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Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am? Chris is selling lineups only $5. He covers DraftKings, FantasyFeud & FantasyAces Cash Games & Tournaments. Just scroll to the bottom of the picks. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.
Pebble Beach Golf Links
Par 72 - 6,828 Yards
Spyglass Hill Golf Club
Par 72 - 6,960 Yards
Monterey Peninsula Country Club
Par 71 - 6,873 Yards
The Waste Management Phoenix Open just wrapped up following four playoff holes which saw Hideki Matsuyama capture his second career win. Matsuyama and Fowler went into the 18th hole tied at -13, both nailed the fairway and both hit the green in regulation. Matsuyama stepped up and sank a 17 footer for Birdie puting the pressure on 3 time PGA Tour winner, Rickie Fowler. Like he has so many times in the past couple years when faced with pressure, he drained it forcing a playoff. The two golfers then went toe to toe matching each other shot for shot for four holes until finally Fowler made a mistake and carded a Bogey on the 17th hole(4th playoff hole). It was another fantastic golf weekend in Arizona with attendance records being broken yet again. We get to do it all over again in about 361 days.
This week the PGA Tour travels to Pebble Beach, California for the annual AT&T Pebble Bach pro Am. This week will be the final PGA Tournament of the year where there will be a multi course rotation. Thank god! At least this week the courses are fairly similar in which the stats carry over from course to course. The courses being used are Pebble Beach golf Links, Spyglass Hill Golf Club and Monterey Peninsula Country Club. The true test on these courses will be the weather conditions. Scores have ranged over the years from -10 (Shane Lowry - 2008) to -22 (Snedekers win last year). So far the forecast is showing moderate winds for Thursday and Friday with the worst day being Saturday where winds could reach will range from 10-15 mph. You can check out the complete forecast here. Be sure to check the updated forecast prior to lineup lock on Thursday(6:30 am ET).
When looking for specific stats to target this week is somewhat depends on weather. If the wind is up Scrambling will be extremely important, as will putting. As always, the best stat to start with to find your core players should be Strokes Gained:Tee to Green. Both long hitters and course managers can succeed here but I always favor a long hitter. Another very import factor this week will be Par 5 Scoring. When looking at the average score of the golfers finishing in the Top 10 last year (18 Players due to ties) the Par 5 scoring average was -8.5. This is compared to -6 for the Par 4's and -2.5 for the Par 3's. Survive on the Par 3's, don't give it away on the Par 4's, and go low on the Par 5's. Recipe for success here at the Pebble Beach Pro Am.
This weeks tournament has a 54 hole cut on Saturday. It is a great opportunity to go stars and scrubs, taking some risks in the lower tiers as they will get an extra round allowing less time and scoring chances to over take people on the leaderboards on Sunday.
Also wanted to mention a new tournament format on DraftKings this week. They have started a 3 entry limit, $3 GPP with $3,000 first place prize. Jump on board and get your spot as this tournament should fill up fast.
Below are a few of the key stats that will be used on the cheatsheet this week:
Jordan Spieth
Vegas Odds - 5/1
Draftkings - $12,300
Fantasy Feud - $200,000
Fantasy Aces - $6,500
With the 54 hole cut this week it makes easier to pay up for the top guys. The fact that highest priced golfer this week is Jordan Spieth and it makes it even easier. He has close to a two point lead in the Official World Golf Rankings and will be making his first start on the PGA Tour since winning the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He is coming off a runner up finish last week at the Singapore Open and a T5 at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf Championship the week before. There is a chance he could face fatigue but last time I faded him...well you know the ending. He has finished inside the Top 10 in each of the last two years and will need at least a Top 5 to hit value. Terrific GPP play this week.
Dustin Johnson
Vegas Odds - 11/1
Draftkings - $11,400
Fantasy Feud - $186,000
Fantasy Aces - $6,100
A former back to back winner of this event back in 2009 and 2010. He has also finished in the Top 5 in three of last four trips to Pebble Beach. He is a bomber who ranks 25th Tee to Green who murders the Par 5's. He fits the bill and is due for another win(last one at Cadillac Championship March 2015) and if he can clean up the scrambling and putting he could be back it the winners circle as soon as Sunday afternoon.
