Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy Basketball Injury News and Updates for FanDuel and DraftKings - 2/27/16
Welcome to the daily updates and injury news article. We'll try and update it right up to line-up locks with as much information as comes across our desks. Let's get to it!
Last night's picks can be found here, so you can wrap your mind around what you need to be looking at before lineups lock tonight.
By the way - we keep our projection system updated with all of the changes as they occur throughout the day right up until lineup lock. Every day. If you want access to that system so you can cut out a lot of the research element, click the button below!
Special Note: Our new optimizer is available! Click the button below to check it out and see if it's right for you.
Now let’s look at some news that’s come in throughout the day to see if anything’s changed in our minds or in the NBA landscape. It's a shorter slate and a light news day, but we'll be updating as stuff rolls in. Also throw out some ideas in the comments and we can take it from there.
What We Know
Anthony Davis is out!
Ryan Anderson everywhere. We're going to make other changes to usage of the other players that will be reflected inside our lineup optimizer.
Eric Gordon is back
I doubt he factors much into the minutes for the Pelicans except that he will cut into some of the backcourt minutes for guys like Alonzo Gee and possibly Toney Douglas. New Orleans has been running some odd guard sets over the last couple of weeks though that could stabilize with Gordon back in the lineup.
Not much other than the obvious - Relatively speaking.
This is a pretty slow news day so far as we are only really waiting on a couple of pieces of info. Most teams come into this game on the healthier side, especially when it comes to their top players. And of course there's the big game today between Golden State and Oklahoma City. To say I'm excited to watch this one is an understatement. I know that isn't news per se, but the game has a ridiculously high over/under at 234.5
Couple this game with two other games on the schedule projected at around 215 and higher (Spurs-Rockets, Pelicans-Timberwolves) and you have to believe we are going to see some really high cash lines for tonight. Plan appropriately.
What We’re Waiting to Know
Will Derrick Rose play?
He was ruled out pretty early last night which has me thinking there's a possibility he sits again in this one. I'm writing this rather early and will update throughout the day as we learn Rose's status. It's a little tough to figure how another Rose absence will effect the Bulls except to obviously make them worse. Last night against the Hawks they were involved in a mini-blowout and the starting backcourt of Moore and Snell really didn't see much in the way of minutes. Doug McDermott played 30 minutes with a healthy 20/5 line thanks to him throwing up 13 shots. I don't want to pencil in that kind of volume for the guy and at this point even sans-Rose the Bulls are a risky proposition.
Will Tony Allen play?
This news is important because Allen coming back would almost assuredly cut into minutes for guys like Matt Barnes, Lance Stephenson and P.J. Hairston among others. It's hard to know exactly how the Grizz plan to play things when they are back fully healthy. I suspect the minutes get trimmed from everyone just a little and they run a "deep" team. ("Deep" is a stretch because I mostly mean they will just play a lot of different guys rather than the positive form of deep wherein a team is good).
The "every lineup" guys
Man today is crazy. Let me start by saying that when I originally looked at the projections for today I assumed the system would take a stars and scrubs approach to setting lineups. (And it still might, it's early in the day). But as of right now it thinks there is so much mid-tier value that getting a bunch of those guys into lineups is the way to go.
Shelvin Mack - FD 3700 DK 4500
Opponent - BKN
FD Proj. Pts - 24.38 DK Proj. Pts - 25.95
Assuming he draws the start again for the Jazz, Mack is basically a must play on both sites for cash games. Even on DraftKings where prices tend to correct quicker than other places, Mack is such a high points/$ play because the price hasn't come close to catching up with this new opportunity. The Jazz are hard up for consistent point guard play right now. And though Mack isn't necessarily a savior in that realm, he does appear an upgrade over Neto. I suspect he's the highest owned player on the slate today.
Kawhi Leonard - FD 7900 DK 7600
Opponent - HOU
FD Proj. Pts - 38.98 DK Proj. Pts - 40.72
I know the big game is OKC-GSW. I get it. But don't sleep on the Spurs against the Rockets in terms of fantasy value. Our system loves the chance for Kawhi to beast on a Rockets D getting positively owned by small forwards this season. They are allowing about 9% more scoring that league average to the position and Vegas doesn't project the game as getting out of hand.
Good luck out there today! If you want access to all of our numbers, get started with a free trial below - on us! You can also get started with DFSR pro - our brand new lineup optimizer!
image sources
- Evan Turner, Kawhi Leonard: (AP Photo/Steven Senne)
43 Visitor Comments
Post a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.
Does Gordon’s return have a significant impact on Holiday’s minutes or usage? If not, is he a good offbeat play on the night of Steph vs Russ and all the sub 5000 value out there at PG?
Westbrook,Durant, Harden, or Davis??
For GPP
Westbrook/Curry
Lavine/Stephenson
Durante/Hairston
Parker/Teletopic
Bogut
Any thoughts
This lineup feels very unsafe but I get the idea. You are looking to stack those three big guys. But guys like Hairston, Lance and to a lesser extent Mirza could really give you issues.
I’d look to The Brow as a 3rd stud (and pick between the PGs). That way you can get Mack in. He’s one of the best punt plays of the night. I just put together a Pay-and-Punt lineup with all 3 and a projected total a little over 300. You can get higher projected totals tonight, but if all 3 studs go off and the punts come through you have a good deal of upside (which you want for tourneys). HTH
Seems like an easy night for Cash games. The big scores are going to come from the guys who roll 2-3 of the big players and nail the punt plays and probably won’t see much of that in cash because as Doug mentioned above feels unsafe to do that.
With your new optimal lineup maker, are you guys considering an option that would allow users to generate lineups that would focus more on 50/50 games?
