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We've already covered a lot of NFL ground for Week 3 with Chris Raybon's picks. Go check them out. I'm going to try avoid covering all of the same ground as that, while looking at some possible contrarian plays who could produce upside relative to price on this slate. Chris covered some of the top tier QB plays in his Week 3 Picks article so I won't be rehashing the likes of Big Ben, Tom Brady, Nick Foles and Cam Newton. They all make excellent plays and could easily be in some winning tournament lineups this Sunday/ Monday. What I'm doing here is trying to pick of some possible upside on the margins. These are a couple of QB/WR stacks who could pay off as slightly (or very) contrarian.
Aaron Rodgers - FD 9100 DK 8000 Starsdraft 7800
Davante Adams - FD 6400 DK 5000 Starsdraft 4300
Opponent- KC
Now of course, Aaron Rodgers never falls into the category of "sleeper" of "off the radar", but this week there are so many solid quarterback options in the top tier that I can see him getting lost in the mix some. But there's a lot to like about what Rodgers might be able to do in this game. To start the Packers could be without Eddie Lacy (or playing with him less than 100%) which could force the Packers more to the air. James Starks is a serviceable backup of course,
For me, Adams is still coming at a discount. He's averaging the second most targets on the team this season. On DraftKings Adams is only $200 more than James Jones even though Adams has seen twice as many targets. Of course, the REd Zone piece matters and Jones is seeing those looks. But I'll take the volume here with Adams at a slight discount.
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Andrew Luck - FD 9000 DK 7900 Starsdraft 8000
Donte Moncrief - FD 6000 DK 4800 Starsdraft 4000
Opponent- TEN
Again, much like Rodgers above, Luck doesn't qualify in any way as a sleeper, but there's a lot to like about putting him together with these receivers. The Colts have passed a ton this season already against two slow and methodical teams the Bills and Jets. Both squads have solid-ish defenses and gave Luck problems. But this week they face the Titans. Tennessee has only faced Jameis Winston and Johnny Manziel this season so it isn't like they've been tested in any fundamental way. Luck and the Colts have come under much fire early in the season and for good reason. But I don't think it's time to write them off quite yet. Even with T.Y. Hilton on the field, Moncrief saw the most targets against the Jets for 122 and a touch. He's still an excellent value on all sites. And Luck? I wouldn't write his fantasy season off just yet.
Quick Note: Andre Johnson has seen a ton of targets but there is question about how much separation he's getting from opposing DBs. So while I love the looks, I'm worried he might be cooked.
Blake Bortles - FD 6700 DK 5100 Starsdraft 5300
Allen Robinson - FD 6600 DK 5200 Starsdraft 5100
Allen Hurns - FD 5100 DK 3700 Starsdraft 3400
Opponent- NE
This is your deep dive. The Jaguars are going to get rolled. I don't think that outcome is in much dispute. But it doesn't mean you can't grab a little upside on the way out. Bortles isn't accurate by any means, but he's basically free. The Jags will almost assuredly being playing from behind in this one and Bortles will have to pass, a lot. This, in and of itself, doesn't guarantee he hits value just on volume alone. But the Pats have allowed other teams to pass in the first two weeks and haven't exactly put the clamp down defensively. Last week, Tyrod Taylor while playing from behind, threw for 240 yards and three touchdowns. It stands to reason the game flow is similar in this game. Jacksonville can't hang with the Pats by any means, but it doesn't mean Bortles and company can't hit some markers while playing catchup. Robinson and Hurns are the two biggest targets on this squad and could see a fair amount of looks playing from behind. Quick update: Hurns sat out practice, so keep an eye on injuries there.
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I think you mean Allen Hurns for Jacksonville. Rashad Greene as placed on IR so don't expect him back for at least 8 weeks.