections for today I assumed the system would take a stars and scrubs approach to setting lineups. (And it still might, it's early in the day). But as of right now it thinks there is so much mid-tier value that getting a bunch of those guys into lineups is the way to go.

Shelvin Mack - FD 3700 DK 4500
Opponent - BKN
FD Proj. Pts - 24.38 DK Proj. Pts - 25.95
Assuming he draws the start again for the Jazz, Mack is basically a must play on both sites for cash games. Even on DraftKings where prices tend to correct quicker than other places, Mack is such a high points/$ play because the price hasn't come close to catching up with this new opportunity. The Jazz are hard up for consistent point guard play right now. And though Mack isn't necessarily a savior in that realm, he does appear an upgrade over Neto. I suspect he's the highest owned player on the slate today.

Kawhi Leonard - FD 7900 DK 7600
Opponent - HOU
FD Proj. Pts - 38.98 DK Proj. Pts - 40.72
I know the big game is OKC-GSW. I get it. But don't sleep on the Spurs against the Rockets in terms of fantasy value. Our system loves the chance for Kawhi to beast on a Rockets D getting positively owned by small forwards this season. They are allowing about 9% more scoring that league average to the position and Vegas doesn't project the game as getting out of hand.

Good luck out there today! If you want access to all of our numbers, get started with a free trial below - on us! You can also get started with DFSR pro - our brand new lineup optimizer!

image sources

  • Evan Turner, Kawhi Leonard: (AP Photo/Steven Senne)

43 Visitor Comments

  1. Does Gordon’s return have a significant impact on Holiday’s minutes or usage? If not, is he a good offbeat play on the night of Steph vs Russ and all the sub 5000 value out there at PG?

  2. For GPP
    Westbrook/Curry
    Lavine/Stephenson
    Durante/Hairston
    Parker/Teletopic
    Bogut
    Any thoughts

    • This lineup feels very unsafe but I get the idea. You are looking to stack those three big guys. But guys like Hairston, Lance and to a lesser extent Mirza could really give you issues.

    • I’d look to The Brow as a 3rd stud (and pick between the PGs). That way you can get Mack in. He’s one of the best punt plays of the night. I just put together a Pay-and-Punt lineup with all 3 and a projected total a little over 300. You can get higher projected totals tonight, but if all 3 studs go off and the punts come through you have a good deal of upside (which you want for tourneys). HTH

  3. Seems like an easy night for Cash games. The big scores are going to come from the guys who roll 2-3 of the big players and nail the punt plays and probably won’t see much of that in cash because as Doug mentioned above feels unsafe to do that.

  4. With your new optimal lineup maker, are you guys considering an option that would allow users to generate lineups that would focus more on 50/50 games?

    • That is essentially the default now. We are considering adding in some sDev pieces that allow us to calculate for upside/floor

  5. What your take on playing either Len or Chandler in a GPP tonight against the Gasol-less Grizzlies?

    • If I could count on either of their minutes I’d definitely do one or the other. Just hard to know which one.

      • Thanks Doug, always appreciate the insight you put into these articles.

  6. I’m rolling with Westbrook, Curry, Thompson, Lavine, Leonard, Iggy, Anderson, Josh Smith and Plumlee.

    No way to pick how many pts will be needed to score to win a cash game today

    • it’s been pretty crazy ( the cash line in cash games). Seemed like earlier this year once you got past like 280 you were pretty solid. Here lately it’s been 300+ a lot of nights. Biggest difference I have seen is early in the season a sort of off night by someone wouldn’t crush and lately it does. It’s pretty crazy that 5x is sort of the cash line. Fully expect a number of people to roll 2-3 stars tonight and figure out the punt code and roll past 400 again.

  7. Josh smith is going to crush the Spurs again
    You can thank me post game and now you can afford durant towns Leonard

  8. Remember the good piston days last year when his salary was 7500 haha

  9. Vlad, josh in cash games also? I need a cheap guy

  10. I’m new to nba. What does everyone think of this cash game lineup. How can I improve. I have 1100 to spare still. This is fan duel. Westbrook, Mack, Thompson, Levine, durant, bogdanovic, Aldridge dieng bogut. Any help would be awesome. Thanks a lot. I’m used to NHL but love the fast paced nba style. I played in high acho and college but don’t know much about nba

    • That lineup looks good. I’d spend up a little more on my center if I could.

    • You can’t win in cash with $1,100 left over.

      Do you use the optimizer?

