Great Value Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 2

Welcome to our first value picks and sleepers article of the 2015 NFL season! With a week under our belts, some players are already undervalued on DraftKings and FanDuel. Roles change more rapidly in NFL than they do anywhere else, leaving us a huge opportunity to get to cashing in. Here are some guys that our projection system likes that you might not see elsewhere.

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QUARTERBACK

Eli Manning - FD 8000 DK 7100 Starsdraft 7200
Opponent- ATL
E-sly is coming off an absolutely dreadful week 1 against the Cowboys, and the fantasy community is calling for his collective head. Our projection system? Not so much. Eli was inaccurate and generally terrible week 1, that much is true - but at this point he's priced at a level where you can fit a lot of great talent in around him. Atlanta, for their part, had the very worst defensive DVOA in the NFL last season (15.7%), and played a fast enough pace to where they allowed the highest yardage total as well. They also allowed the very highest yards per passing attempt in the NFL as well. Could Eli simply be aging? Sure. But at these prices, we can absolutely take a shot on him in big tournaments.

Nick Foles - FD 6500 DK 5500 Starsdraft 6000
Opponent- WAS
Okay, so it felt pretty terrible summoning Nick Foles' name into this article. But let's just look at the numbers for a moment. Foles kind of tore up the Seahawks - a super-efficient 18/27 (66%) for 297 yards and a touchdown, spreading the ball out to 6 different receivers en route to leading the Rams to a win. And frankly, it looks pretty sustainable. He targeted running backs 12 of those 27 times, a ratio that will lead to a lot of efficient performances. The real kicker here is that it came against Seattle, a team that ranked #3 in defensive DVOA against the pass (-10.8%) and #1 for total defensive DVOA. In Week 2, Foles and the Rams will face the Redskins, who are essentially the exact opposite of the Seahawks. Their 29.5% defensive DVOA against the pass was dead last in the entire NFL. I think Foles will have another very efficient performance, and there's no reason why he couldn't turn those high 200s/low 300s yards into a few more scores as well.

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RUNNING BACK

Joseph Randle - FD 6700 DK 5600 Starsdraft 5700
Opponent- PHI
I might be crazy, but I just don't get why more people aren't talking about Joseph Randle for week 2. He out-carried Darren McFadden 16-6, was more efficient (4.1 YPC to McFadden's 2.7), and caught 3 balls for 42 yards out of the backfield as well. Yes, the Cowboys only ran the ball 23 times last game. But this is a team that ran the ball 32 times per game last season (the third highest rate in the NFL) - are we supposed to think that they're going to totally flip the script on that winning formula? Philly was actually pretty good against the run on a per-attempt basis last season (3.7 YPC allowed, -17.2% def DVOA against the run), but their fast pace caused them to allow a precisely league average 110.7 yards per game. This game has the highest total of any game in the NFL for week 2, and someone's going to have to score those points, especially with Dez hurt. Game script could hurt him here, but the upside is undeniable.

Tevin Coleman - FD 6500 DK 4500 Starsdraft 4900
Opponent- NYG
The Falcons' rookie stomped Devonta Freeman in every possible metric last week besides pass-catching. He out carried him (20 to 10), had a better yards per carry (4.0 to 1.8), and avoided totally blowing it in big situations the way Freeman did. If they're willing to deploy Coleman for 20 carries against a relatively tough Eagles front 7, the sky seems to be the limit against a Giants team that allowed the 3rd most rushing yards and the very highest yards per carry in the league last season. I kinda love Coleman in all formats, to be honest.

Look out for CJ Anderson's status: If he doesn't go, Ronnie Hillman would be a must-play in the Thursday slate.

WIDE RECEIVER

Terrance Williams - FD 6300 DK 4200 Starsdraft 3800
Opponent- PHI
Just because it would be negligent to not include him. I'm sure he'll be written up all over the internet this week, and for good reason. He's a great play at a very affordable price against the Birds, and should be a major consideration in any lineup. I expect he'll be a huge double-up play.

Pierre Garcon - FD 5400 DK 5000 Starsdraft 4700
Opponent- STL
Absolutely dirt cheap, and while the Rams have a tough defense, Miami was actually tougher against the pass last season (per football outsiders DVOA), and Garcon still managed a line that you'd absolutely live with on these prices. It's easy to forget that Pierre was the NFL leader in targets in 2013. With DeSean out for 2-3 weeks, this is 100% the lowest price we'll see on Garcon while Jackson is out. I like him in any format.

Donte Moncrief - FD 6000 DK 4600 Starsdraft 3500
Opponent- NYJ
He'll be a popular play in week 2 if we get confirmation that Hilton will miss the Monday night match-up with the Jets. Moncrief was great in the few games that Hilton missed last year, and that will be fresh on many daily fantasy football player's mind. But here's the sneaky bit - I like Moncrief even if Hilton shows up, and especially if his status is uncertain. With Andre Johnson looking fully forked, and Hilton at least hobbled, Moncrief should see a lot of snaps and a lot of targets if they all play. In fact, with Revis likely covering either Johnson or Hilton, Moncrief could see an even further uptick in looks. If Hilton's status is uncertain, very few people will play Moncrief - and if we think he's an acceptable play with Hilton going, he's likely a phenomenal play without him. It's only a big tournament play to be sure, but there's serious WR2ish upside for a very small price, here.

Brandin Cooks - FD 7400 DK 7000 Starsdraft 6600
Opponent- TB
A little bit more expensive, but I love including him here because our system almost always hates every receiver in the $7k-$8k price range on FanDuel. Cooks was fairly unspectacular in the Saints' week 1 match-up with Arizona, but this match-up is something totally different. TB allowed the very worst DVOA against WR1s last season, and got torched by Tennessee's official poo-poo platter of WRs in week 1. I'm still waiting for Cooks to have one of those monster target/reception games that true elite wide receivers in the NFL can have, but this game might very well be his first as a pro.

TIGHT END

Jordan Reed - FD 5000 DK 3700 Starsdraft 2900
Opponent- STL
Like Terrance Williams, Raybon talked about Reed in his week 2 picks article for us, but I'll dive in a little deeper. Reed is a great post-hype break-out candidate. You don't love the low total here, obviously, but Reed's a talent that theoretically should be able to perform on this price in any match-up. A lot of people saw a break-out for Reed last year, but nagging injuries never let him get any traction. This season, he appears to be healthy, and was the target-monster many thought he'd be last year in week 1. With DeSean out, Reed might just be a double-digit target guy until he gets back. If that's the case, he'll see a 10%-15% price increase based on the performances he should turn in. At a position without a lot of safety, I love Reed as a way to escape it cheaply if you decide not to play Gronkowski.

Jordan Cameron - FD 5500 DK 4000 Starsdraft 3800
Opponent- JAC
You can't call him safe, but it's very interesting that Cameron tied his highest target total of 2014 in his first game as a Dolphin. Tannehill is no stranger to utilizing his tight ends - he targeted the much less ballyhooed Charles Clay 186 times over the course of the 2013 and 2014 seasons. Cameron is off a lot of radars due to the injury-riddled and lackluster 2014 campaign and his team switch, but don't be surprised if he splits the difference on his 2013 and 2014 seasons, becoming a very useful daily fantasy football tight end.

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