Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for Draftpot - Week Two

Welcome to the Week 2 DFS NFL picks article for Draftpot, a brand new way to play fantasy sports. Draftpot is similar to other DFS sites except there is no salary cap restrictions. They offer two separate game types(Fan Mode/GM Mode). For NFL, Fan Mode allows you to build a roster of 1 QB,2 RB,3 WR,1 TE,2 FLEX,1 K,1 DEF without salary restrictions. You can roster anyone you want. In GM Mode, you also roster the same positions but have a Drafpot Points Per Game(DPPG) cap. Each player have a PPG value attached to their name which is a reflection of their previous 16 games played. This gives a more transparent look at player value.

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When making my picks I will be looking at a multitude of information (Vegas lines, totals and player props, targets, defensive matchups, injuries, offensive line rankings and of course DPPG) to break down all the players in the pool to provide you with the best analysis possible for the slate at hand.

If you missed out on Week 1 at DraftPot, you missed out on a crazy amount of overlay. Don't worry though. They are doing it again this week with their $10 entry, $100,000 Guarantee Touchdown Fan Mode tournament. It pays $10,000 to first and is bound to have more overlay again this weekend. Get in on the action while there is still time.

To win a tournament in Fan Mode you won't be able to just pick the top players at their positions each week. You will need to differentiate yourself with some low ownership picks. One way I love doing this is picking good players who are coming off a bad to horrible week. Recency bias plays a huge part in daily fantasy and is something we can use to our advantage to gain an edge on the field in large field GPP tournaments. I feel there is a tremendous opportunity for this here in week 2 with the number of poor performances by top players last week.

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Remember, in a mode like DraftPot you will need some separation from the field. Players who stand to produce big games that give you a chance to break from the pack some.

Quarterbacks

Drew Brees - New Orleans Saints vs. TB (DPPG - 21.56)
He put up 355 yards through the air with 1 TD and 1 INT last week against a very good Cardinals defense. More than a 1/3 of those yards went to the RB's which I don't believe will be the case this week. The Bucs gave up 4 passing TD's to rookie Marcus Mariota last week and while I don't like to predict that many TD's each week, Brees is a much better passer with more reliable weapons in Cooks and Colston. I could easily see another 300+ yard passing game and multiple TD's this week.
Eli Manning - New York Giants vs. ATL (DPPG - 18.97)
Here is a great spot to start a QB who should be very low owned after crapping all over the field Sunday night vs. the Cowboys. He threw for less than 200 yards with 0 touchdowns. The Falcons allowed the Eagles offense to gain over 300 yards through the air on MNF and now will have to travel on a short week to New York. look for Eli to bounce back this week and provide you with a differential play to the field.

Also Consider: Sam Bradford - Philadelphia Eagles vs. DAL(17.93 DPPG)

 

Running Backs

Adrian Peterson vs. DET (DPPG - 16.14)
As a lifelong Vikings fan I was full of WTF's on Monday Night Football. Starting the game with three straight passes seemed like Norv over thought the game plan. By the time they tried to feed Peterson the ball they were already down and out of the game. I can't see the Vikings making this mistake two weeks in row. He is still an elite runner with plenty left in the tank and just needs to be fed the ball. The Lions allowed close to 100 yards on the ground and 2 TD's last week to SD and now travel back up north. He is player that could go off this week at a lower ownership % due to his poor week 1 performance.

Justin Forsett - Baltimore Ravens @ OAK (DPPG - 15.43)
I picked Jeremy Hill last week versus. the Raiders and it paid off as he scored twice at a 17% ownership clip. With all the strong choices this week I believe Forsett ccould fall close to the same level of ownership. Forsett could present more upside this week as well as he is a better receiver than Hill and doesn't split carries. Some may look at the box score form last week and skip over Forsett not realizing it was a defensive battle with the Broncos where there was minimal fantasy value to be had. The Raiders have nowhere near the talent of the Broncos on defense.

Also Consider: Lesean McCoy - Buffalo Bills vs. NE (12.47 DPPG)

 

Wide Receivers

Odel Beckham Jr. - New York Giants (23.57 DPPG)
After an incredible finish to the 2014 season OBJ came out of the gate with a dud in week 1 much like the entire Giants offense(and coaching staff!!). I don't see a repeat of week 1 this week. Look for Eli to target OBJ early and often. The Falcons allowed the Eagles #1 WR Jordan Matthews to go for 10 catches and 100+ yards in week 1 and will have a tough time stopping OBJ this week.

Brandon Cooks - New Orleans Saints vs. TB (13.51 DPPG)
He started off the 2015 with one of the toughest matchups possible. He went up against Patrick Peterson of the Cardinals in Week 1 and was bottled up the entire game besides one 30 yard play. He was targeted 8 times by Brees which is a good sign moving forward as he is the most explosive player in the Saints offense. Cooks will face a much worse Bucs secondary and will have a great opportunity to put up a big game.

Also Consider: John Brown - Arizona Cardionals @ CHI (DPPG 9.42)

 

Tight Ends

Greg Olsen - Carolina Panthers vs. HOU (DPPG - 12.54)
A very disappointing week 1 performance from Olsen. With Kelvin Benjamin out it was almost a sure thing that Olsen would put up double digit fantasy points with Cam Newton. The Panthers ran the over 50% of the time in week 1 and had the lead the entire second half vs. the Jags leaving Olsen to play a bigger role in blocking in week 1. He will face the Texans this week who should be able to beat or at least keep it close vs. the Panthers which should lead to cam having to target Olsen more in the passing game. Like the theme of the other picks so far in this article, he should be under owned due to his poo poo performance in week 1. Take advantage.

Kyle Rudolph - Minnesota Vikings vs. DET (DPPG - 8.18)
For how bad the Vikings looked on MNF, Rudolph had a decent game with the second most receptions on the team with five. He looks to be a favorite target and safety valve for ascending QB Teddy Bridgewater. There is no way the Vikings will put up another stinker at home vs. a division rival in the Lions. The Lions also gave up 74 yards and a TD to Ladarius Green last week. Look for a another 5+ catch day and 60+ yard performance from Rudolph. It will be an added bonus when he gets to the endzone as well on Sunday.

 

Defenses

St. Louis Rams @WSH (DPPG - 9.75)
They produced 6 sacks last week vs. the Seahawks and face a much worse Redskins team this week. If the Rmas can get to an early lead like last week look for them to crank up the Blitz's and put alot of pressure on the Redskins front and Kirk Cousins.
Miami Dolphins @ JAX (DPPG - 8.00)
They picked up 1 sack and 2 interceptions in week 1 vs. the Redskins but added a punt return TD by dynamic WR Jarvis Landry. There are a few teams in the NFL that present an opportunity to roster a defense and that teams returner/WR and the Dolphins are one of them. If you had played Landry and the Miami Def last week you would have doubled up on the return TD.

Kickers

Matt Bryant - Atlanta Falcons @ NYG (DPPG - 10.50)
The Falcons moved the ball nicely last week but couldn't finish in the redzone leading to 4 field goals's and 2 extra points from Bryant. In what should be another high scoring game I will be using Bryant a ton again this week.

Zach Hocker - New Orleans Saints vs. TB (DPPG - 8.0)
Could be under owned again this week as many probably have never heard of him. He made his first start in the NFL last week and it went quite well. He made 4 field goals in total and ended up with 17 DraftPot points. The Saints struggled in the Redzone in the post Jimmy Graham era and I can't see that changing real soon. Redzone struggles are good news for fantasy kickers.

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