Daily Fantasy College Football Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 15 - Thursday-Friday Games

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Quarterbacks

Marcus Mariota - FD 11300 DK 10600
We’re back to a normal short Thursday slate and on these kind of nights it’s imperative you lock up as many “sure” dollars as possible for your cash game lineups. Sure, it’s a fine line to draw because there are so few punt options on short nights, but I’d rather spend for the higher floor than risk dollars on the ceiling. Mariota has been a nice tear lately, even for his price, coming in around 40 fantasy points over the past five weeks. Oregon has a ton of talent and speed on offense, but outside of Freeman, they don’t have anyone who dominates the touches. That translates to more touches for Mariota who averages almost ten carries and one rushing touchdown per game. Back in week 6 Oregon faced off against Zona and the perfect season was ruined. This week it’s about the Pac-12 Championship or revenge depending on how you look at it. Mariota, in what is likely his final game, will have the final say. Ducks roll.

Drew Hare - FD 9300 DK 7700
If you’re not spending on Mariota you should look at Drew Hare. He is far from safe as his games have been all over the place, but the upside on such a short slate is worth the risk. One thing in this game that hasn’t been all over the place is Bowling Green’s defense; they consistently struggle. They currently rank 72nd against the pass and 96th against the run. Hare is capable of ripping off huge gains with his feet and has a speedy playmaker on the outside in Da’Ron Brown. I don’t have a good feel if this game will be higher scoring or a ground and pound possession game, but the potential for fireworks is there. Vegas is thinking around 60 points will be scored with NIU about a touchdown favorite.

Bust Alert
Shane Carden - FD 10000 DK 8500
Play Carden at your own risk. UCF ranks #1 against the pass and I’m just not comfortable paying up for Carden in this spot.

 

Running Back

Cameron Stingily - FD 7200 DK 4800
Stingily comes in as my top value play for the Thursday/Friday slate. One thing I need to stress is this play is more about value and not about my confidence he has a monster game. His price on Draftkings is just too low to pass on such a short slate. Cam comes with some clunker risk, as he combined for 12 fantasy points in his last two games. I have a gut feeling NIU will deploy a much heavier ground attack this week and one thing is for sure; when they decide to give Stingily 20 plus carries he usually delivers. In games where Stingily received 20 or more carries he also tallied 20 plus fantasy points. Much will depend on the flow of the game, but I’m very comfortable stacking Stingily with Hare in cash games.

Nick Wilson - FD 9000 DK 7700
Wilson is the guy I feel has the best chance for a monster game. The Wildcat passing game has suddenly become inconsistent and hasn’t produced many fantasy points. Solomon hasn’t passed for over 250 yards since Week 9 against Washington State. Wilson went through a bit of rough patch a few weeks ago, but has been good over his last four and dynamite over his last two games. Arizona will want to get the ball in Wilson’s hands as often as possible. One, he is their best playmaker and has shown the ability to take it to the house at any given time. Two, my guess would be Arizona will want to sustain drives and try to control the clock in order to keep Mariota on the sidelines. This game features the highest total on the board at 72 and I don’t think we will be disappointed watching the Championship game.

Consider: William Stanback - FD 6200 DK 5000
He could make a strong GPP play assuming he is healthy and starts. It’s not a super sexy matchup, but UCF (much like Zona) will look to control the clock with their ground game.

 

Wide Receivers

Breshad Perriman - FD 5600 DK 5600
Rannell Hall - FD 5800 DK 5300
The waters just got murky and in a hurry. As if short slates aren’t hard enough, but it gets downright ugly when the few teams that are playing don’t exactly offer many receiver options. I’m putting the due from UCF at the top of my list as my overall best value and/or cash game plays. I realize I just mentioned how I think the Knights will look to deploy a run heavy attack to keep Carden on the sideline, but that doesn’t mean they won’t pass and at these prices I think it stands to reason Perriman & Hall offer a decent chance to hit their value. JJ Worton is done for the year so Perriman and Hall should see increased usage. If Stanback misses another game (I don’t think he will) then Hall gets an additional bump since he will once again be used out of the backfield.

Justin Hardy - DK 8000
Cam Worthy - FD 7000 DK 5500
Isaiah Jones - FD 6300 DK 4100
This trio represents the best group of receivers in terms of talent and passing offense, but they face the nations #1 ranked pass defense. I don’t think UCF actually possess the best pass defense in the nation despite their ranking. Some of it is surely due to their favorable schedule compared to other teams, but #1 does count for something. I am way more concerned about Carden since he doesn’t offer much as a runner so he has to do all his damage through the air. The receivers are a little different and especially with the PPR scoring format. Since Carden is a polished passer and likely one of the best passers UCF has faced I could easily see a ton of dink and dunk. While that doesn’t always translate to a stellar QB stat line, it can allow for the receivers to hit their numbers. Hardy is probably a little too pricey for me, but I will look to get him in some GPP leagues. I prefer Cam Worthy of the group as I think his middling price fits nicely with his floor even in a tough matchup. Jones only makes my lineups if I need a WR at his price point.

 

Tight End

Quick Note: With pricing so low you can consider using a TE in your flex spot to free up dollars for better options at other positions.
Evan Baylis - FD 3300 DK 1500
Desroy Maxwell - FD 3000 DK 1200
Murky would be the understatement of the year when it comes to TE. In fact, the position is so ridiculously awful Draftkings is offering a discount. You can now buy a TE for a cool basement price of only $1000. The only goal when selecting your TE tonight is try to make sure he is a real person, is still on the active roster, and is expected to at least be on the sidelines for the game. These two guys at least play, I think.

If you want to see how these plays and some others fit into cash game lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings you can purchase a CFB pack that includes three FanDuel lineups, three DraftKings lineups, and a cheatsheet with analysis on a variety of other plays for $3 by clicking the PayPal button below. This service is separate from our NFL and NBA projection systems.