Value and Sleeper Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 6

It's another value picks and sleepers article for the 2015 NFL season! With a couple of weeks under our belts, some players are already undervalued on DraftKings and FanDuel. Roles change more rapidly in NFL than they do anywhere else, leaving us a huge opportunity to get to cashing in. Here are some guys that our projection system likes that you might not see elsewhere.

We've also got Chris Raybon's Week 6 NFL picks sitting there waiting for you to digest.

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QUARTERBACKS

Matthew Stafford - FD 6900 DK 5300 Starsdraft 6100
Opponent- CHI
I always feel the need to qualify these articles with the caveat: These aren't your super-safe cash game plays to take to the bank! Please don't forget that. That being said, we are looking for contrarian value in order to finish high in tournament and get some separation from the field. I wrote in my Week 5 wrap up that I thought there was a sliver of hope for Stafford (however razor thin) considering he's played some awesome defenses to start this season. I know he got pulled last week. That's bad. But the Bears rank 24th in DVOA against the pass this season, and despite the Lions' struggles, Vegas still has them as a slight favorite going into the game (which says a lot about the Bears). Stafford has an elite weapon in Megatron and a passable enough side kick in Tate. He's coming so very cheap (for good reason) on FD and DK and without a solid running attack the Lions will have to pass some here. Could he go Cowardly Lion again? Sure, but I think there's a solid tournament case here.

Teddy Bridgewater - FD 6600 DK 5300 Starsdraft 5300
Opponent- KC
Coming basically free as far as quarterbacks are concerned, Bridgewater is coming off the bye this week to face a Chiefs team that just lost their best player and weren't good to begin with. Kansas City ranks 29th in DVOA against the pass and are slightly better against the run which could open more throwing situations for Bridgewater. The price is the main thing I'm looking at here, as playing Teddy opens up the lineup for basically anything else you want to do. And I think his floor is high enough relative to tag considering the Vikes are favorites, playing at home, expected to score some points and Bridgewater adds dribs and drabs of points with his feet.

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RUNNING BACKS

Giovani Bernard - FD 6700 DK 4600 Starsdraft 6000
Opponent- BUF
At some point you'd think the Bengals would realize Gio is just the flat out better player than Hill. Though it's trending that way to begin with. Bernard has out-carried Hill the last two weeks and is averaging over five yards a carry in that time. If the volume trends up even just a little bit then Gio could easily crush these prices. The Bills rank 24th in DVOA against the rush this season. Cincy is a favorite in this game with Tyrrod Taylor looking like he'll be out. If the Bengals commit to Gio from the backfield then I think he's more than just a value, he seems relatively safe, especially on DraftKings where his pass-catching ability really raises the floor.

Lamar Miller - FD 6400 DK 4300 Starsdraft 4600
Opponent- TEN
Our system doesn't mind him, but I'm more using some context to inform this as a value play. The Dolphins are obviously a mess, but they cleared some of the dead weight by firing Philbin before even leaving London. Dan Campbell claims they will run more (it's hard to imagine them running less) and though I've long since learned to ignore coach's words as truth leading into gametime, this one seems like a likely outcome. Miller is for sure a talent when given the volume and this game doesn't project to get out of hand. Miller's price has plummeted since the beginning of the season, and if you think he sees 20 carries in this game then he could be the play of the day. It's a big "if" of course, but there's at least a little hope.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Chris covered Willie Snead in his picks article, and I think Snead makes a fantastic cheaper option.

For Thursday:
Leonard Hankerson - FD 5800 DK 4200 Starsdraft 4100
Opponent- NO
Roddy White - FD 5400 DK 3500 Starsdraft 3700
Opponent- NO
If you think Julio Jones is actually on a snap count tonight against the Saints (which again, I'm never believing fully what coaches say before games) then the Falcons are going to need to throw to someone. And two of the guys left standing are Hankerson and White. White's been a dead man walking so far this season, so it's tough to completely trust anything from the guy. But Hankerson is already second on the team in targets for the season and should see an uptick here if Jones isn't on the field. If Hankerson somehow became WR1 in this offense, then he is criminally underpriced. And even a slight uptick in targets (say 8) for White would make him an amazing punt play as well. Update: Now news is Jones won't be on a snap count. Let me reiterated that I rarely trust any of this news one way or the other.

Marquess Wilson - FD 5400 DK 4000 Starsdraft 3500
Opponent- DET
Wilson had a fantastic Week 5, going 6/85/1 at a near-minimum salary. This was due, in large part, to Eddie Royal and Alshon Jeffery sitting out the game. This is one of those price versus opportunity situations. If Jeffery and Royal were to sit out again (and neither has practiced so far this week) then the Bears' receiving corps is significantly thinned out. Detroit is a good defense, but doesn't have the offense to get the game out of hand. Keep an eye on this situation leading into Sunday.

Kamar Aiken - FD 6000 DK 4300 Starsdraft 3400
Opponent- SF
Aiken follows much the same line of thinking as Wilson above, except it's Steve Smith we are monitoring. When Smith sat out last week, Aiken stepped in saw nine targets leading to a 4/78 line. That, in and of itself, won't wow you, but the volume at reduced prices will. He saw, by far, the most targets in the passing game. If Smith were to sit again (he's questionable as of this writing) then I think Aiken actually becomes a safer cash game play.

TIGHT ENDS

For Thursday:
Jacob Tamme - FD 5100 DK 2500 Starsdraft 2300
Opponent- NO
Tamme saw the lionshare of targets with a clearly not 100% Julio Jones hobbled last week. I'm not penciling the tight end for anywhere around the same amount of production again, but two of his games this season have at least been serviceable. He's fourth on the team in targets and would clearly see a bump if you thought Julio wasn't going. He's basically free on DraftKings in a game that Vegas has projected for close to 52 points.

Owen Daniels - FD 4900 DK 2700 Starsdraft 3700
Opponent- CLE
In DFS, it can be easy to fall into the "Never again!" mode if someone underperforms when you play the guy. That was the case for some with Daniels last week who appeared to have a prime matchup against the Raiders. He didn't do anything. But with Red Zone looks in both of the previous games, I think there's still some value in grabbing him cheap and shooting for the touchdown. Of course, more a tournament play because he won't see the usage to keep the floor high, but Manning has shown he'll look Daniels' way down and close.

Jordan Cameron - FD 5400 DK 3000 Starsdraft 4100
Opponent- TEN
He's second on the Dolphins in targets, for whatever that is worth. He's just not converting a lot of them to catches. It could be on Tannehill who's completing passes at a rate far under his career average. But there could be a healthy dose of run bad in there. Cameron's 44% reception percentage is so far below his career average that it's almost certainly unsustainable. Even a moderate conversion uptick and you see him crush these numbers.

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