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Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

02/05/2016
James Davis

Daily Fantasy Basketball Updates for FanDuel and DraftKings - 2/5/16

We're back with our daily updates article! We'll give you what you need to know for tonight's NBA slate, and try to update this piece right up until line-ups lock with as much information as comes across our desks. Let's get to it!

Last night's picks can be found here, so you can wrap your mind around what you need to be looking at before lineups lock tonight.

By the way - we keep our projection system updated with all of the changes as they occur throughout the day right up until lineup lock. Every day. If you want access to that system so you can cut out a lot of the research element, click the button below!

Now let’s look at some news that’s come in throughout the day to see if anything’s changed in our minds or in the NBA landscape.

What We Know

Urgent: Carmelo Anthony is out tonight: Kristaps, Afflalo and Galloway all get bumps.

Ian Mahinmi is still out
All systems go on Jordan Hill and Myles Turner, once again. It's just a case of price/opportunity mismatch, here. The match-up doesn't really weigh into it that much, though the Hawks have been much worse against centers than they have against power forwards, from a fantasy perspective.

Hassan Whiteside will come off the bench again
But he's still around. This meant a slight decline in minutes for Bosh, Winslow, and Deng last time around, and it killed Stoudemire's value. I'm sticking with the assumption that this will happen again, and I'm also not considering Whiteside here.

Jimmy Butler is playing
At least according to him. Butler missed last game, and E'Twaun Moore put up a monster 24/5/4 with 2 steals in 39 minutes against the Kings. Still, Moore has been starting at the 3 even with Butler playing, and he's dirt cheap. I'll still be considering him even with Butler back.

Deron Williams is back
Byebye JJ Barea and Ray Felton. Definitely not playing Williams here, though.

Jose Calderon hasn't really cut into Langston Galloway's minutes
It's not really safe enough to place a wager on. Or rather, engage in a game of skill where you select him. Or something. But Galloway is sort of an attractive big tournament option while the Knicks figure out exactly what's going on there. If we get the word that Galloway is starting again, I'm very bullish on him at current levels.

Marco Belinelli wasn't effected by Ben McLemore's return
I have more confident in this one than I do with Langston Galloway. Belinelli was great in 36 minutes against the Bulls, and he's got a terrific match-up with Joe Johnson tonight. Just boosted his minutes, which should show up in the projection system now.

J.R. Smith will likely get Dellavedova's minutes again
He played 37 and 42 in the Cavs' last two games, and Mo Williams only played 11 when Delly missed the last one. With Dellavedova out again, I'm giving Smith a slight uptick here.

What We’re Waiting to Know

Pau Gasol Status
Gasol's absence would likely mean Taj Gibson would slide into his role (logging heavy, heavy minutes at the 5) and Bobby Portis would log 32-35 minutes as well on a minimum salary. The Bulls have also experimented with putt Doug McDermott into small ball lineups, but he hasn't been very effective on a points per minute basis this year.

Kemba Walker's Status
It looks like he's going to play right now, but if he sits again, Jeremy Lin slides right back into must-play status. One never knows with knee injuries, so I'll be scouring the web for updates here until I hear something definitive.

Matt Barnes's status
This will great affect the playability of guys like Tony Allen and Jeff Green, who logged just 27 minutes each in Barnes' last game. Barnes went through shootaround, and chances seem to be high that he'll at least give it a go against the Knicks. If he doesn't, I'll consider Tony Allen again.

Jae Crowder's status
After hurting his shin on Monday, he rolled his ankle on Wednesday, and he missed shootaround today. With his status up in the air, we need to monitor this pretty closely. If he can't go, Evan Turner becomes very interesting at punt level prices, even against LeBron.

The "every lineup" guys

We've been banging the projections through our optimizer (which will be publicly available right after the All-Star break, btw!), and here are some guys that are showing up in all of the top lineups.

Robert Covington - a universal play against the fasted paced Wiz and the hobbled Otto Porter on FanDuel, but not on DraftKings where he's considerably more expensive.

Kyrie Irving is showing up everywhere against the fast paced Cs. His minutes have finally returned to form, and the Cavs will want this one.

Boogie. All the Boogie against the Nets, who have been brutal against Centers this year.

Marco Belinelli, assuming he's starting again and we don't get word that the Kings want to get Mclemore more involved again (and I mean, why would they?).

That's it for me - let's chat it up in the comments as usual!

Good luck out there today! If you want access to all of our numbers, get started with a free trial below - on us!

image sources

  • Kemba Walker: (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)

43 Visitor Comments

  1. Been waiting all day for this. THANK YOU! I lucked into a Monster ticket earlier this week and have been nervous all day trying to make my lineup. This helps!