  11. Any thoughts on Lilliard as a pivot off of Westbrook and Curry? Or do I just pay up to grab one of the obvious guys?

    • In cash, I’m taking an obvious guy. Everyone will have one of those 2 guys in their squad tonight.

  12. Don’t take dieng
    Davis is a good defender
    I love towns and plumlee durant Leonard then punt it
    Maybe take Aldridge over dieng he had a good game vs Hou

  13. Goodbye early lineups Anthony Davis out

  14. What do u think about my draftkings lineup
    Mack
    Lavine
    Winslow
    Favors
    Whiteside
    R Price
    Leonard
    Drummond

  15. Updated the system with Davis out – Ryan Anderson everywhere of course.

    • What about center for cash beside obvious kat, drummond or gasol

  16. I would go drummond… he is a rebounding machine against a week rebounding team

  17. Real quickly do we believe in etwan’s second chance or is he toast?
    Also barnes or bagdonovic?

  18. Thoughts on this for a big tournament :

    Westbrook
    Curry
    Moore
    Stephenson
    McDermott
    Tobias
    Rudolph
    Ryan Anderson
    Dwight

  19. Yep thanks James no I don’t have the optimizer. Just the basic. So it just costs me a little more? Ya so Anderson not for sure and I’m gonna upgrade at centre

    • Hey Ryan – I just put in the double-ups I’m playing tonight below. Optimizer if you lock Westbrook and Durant. Good luck!

  20. My safety squads:

    PG R. Westbrook
    GS@OKC
    $11,000
    Shelvin Mack
    PG S. Mack
    BKN@UTA
    $3,700
    Klay Thompson
    SG K. Thompson
    GS@OKC
    $7,000
    Zach LaVine
    SG Z. LaVine
    MIN@NO
    $4,900
    Kevin Durant
    SF K. Durant
    GS@OKC
    $10,400
    Tobias Harris
    SF T. Harris
    DET@MIL
    $5,900
    Ryan Anderson
    PF R. Anderson
    MIN@NO
    $5,300
    Gorgui Dieng
    PF G. Dieng
    MIN@NO
    $6,500
    Mason Plumlee
    C M. Plumlee
    POR@CHI
    $5,300

  21. Russell Westbrook
    PG R. Westbrook
    GS@OKC
    $11,000
    Shelvin Mack
    PG S. Mack
    BKN@UTA
    $3,700
    Klay Thompson
    SG K. Thompson
    GS@OKC
    $7,000
    Zach LaVine
    SG Z. LaVine
    MIN@NO
    $4,900
    Kawhi Leonard
    SF K. Leonard
    SA@HOU
    $7,900
    Harrison Barnes
    SF H. Barnes
    GS@OKC
    $4,400
    Ryan Anderson
    PF R. Anderson
    MIN@NO
    $5,300
    Gorgui Dieng
    PF G. Dieng
    MIN@NO
    $6,500
    Karl-Anthony Towns
    C K. Towns
    MIN@NO

  22. The Brow did his best to try and sabotage me again. Thankfully this time I was ready smh

  23. I will NEVER play that pussy BROW again. EFF HIM! Too late to see the change. Did he break a fingernail?

  24. Thank u so much James. I made a cash up lineup based on a mixture of your two. I had quite a few of those guys but that optimizer u used gave me only 400 left over. I have the lineup tool but the optimizer is gonna help I guess eh lol? I’ve never used one and I play a lot of mlb and NHL but this NBA action is bloody intense man. Like back and forth awesomeness. Is there like a free trial or something

  25. It’s the uni brow I sucked at life a lot more when I had a unibrow. What a pansy

  26. The brow got me bad tonight. Couldn’t make changes in time.

  27. If Mack and Levine can pull their weight I should have a great night!

  28. I need Klay big time. 4 of my head to heads the major difference is I have Klay and they don’t. I can’t believe I’m cheering for a warrior. Oh boy lol

  29. I am really looking forward to watching the Thunder and Warriors go at it. I believe we are watching some of the best basketball ever in the history of the game with these guys. It would be amazing to be at the game and see Westbrook, Durant, Curry, Klay, Draymond go at it.

  30. Ya this game tonight and last night’s Raptor’s Cavs game. Wow. Being a raptors fan was sure exciting watching Lowry dominate like that. NBA is getting better and better

Post a Reply

FREE EBOOK

SECRETS TO CRUSHING DAILY FANTASY FOOTBALL!
DON'T SET ANOTHER LINEUP BEFORE YOU READ THIS BOOK.

DOWNLOAD YOUR EBOOK NOW

Our free NBA and MLB eBooks, and picks to your inbox every day!

Your eBooks are on their way!