Sleepers - Daily Fantasy Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster for Week 14

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Sleepers

Weekly disclaimer:
The whole concept of a sleeper in one week fantasy football games needs to be adjusted. First of all, there's no real such thing as a "sleeper," in that you're not really going to sleep on a guy until he wakes up. What you're looking at with cheap plays are guys who are priced very reasonably who could go off if all things break right. Sniffing out the best cheap plays with upside is really the only way to have a chance in hell at taking down some of these utterly massive NFL tournaments. You'll pay up for the big names, and then hope your bargain plays pay off. That's where we come in - here are some sleepers that we love for Week 14.

On to the picks

Colt McCoy - FD 6800 DK 6000 DD 10200 DFSTR
Um, this Colt McCoy thing is starting to look like a real one. He's easily paid off this price in both of his starts so far, and positively crushed it while weathering 6 sacks against Indy. St. Louis has allowed the 10th most points to opposing QBs this season - and while I don't expect he'll get the 47 attempts he got against Indianapolis, I think something in the 18-20 fantasy point range is entirely reasonable.

Blake Bortles - FD 6400 DK 5600 DD 10500 DFSTR
Bortles has been on and off of this list this season, and he's pretty much the quintessential GPP play. While he is capable of some of the very worst performances in football, he's also put up 18 fantasy points three times and 20 fantasy points once this season. This is pretty darned good for a guy at these prices. For all of Houston's pass-rush talent, they've allowed the third most fantasy points to opposing QBs this season. All signs point to "good Blake" showing up for this one.

Frank Gore - FD 5700 DK 4800 DD 9300 DFSTR
I understand if you're spooked after Gore's last two dreadful weeks. But running against the Raiders is a totally different animal. We gave you Tre Mason in the week 13 sleepers picks, and while I think Gore has considerably less upside than Mason produced, he could still put up 20 fantasy points here without having to do a whole heck of a lot. The 49ers should be able to control the game easily, and the erratic play of Kaepernick should have them leaning on the run to salt this game away. Oakland's been buried for the 5th most yards against opposing RBs this season, and this one should be as ugly as ever.

Andre Williams - FD 6500 DK 4400 DD 7950 DFSTR
God, it's awfully tough to get excited about Andre Williams. The 2.9 yards per carry are simply horrendous. But, it's that darn opportunity thing again. If Rashad Jennings misses week 14, Williams is a favorite to grab 20-25 carries against the league's very worst run defense. Is there a chance he turns those carries into 49 yards? Sure. But he's still a significant red zone target, and he could wind up putting together a pretty memorable fantasy day on these prices.

Chris Ivory - FD 5300 DK 4200 DD 7400 DFSTR
Our projection system loves Ivory against the Vikings. This is basically a strict price/opportunity/opponent calculation. You're getting Ivory at the same price you can get a 3rd down back elsewhere, and while the Jets generally suck, the Vikings are pretty unlikely to blow out anyone. With the Jets historic QB problems, they will try and use Ivory as much as they can unless they fall behind. Room for a lot of production here.

Harry Douglas - FD 5900 DK 4500 DD 7050 DFSTR
Not a ton to say here, except that if we hear Roddy White will miss Monday's game, Douglas is a great plug and play. He's gotten a ton of looks when White's gone absentee.

Jordan Reed - FD 5300 DK 4600 DD 8800 DFSTR
Pierre Garcon - FD 5600 DK 4000 DD 7050 DFSTR
We talked about Reed in the week 14 picks, so this isn't new information. But Garcon? I'm intrigued. While he had a generally pretty awful game his last time out, he did draw 9 targets - good for 2nd most on the team (behind Reed himself). The other thing? Not a soul is going to play the guy. It's been a bizarre season for Garcon, but there's some chance he puts it back together if McCoy is going to look his way that frequently. One way or another, both of these guys are fine values at the prices you can get them for.

Charles Johnson - FD 6000 DK 4300 DD 6650 DFSTR
Johnson has been on the field for almost 100% of the Vikings' snaps in the last 2 weeks, and has drawn 15 targets in that span. We say this about rookie wide receivers frequently, but their usage tends to normalize over the course of a season, and trends for Johnson are positive. While some might point to the 4 targets last week as a counter-point to what I just wrote, you have to keep in mind that the Vikings are pretty unlikely to beat any team by 18 points again this season. Vegas thinks this will be a relatively close contest, and I think the Vikes might try to put the ball in the air given the discrepancy in competency between the Jets run and pass defense.

Marqise Lee - FD 5700 DK 3900 DD 7900 DFSTR
Cecil Shorts - FD 5700 DK 3900 DD 6950 DFSTR
Depends who you trust on this one. Well, I imagine you don't trust either. Shorts has the more productive past, but Lee has been the Jags' top receiver in the last two games. They both are under $6k on FanDuel. Either is a speculative play, but I like Lee for the current trends and the upside. Even when Shorts has hauled in passes this season, they haven't been for very many yards. Against a team that has allowed the 3rd most passing yards to opposing teams, it stands to reason there might be a few balls to catch. I'll probably slide Lee in a few GPPs, and ignore Shorts altogether.

 
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