Value and Sleeper Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 8

It's another value picks and sleepers article for the 2015 NFL season! With a couple of weeks under our belts, some players are already undervalued on DraftKings and FanDuel. Roles change more rapidly in NFL than they do anywhere else, leaving us a huge opportunity to get to cashing in. Here are some guys that our projection system likes that you might not see elsewhere.

We've also got Chris Raybon's Week 8 NFL picks sitting there waiting for you to digest.

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A couple of notes on these picks. They are geared a little more towards DraftKings where, because of pricing range difference, it's a little easier to suss out some value on a given slate. Additionally, remember that these aren't necessarily your super safe cash game plays. There is always a little more risk with these picks than the ones laid out in Chris's Week 8 picks article.

QUARTERBACKS

Teddy Bridgewater - FD 6900 DK 5100
Opponent- CHI
Teddy B's been solid if not spectacular so far this season. In the last three games he's average around 35 pass attempts per game though not always as the most accurate passer in the world. It's that second piece which has kept his price on the lower side in that he's not seeing the top end production because not everything is on the mark. This week he'll face a Bears' team ranked 26th in team DVOA against the pass in a game that should remain close (albeit low scoring). I'm not interested in his FD prce, but at $5100 on DraftKings he gives you a lot of flexibility with somewhat limited downside considering the track record.

Ryan Fitzpatrick - FD 7400 DK 5200
Opponent- OAK
Another DraftKings-only play as he's way too expensive on FanDuel. Fitzpatrick doesn't project for as many pass attempts as Bridgewater, but makes up for it some by adding rushing yards that just haven't been there as consistently for Bridgewater. Fitzpatrick has two competent weapons at his disposal in Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker that he does target in the red zone (both rank higher for WRs on targets within the ten yard line). The Raiders are a middle of the road team against the pass, ranking 14th in team DVOA. I think Fitzpatrick actually makes a safer cash game play and lets you load up at the skill positions.

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RUNNING BACKS

Jonathan Stewart - FD 6600 DK 4100
Opponent- IND
He's somewhat of a forgotten man in the world of running backs which is admittedly a pretty deep bunch on a week-to-week basis. But Stewart's usage has been there getting more than twenty carries per game over the last two weeks. He's a top 15 back in yardage this season though his YPC doesn't match with some of the other big boys above him. Another concern is that some of his goal line usage has been vultured by Newton and Tolbert. I'm putting him on the value pick list because his price relative to his overall touches is enticing and if the volume is there his floor will remain higher. An especially cheap option on DraftKings.

Darren McFadden - FD 6400 DK 3800
Opponent- SEA
He was in the value plays article last week and became one of the top points/$ plays on the whole slate. I must admit my reasoning for putting him on last week wasn't exactly the reason he crushed it. I suspected he would see continued use in the passing game. Instead he just became RB1 and ran all over the Giants. He will get the start this week against a much tougher Seattle defensive. Seattle is 8th in DVOA against the rush (Giants are 12th), but Seattle benefits from allowing many, many less plays per game than the Giants. McFadden is here because he will start for the Cowboys and is still a total punt play on DraftKings. He figures enough in the passing game that I think he can still hit value in a tougher matchup.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Marvin Jones - FD 5400 DK 4200
Opponent- PIT
Sometimes the best way to extract value at WR is to pick up on a team's second fiddle and hope the WR1 is blanketed (or double teamed) all game. This could be some of the case with Jones who's seen increased targets over the last two weeks. He doesn't figure to be the go-to guy on a given week, but if Dalton is looking his way more (increasing evidence in this realm) and the price hasn't come close to catching up then playing him in a tournament or even pairing him with Green in cash games to capture a fair amount of Cincy's passing game at low cost seems like a fine idea.

Nate Washington - FD 5400 DK 3600
Opponent- TEN
He led our value picks for wide receivers last week and boy did he ever pay. Washington was in winning tournament lineups as one of the top overall plays at WR at a very low ownership rate. The theory behind Wsahington as a value sticks for this week as well. He and Hopkins dominate the Texans' targets and because they are wildly divergent in pricing, playing them together or separate is fine depending on the game type you are choosing. Tennessee plays at a snail's pace which hurts the volume for both guys. But Washington's price still lands as a great value with very little movement in his tag.

Brandin Cooks - FD 6800 DK 5400
Opponent- NYG
A little more expensive than I like to go in these articles but he's worth a mention for sure. Cooks is top twenty in the league in targets this season and is coming at cheaper prices because he's not finding the endzone. That isn't to say he is due because he isn't a big red zone target for the Saints. But on the chance that his targets do translate to a longer TD then he crushes these prices.

TIGHT ENDS

Delanie Walker - FD 5400 DK 4100
Opponent- HOU
Love the value on Walker right now. He's second on the Titans in total targets (only one behind Wright) and his last two games have seen him haul in 15 catches on 19 targets for 152 yards. The red zone looks aren't there, though the Titans don't get into the red zone a lot, which is obviously a problem. But few other tight ends in his price tier see the same amount of looks and he makes for a safer cash game play at his tags.

 

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