Great Value Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 3

It's our second value picks and sleepers article of the 2015 NFL season! With a couple of weeks under our belts, some players are already undervalued on DraftKings and FanDuel. Roles change more rapidly in NFL than they do anywhere else, leaving us a huge opportunity to get to cashing in. Here are some guys that our projection system likes that you might not see elsewhere.

We've also got Chris Raybon's Week 3 NFL picks as well as our Week 3 Stacks articles sitting there waiting for you to digest.

Want to find more sleepers and potential breakout daily fantasy football stars for the NFL in week 3? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft.

QUARTERBACK

Brandon Weeden - FD 6500 DK 5200 Starsdraft 5800
Opponent- ATL
Bad news first: It's Brandon Weeden. This is a dude who wasn't a particularly good quarterback when the Browns gave him the full reins a couple of seasons ago. And he even had a non-suspended Josh Gordon running routes. Just feel like I need to start things out on a realistic note. The good news is Weeden is coming very cheap across the board and showed moderate signs of life in backing up Romo last week. He came in and completed 7-7 with a touchdown against the Eagles. While I don't expect a 100% completion percentage (hell, I'd be happy with somewhere in the low 60's) Weeden has a solid matchup against the Falcons who are allowing the 6th most yards per game in the league. The sample size is small of course, but it's a carry over from last season in which they allowed the most. Vegas is actually expecting some points going up in this one and has the game close to a pick. With Weeden it's a price thing. His DK price is a total punt and he's one of the cheapest starting QBs on the board on FanDuel.

Ryan Fitzpatrick - FD 6800 DK 5100 Starsdraft 5300
Opponent- PHI
I probably won't go there on FanDuel as his price is just a shade too high for my liking, but on DraftKings (much like Weeden), he's about as cheap as it gets. The Eagles are still playing at a breakneck pace this season, allowing the opponent about 70 plays per game which is the sixth most in the league. That kind of volume does wonders for opposing players. While the Jets are committed to the run, they could be without Chris Ivory this week (which I'll get to in a bit) and Fitzpatrick has been an average QB this season in both rating and completion percentage. At this price, average could get the job done considering the expected uptick in plays the Jets could run.
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RUNNING BACK

Bilal Powell - FD 5200 DK 3000 Starsdraft 3500
Opponent- PHI
This is of course if, and only if, Chris Ivory were to sit in this game. But news coming out of Jets camp is Ivory's status is very much in doubt right now. If he couldn't go then Powell immediately shifts to RB1 and makes one of the best punt plays on the slate. Maybe the best one. He's priced as a backup but isn't exactly an unknown quantity. The Jets have given him the ball a fair share this season and he's averaging over 4 yards a carry on 24 touches. He's also a part of the passing game with 9 targets in the first two games. At the minimums, against the Eagles, Powell becomes a fantastic play in all formats if he's going to see the lionshare of the carries. I really can't overstate what kind of opportunity this would be and how much flexibility he'd give the rest of the lineup. The Jets are a running team, the Eagles are a suspect defense and Powell is a clear go if Ivory sits.

James Starks - FD 6500 DK 3000 Starsdraft 5100
Opponent- KC
The reasoning here is about the same thing as Powell with the only difference being it's Eddie Lacy's status we are monitoring. Starks came in for Lacy last game and ran effectively with 20 carries at about 4.5 yards per. The Packers will have no issue giving him the ball in Lacy's possible absence. The matchup against the Chiefs isn't ideal, though Starks' prices more than make up for any defensive matchup. The problem here will be what we know going into Sunday at 1PM. The Packers don't play until Monday night and there's a very real possibility Lacy is still considered questionable at the time. It's a little different on DraftKings with the late swap, but even then you will have most of your roster locked in. So Starks comes with some caveats, but here's to knowing a little more on Sunday.

WIDE RECEIVER

Michael Crabtree - FD 6000 DK 4600 Starsdraft 3700
Opponent- CLE
Somewhat quietly, Crabtree leads the Raiders in targets this season with 24. That's four more looks than Amari Cooper and Crabtree was the primary target last Sunday when he saw a whopping 16 targets, converting 9 of them for 111 yards and a touchdown. If he's consistently targeted like this then the prices are way low for the possible production. It's a little tough to gauge the Browns' passing defense up until this point as they've faced Ryan Fitzpatrick and Marcus Mariota. The Raiders are passing 72% of the time this season, the third highest clip in the league. That stems from allowing opposing teams to put up points in bunches. The over on this game is low seeing as how the Browns don't project to score as much. But the Raiders will pass and allow points. If Crabtree is WR1 of course he is covered by Joe Haden which could be an issue. But these are sleeper picks and the volume on Crabtree could outstrip the matchup.

Nate Washington - FD 5300 DK 3600 Starsdraft 2800
Opponent- TB
Cecil Shorts - FD 5200 DK 3500 Starsdraft
Opponent- TB
To some degree these guys depend on the news coming out of the Deandre Hopkins concussion situation. If Hopkins can't go, then they both see a significant upgrade in expectation. That being said, even if Hopkins does play, I like both as sleeper plays. The Texans have spread the ball rather evenly over the first couple of weeks with that target distribution only slightly higher for Hopkins than the other two. The biggest issue the Texans have is their quarterback play has been erratic at best. Both Mallet and Hoyer have been inaccurate. The Bucs have had a tale of two weeks, getting taken to the cleaners by Mariota in Week One, but shutting down Brees and company last week. I'm looking at both Shorts and Washington as price plays with a bump if Hopkins can't go.

TIGHT END

Zach Ertz - FD 5200 DK 3500 Starsdraft 3100
Opponent- NYJ
It hasn't been the offensive start to the season Chip Kelly and company imagined and that's a pretty big understatement. The Eagles have looked like crap. And though I don't want to make sweeping statements about how the rest of the season will play out, there's reason for concern. But if you are looking for a tight end sleeper this week, Ertz could fit the bill. He's the sixth most targeted tight end in football through the first two weeks. The conversions haven't been there, but his historical stats suggest that should increase. If Bradford can start looking anything like a version of his older self, you could see Ertz break out here. If you are looking for price and opportunity, this is a good slot for the tight end.

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