Jimmy Walker
Vegas Odds - 18/1
Draftkings - $10,700
Fantasy Feud - $172,000
Fantasy Aces - $5,700
Another horse for the course this week who makes a great option in any format. He will most likely be one of the highest owned players and for good reason. He has made the cut in each of the last five years here including four straight Top 10's from 2011-2014. One of those Top 10's was his big win here in 2014 which was a part of his magical spring. He is another bomber who can navigate through the wind and is one of the top putters on tour.
Patrick Reed
Vegas Odds - 33/1
Draftkings - $9,600
Fantasy Feud - $130,000
Fantasy Aces - $6,050
After a streak of tremendous play worldwide, Reed withdrew two weeks ago at the Farmers Insurance Open. The WD drew heavy criticism from Graham DeLaet(article link here) who was left in a two some on the final day at Torrey Pines. I look for Reed to come out flying and get right back in form this week. He has finished inside the Top 30 in each of his three trips to Pebble Beach and hits on a ton of featured stats. He is 16th in Ball Striking, 3rd in Scrambling, 24th in Par 5 Scoring Average and 32nd in Birdie or better Percentage.
Shane Lowry
Vegas Odds - 40/1
Draftkings - $8,900
Fantasy Feud - $123,000
Fantasy Aces - $5,250
He is my favorite play in the mid $8K - mid $9K range this week. He ranks 29th in Total Driving, 41st in Proximity and is ranking 15th in Strokes Gained Putting and 15th in Strokes Gained Tee to Green. He finished T21 here last year in his first trip to Pebble Beach and could easily match that this week, especially if the weather gets nasty. He finished his final round at Torrey Pines a few weeks ago with a 73 which ranked Top 5 due to the weather.
Russell Knox
Vegas Odds - 66/1
Draftkings - $8,000
Fantasy Feud - $116,000
Fantasy Aces - $5,600
Another player who thrives in the wind and feels he has an advantage when the weather plays a factor. I love the confidence he shows. He is a Top 20 ball striker who leads the tour in GIR and scores any Par 3's, 4's, and 5's. He is a Top 10 scrambler and also ranks Top 40 in Birdie or Better percentage. He did not play here last year but made the cut and finished Top 30 in two of the three years he has played here. He comes with a very fair price making him a great choice in any format this week.
Also Consider - William McGirt(Cash), Will Wilcox(GPP)
Jim Herman
Vegas Odds - 20/1
Draftkings - $6,400
Fantasy Feud - $48,000
Fantasy Aces - $4,350
To fit some of the top guys for stars and scrubs this week you are going to need a couple guys below $7K on DraftKings. While Herman comes with some risk, so will every other choice in this range. He is coming off a missed cut at the WM Phoenix Open but before that had made six straight cuts including three Top 20 finishes. He has made the cut here at Pebble in each of the last two years including a Top 30 in 2014. He is a safe low end option in any format.
Bronson Burgoon
Vegas Odds - 500/1
Draftkings - $5,700
Fantasy Feud - $
Fantasy Aces - $3,850
Not very often I will dip below $6K on DraftKings but if there was ever a week this is it. The 28 year old PGA Tour rookie had a long wait to get to where he is at today and has started his career making five of his first eight cuts. Not only has he been making cuts he has also picked up Top 25 finishes at the Sanderson Farms Championship and OHL Classic. At close to minimum price take a shot on Burgoon in GPP formats this week.
Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am? Chris is selling lineups only $5. He covers DraftKings, FantasyFeud & FantasyAces Cash Games & Tournaments. Fill out the form below or click here to purchase using PayPal. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Chris Durell has been playing Daily Fantasy Sports for three years and fantasy in general for more than a decade. He is active player in college football, NFL, NBA and of course PGA. He lives in Saskatchewan, Canada with his wife and two daughters. You can follow him on Twitter at @jager_bombs9 for advice, strategy, answers to any PGA questions and how he copes with the winters up north.
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View Comments
Great lineup this week. Won good money. Thank you.
So obviously the lineup you are boasting on was on your paid service? It's not on a LU created from this list above?