Daily Fantasy Football Picks Week 17 - ScoreStreak

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Passing Touchdowns

Peyton Manning
I get it, he was horrible last week throwing four interceptions en route to losing to the Bengals. His arm strength was mentioned ad nauseum and it became clear that he wasn't quite making the necessary throws. But remember, this is a guy who has thrown three or more touchdowns in more than half of his games this season. The Broncos get a first round bye if they win this game outright and are playing one of (if not the) worst team in football. I suspect Denver will want to come out and put the game away early. That means throwing the ball and building a lead. I think the Broncos keep their foot on the gas in order to make it over quick and that means throwing, throwing and more throwing. His top end expectation is probably lowered if the game gets out of hand, but he seems as safe as they come this week.

Drew Brees
Has looked equal part amazing and broken over the last four or so weeks. I would have felt much more comfortable with this pick if the Saints were in any way still playing for a playoff spot. It would have meant New Orleans needing to keep their foot on the gas. That it doesn't matter at all against Tampa is troubling. The problem is I don't see any other quarterbacks going this week who have solid expectations for high end touchdowns. It's weird that way. For instance, the next closest guy in our system is Luck, but the Colts have nothing to play for. After that there's a huge dropoff with Rodgers in a tough defensive matchup. So I'll role Brees and hope the Saints care for just long enough.

All-Purpose Yards

Arian Foster
If there's one thing we know about the Texans, it's that they are content to take their running backs and pound them into the ground. This goes and is highlighted by Foster who, as long as he isn't out injured, racks up a ton of usage in the offense. The last two weeks he's touched the ball 55 times and total and averaged about 118 yards in each of those games. This week, with neither team close to playing for anything except the opportunity to pick as close to number one in the draft as they can, Foster should see a majority of the carries once again. The Jaguars rank 27th in the league in average yards allowed per game on the ground and have allowed the third most rushing attempts in the NFL. While their average yards per carry isn't horrible, it's the volume we are looking at here with Foster. With Case Keenum behind center the Texans should go back to Foster early and often. No other reason in the world to watch this game so set it and forget it.

Le'Veon Bell
We gave him as a top ScoreStreak pick last week against the Chiefs and he was a disappointment. Don't expect the same this week against the Bengals. The Steelers very much need to win this game to better their playoff seeding so I expect them to continue leaning on Bell. He is such a focal point of their offense and his pass-catching ability is what raises his total yard floor. Cincy is near the bottom of the league in average yards per rushing attempt and are just a bad team against the run in general. In a weird week for NFL fantasy it's always good to target players from teams who need to win. Not the case for Foster above, but I don't suspect the Texans really care how they use the guy. Bell is a different story is so much as this game has serious playoff implications and Bell should be the bell cow.
 

Total Receptions

Odell Beckham Jr.
He was our top play last week for total receptions and he went 8/148/2. The thing with Beckham is simple. He's an absolute target monster and Eli is unapologetic about looking his way seemingly every single play. He's been targeted 42 times in the last three weeks and caught 31 passes. The Giants are of course playing for nothing more than pride this week, but I think OBJ sees his allotted snap count in order to finish the season on a high note. This goes against the "game needing to matter" piece from above. Though here I would say that the Eagles play such a high octane offense that Beckham should see plenty of opportunity in this division rivalry.

Antonio Brown
He basically never sees less than ten targets per game. The only reason he came in light last week is the Chief's insistence on slowing the game down to a crawl and limiting the opposing team's touches. That won't be the case this week against the Bengals in a game that very much matters. ALong with Bell above, the Steelers keep their offense simple. Hand to Bell. Throw to Brown. And call it a day. Brown has seen double digit targets in 12 of the 15 games he's played this season and two of those single digits were 9 target efforts. He caught nine or more passes in seven of his game this season. No other receiver has been that consistent and it isn't particularly close.

 
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