That is essentially the default now. We are considering adding in some sDev pieces that allow us to calculate for upside/floor
What your take on playing either Len or Chandler in a GPP tonight against the Gasol-less Grizzlies?
If I could count on either of their minutes I’d definitely do one or the other. Just hard to know which one.
Thanks Doug, always appreciate the insight you put into these articles.
I’m rolling with Westbrook, Curry, Thompson, Lavine, Leonard, Iggy, Anderson, Josh Smith and Plumlee.
No way to pick how many pts will be needed to score to win a cash game today
it’s been pretty crazy ( the cash line in cash games). Seemed like earlier this year once you got past like 280 you were pretty solid. Here lately it’s been 300+ a lot of nights. Biggest difference I have seen is early in the season a sort of off night by someone wouldn’t crush and lately it does. It’s pretty crazy that 5x is sort of the cash line. Fully expect a number of people to roll 2-3 stars tonight and figure out the punt code and roll past 400 again.
Josh smith is going to crush the Spurs again
You can thank me post game and now you can afford durant towns Leonard
Remember the good piston days last year when his salary was 7500 haha
Vlad, josh in cash games also? I need a cheap guy
I’m new to nba. What does everyone think of this cash game lineup. How can I improve. I have 1100 to spare still. This is fan duel. Westbrook, Mack, Thompson, Levine, durant, bogdanovic, Aldridge dieng bogut. Any help would be awesome. Thanks a lot. I’m used to NHL but love the fast paced nba style. I played in high acho and college but don’t know much about nba
That lineup looks good. I’d spend up a little more on my center if I could.
You can’t win in cash with $1,100 left over.
Do you use the optimizer?
Any thoughts on Lilliard as a pivot off of Westbrook and Curry? Or do I just pay up to grab one of the obvious guys?
In cash, I’m taking an obvious guy. Everyone will have one of those 2 guys in their squad tonight.
Don’t take dieng
Davis is a good defender
I love towns and plumlee durant Leonard then punt it
Maybe take Aldridge over dieng he had a good game vs Hou
Goodbye early lineups Anthony Davis out
What do u think about my draftkings lineup
Mack
Lavine
Winslow
Favors
Whiteside
R Price
Leonard
Drummond
Updated the system with Davis out – Ryan Anderson everywhere of course.
What about center for cash beside obvious kat, drummond or gasol
Mason Plumlee.
I would go drummond… he is a rebounding machine against a week rebounding team
Real quickly do we believe in etwan’s second chance or is he toast?
Also barnes or bagdonovic?
Thoughts on this for a big tournament :
Westbrook
Curry
Moore
Stephenson
McDermott
Tobias
Rudolph
Ryan Anderson
Dwight
Yep thanks James no I don’t have the optimizer. Just the basic. So it just costs me a little more? Ya so Anderson not for sure and I’m gonna upgrade at centre
Hey Ryan – I just put in the double-ups I’m playing tonight below. Optimizer if you lock Westbrook and Durant. Good luck!
My safety squads:
PG R. Westbrook
GS@OKC
$11,000
Shelvin Mack
PG S. Mack
BKN@UTA
$3,700
Klay Thompson
SG K. Thompson
GS@OKC
$7,000
Zach LaVine
SG Z. LaVine
MIN@NO
$4,900
Kevin Durant
SF K. Durant
GS@OKC
$10,400
Tobias Harris
SF T. Harris
DET@MIL
$5,900
Ryan Anderson
PF R. Anderson
MIN@NO
$5,300
Gorgui Dieng
PF G. Dieng
MIN@NO
$6,500
Mason Plumlee
C M. Plumlee
POR@CHI
$5,300
Russell Westbrook
PG R. Westbrook
GS@OKC
$11,000
Shelvin Mack
PG S. Mack
BKN@UTA
$3,700
Klay Thompson
SG K. Thompson
GS@OKC
$7,000
Zach LaVine
SG Z. LaVine
MIN@NO
$4,900
Kawhi Leonard
SF K. Leonard
SA@HOU
$7,900
Harrison Barnes
SF H. Barnes
GS@OKC
$4,400
Ryan Anderson
PF R. Anderson
MIN@NO
$5,300
Gorgui Dieng
PF G. Dieng
MIN@NO
$6,500
Karl-Anthony Towns
C K. Towns
MIN@NO
The Brow did his best to try and sabotage me again. Thankfully this time I was ready smh
I will NEVER play that pussy BROW again. EFF HIM! Too late to see the change. Did he break a fingernail?
Thank u so much James. I made a cash up lineup based on a mixture of your two. I had quite a few of those guys but that optimizer u used gave me only 400 left over. I have the lineup tool but the optimizer is gonna help I guess eh lol? I’ve never used one and I play a lot of mlb and NHL but this NBA action is bloody intense man. Like back and forth awesomeness. Is there like a free trial or something
It’s the uni brow I sucked at life a lot more when I had a unibrow. What a pansy
The brow got me bad tonight. Couldn’t make changes in time.
If Mack and Levine can pull their weight I should have a great night!
I need Klay big time. 4 of my head to heads the major difference is I have Klay and they don’t. I can’t believe I’m cheering for a warrior. Oh boy lol
I am really looking forward to watching the Thunder and Warriors go at it. I believe we are watching some of the best basketball ever in the history of the game with these guys. It would be amazing to be at the game and see Westbrook, Durant, Curry, Klay, Draymond go at it.
Ya this game tonight and last night’s Raptor’s Cavs game. Wow. Being a raptors fan was sure exciting watching Lowry dominate like that. NBA is getting better and better