Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 11/28/14

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Because this is such a huge slate, I'll be giving a few more names with a bit less of a writeup.
 

Point Guard

Going to be a bunch of question marks leading into lineup lock on this position. But I think there is a good chance you’ll be able to go cheap here almost regardless. Things to keep an eye on:

D.J. Augustin - FD 4100 DK 4400 DFSTR 4400
If he’s playing again for Jennings then I think you can easily slot him in as a safe play. He's locked into the minutes and while he probably doesn't have crazy huge upside, this price is more than safe considering the opportunity. He's can score as much as an average point guard and gets enough assists to keep the floor at a decent range even in an off shooting night.

Ramon Sessions - FD 4300 DK 4700 DFSTR 3400
He was a death train the other night, coming out of the gate with three turnovers and struggling to get anything going. But if he’s starting at the point because Collison can’t come back then don’t let the recency-bias nip you in the butt.

Donald Sloan - FD 5600 DK 5200 DFSTR 5700
Oof. It doesn’t feel good, but he has huge upside games in him. Has some stinkers as well.

Zach LaVine - FD 4100 DK 4200 DFSTR 3300
Mo Williams - FD 5500 DK 4700 DFSTR 4100
I think I’d be fine throwing out either guy who is starting for the T-Wolves. Neither will win you a GPP but if they are paying the major minutes at the one against the Lakers then I think the floor is built in.

If for some reason these fill-ins don't work out you can play Reggie Jackson and Jrue Holiday

Shooting Guard

Tyreke Evans - FD 7500 DK 7000 DFSTR 7400
With Eric Gordon on the shelf and the Pelicans throwing out human traffic cone Darius Miller at the small forward, Tyreke stands to continue seeing a bump in usage going forward. He is prone to some rough shooting so you might have to take your lumps with him, but the volume is there for sure. Atlanta’s had a rough time defending the shooting guard position this season though it’ll be interesting to see who they put on Reke tonight. I suspect it’s Carroll, but we’ll see. I like him for cash games.

Kobe Bryant - FD 9300 DK 9200 DFSTR 7900
He was rough the other night against the Grizzlies thanks in large part to refusing to (not being able to) shoot for the first quarter. I don’t think that trend continues over the long term as this guy is going to get his. Even if Byron Scott sticks to playing him a few less minutes I think you are going to see enough shots jacked up from the guy to keep him relatively safe at these prices especially against a weaker Minnesota squad.

Lance Stephenson - FD 6700 DK 6700 DFSTR 5400
I don’t mind the price at all even if he has struggled at times to find a definitive role in the Bobcat offense. But that has caused his price to level out in the mid tier while also putting up stat lines a helluva lot like what he was doing with the Pacers last season. The Warriors are a fast-paced team that plays solid defense mostly stemming from their ability to get down the court quickly and make their baskets. In a heavy volume game, Lance is a stud, but if it gets slowed down on the Charlotte end, he could struggle.

Also consider James Harden if Dwight sits again. Also Eric Bledsoe or cheaper GPP options like Austin Rivers and Lou Williams

Small Forward

Josh Smith - FD 7100 DK 6600 DFSTR 7200
He seems to have turned a corner of late, putting up healthy stat lines over his last few games and most importantly, staying off the bench (coach’s doghouse) through that time. That’s always the big concern in Smoove. He has the talent, but he pisses everyone off leading to limited run. He will have the blowup game right when you start to trust him, so buy accordingly. But this matchup against the Bucks is choice as he took Jabari Parker to task the other night with an 11/10/8/3 line that paid the day.

Trevor Ariza - FD 6000 DK 6000 DFSTR 5600
It’s really not such a secret that teams are really exploiting the Clippers’ inabaility to defend the three. Opposing small forwards are scoring 23% more than league average against LA and the way the Clippers are constructed; I don’t expect that to stop any time soon. They just don’t really have anyone to stretch at the wing. Ariza is a guy I love in a GPP today as well as cash games. His price has leveled out and the floor, considering the matchup, is high enough to warrant relative safety.

Corey Brewer - FD 4700 DK 5300 DFSTR 4200
As long as he’s playing the two in this offense there is some value on the guy at these prices. Brewer isn’t the most consistent guy in the world, but his salaries haven’t quite caught up to his new role. The game against the Lakers, featuring two of the faster/ defensively challenged teams in the league should feature a fair amount of scoring and Lakers can’t defend the two (Kobe and all).

Tobias Harris - FD 7200 DK 7000 DFSTR 6500
He’s another guy whose price is perfectly acceptable considering his usage in the offense and ability to both score and rebound. The matchup against the Pacers isn’t ideal, mostly because they play at a snail’s pace, third slowest in the league.

Consider Andrew Wiggins

Power Forward

Anthony Davis - FD 11800 DK 11200 DFSTR 9500
It will be the debate every time he plays. Is he worth it? The other night was a let down as he didn’t even come close to paying in the game against the Kings. It wasn’t exactly a tough matchup for the guy and he struggled. It’ll happen. It’s what keeps him from being a 13K player. Tonight the matchup against the Hawks is solid. They allow a ton of points to opposing power forwards and have trouble keeping them off the glass. This could be a game he goes to the moon on and I’m hoping the previous game’s results keep the ownership lower than it should be.

Markieff Morris - FD 6800 DK 6700 DFSTR 5800
Marcus Morris - FD 4300 DK 4700 DFSTR 3800
I had them both in the picks against Denver the other night and then took them out for some reason. The system liked both and I’m not exactly sure why I didn’t have them in the final copy. Won’t make that mistake again. Markieff was especially productive going 15/10/7/4 and was also a big cash game start. He fills a role in lineup building because his mid range price allows for flexibility in getting a stud especially when there are a few punts in play.

Blake Griffin - FD 9200 DK 9300 DFSTR 8900
Not the greatest matchup against the Rockets but I still think he makes a nice play about 2K less than Brow. The upside is of course not the same, but he can put it all together in the right game with the right matchup.

Ryan Anderson - FD 5900 DK 6000 DFSTR 4600
He’s benefited a bit from the Eric Gordon injury as the minutes have trickled down some. He’s more an upside play for me because so much of his fantasy relevance comes from his scoring, which really lowers his floor on a given night. But he’s very affordable for a volume scorer playing thirty or so minutes a night.

Consider Greg Monroe who is high in the system but I don’t complete trust the minutes.

Center

Jordan Hill - FD 6600 DK 6600 DFSTR 6400
Keeps the production going really no matter the outcome of Lakers' games. He's basically a double-double machine every single night. And the price just doesn't move. It's pretty remarkable. This game should feature a ton of volume and stay close enough to keep the starters within their minutes. From a a cash game perspective it doesn't get much safer than Hill. Dieng isn't a great low post defender and Hill could put up a big rebound game.

Gorgui Dieng - FD 6100 DK 6600 DFSTR 5100
On the other side of things, I think this game will feature enough possessions to get both centers paid. What I worry about with Dieng is his lack of a role in the offense, especially without a viable point guard to get him the ball down low. The T-Wolves miss Rubio in this regard. But I still think there is value in his price.

Andre Drummond - FD 7100 DK 7300 DFSTR 6800
He's gone full beast mode the last couple of games and we had shares of him in both affairs. There stood good reason to believe he wouldn't keep shooting below his career averages and that number has regresses a bit over the short term. The Bucks defend the low post well enough and he does suffer from foul trouble on occasion so the safety isn't exactly built in. But he's finding his rhythm.

Consider Nikola Vucevic if Hibbert sits again.

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