  2. Good luck, Thomas! Sorry, there was so much news that it took forever to parse through it all. Plus, lots of meetings and other miscellany around the DFSR offices today. We’re rolling out a new version of our product after the ASB, and it’s been non-stop testing, meeting with developers, etc. Why am I boring you with this? Good question. Good luck tonight!

  3. Do you like Covington as much on DK where his price is $1,200 higher?

    • Aidan – not touching Covington on DK. Thanks for the reminder – I’ll amend the post.

  4. Thanks! and worth the wait! and excited to see the new version of the product.

    • Thomas – shoot me your email and we’ll get you a sneak peek at it. It will be at a higher price point, but we’d like our most loyal readers to get a look first. Should be live for testing early next week.

  5. Good luck Thomas!! I hope you do well. What do you all think about Jordan Hill? Kyrie, Cov, keep popping up in my construction. Belinelli has been playing well and its a high projected total. I keep finding tobias in my lineups. kind of more of how they are developing. Some sneaky things I’ve been doing is inserting someone like tony parker alongside a stud. Im all about the Boogie in my cash but rolling Hill lets you fit in two elite point guards. Philly – Washington, Sac – Brooklyn, Chicago – Denver All Juicy. The Bulls are making it tough for me until I know more. I really got burned last Butler DNP

  6. Nice analysis, Will.

    I really like Hill tonight. ATL been much weaker against Centers. Boogie is just such a good play that it’s tough to get away from him for cash.

    Still, hill in a big tourney seems like a solid play. Wall could definitely kill Philly – perfect GPP play since the minutes are at risk. I wouldn’t play Rondo probably because he lost minutes last time around with his turf toe probs.

    Love D-Rose, mostly if Butler sits. That’s a huge pile of shots to be redistributed.

  7. Thanks Will! Worst case I lose the $2 it cost me to get in 🙂
    Not supposed to do this in DFS but Jordan Hill burned me the other night so not playing him today ( also he wasn’t very good against ATL last game either)
    Agree on Chicago. That sets up so many fabulous punts if Butler and Gasol sit.

  8. Running out for a bit, folks. Good luck tonight – and put any further updates in the comment if you see them. Thanks!

  9. SAC/BKN News : DeMarcus Cousins, Rajon Rondo and Ben McLemore are all expected to play.

  10. BUTLER IS OUT!! thank you baby jesus

  11. Thank you James! This has been worth the wait.

  12. The updates are great ty so much

  13. You guys have me hyperventilating over here. Which is it? Butler in or out?!

  14. Most recent update I’ve seen on Butler is probable game time decision but he says he’s playing.

  15. Hey James and guys quick question. Any reason Aaron Gordon isn’t an every lineup guy?

  16. Now I see he’s in. Sorry I saw a twitter saying he was out. I hate this situation.

  17. Really loving these updates after the pre-lineup rollouts. Keep up the good work guys!

  18. This will help with some punts… Melo OUT tonight.

  19. Galloway will be starting in Melo’s place

  20. re bazemore… I like Bellini and Ellington for same pts and a bit cheaper.

  21. Best of luck to everyone… I ended up with…

    Irving, Rose, Belinelli, Oladipo, Covington, James, Love, Aldridge and Jokic

  22. Good luck all! Love to see all the comments. We’ll usually have someone commenting up until tip off, but Doug is in Mexico at the moment. I’ll be here the hour leading into tomorrow night’s tip. See you then!

    Also! Pau out. Gibson and Portis both great plays!

  23. Wall, Rose, Dipo, Galloway, Tobias, Cov, Myles T, Taj, Boogie (Cash)
    Side Note: Chicago Tilt. I spoke to a beat reporter who lead me to believe (supposedly from trainer … same trainer that flip-flopped on Butler) Pau would play. So in 4 tournaments I am in top 2% thus far but donate those entry fees.

  24. Covington a lock? Thanks a lot asswipe

  25. I had a lineup that scored 356.5 on FD, but only had it ented in a 50/50…ouch. Won the 50/50 out of 4500 people, but ouch.

    • Omg almir, that’s Doug’s worst nightmare.

  26. My lineup cashed with Covington. Still, ouch. Not sure how anyone can predict his minutes would get halved in a close game. Gotta fight another day!

  27. Don’t use the awesome site that they provide free advice. Don’t give them grief cuz u can’t predict a starters mins to be halved like that . He shoulda hit value. It happens .

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