Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 11/26/14

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Because this is such a huge slate, I'll be giving a few more names with a bit less of a writeup.
 

Point Guard

Going to be an interesting night here. The big names first:

Deron Williams - FD 7700 DK 7600 DFSTR 7100
Gets a fantastic matchup against the Sixers who play at the second fastest pace in the league. Granted they've actually allowed less than league average scoring to point guards, but I'm willing to take tempo here in regards to D-Will. Williams comes are a solid midrange price in a great matchup.

Mike Conley - FD 7000 DK 7800 DFSTR 6600
It's becoming somewhat of a running joke, but the Lakers are allowing opposing point guards to basically get away with anything they want. That's what happens when you play at an insane clip and employ Jeremy Lin as the "defender". Conley, like Williams above, comes below the top group of point guards in price, but has a solid chance of making value because of the amount of volume he stands to see.

Things to keep an eye on:
D.J. Augustin - FD 4000 DK 4100
If Jennings sits again tonight then Augustin makes for a great value for the second night in a row. He was big percentage start last night and if he got the run again I suspect we'd see a similar number.

Ramon Sessions - FD 3600 DK 4500 DFSTR 3600
He was fantastic as a last minute start last night in place of Collison. Monitor this situation going into this evening and hope you have news in time.

Jarrett Jack - FD 4600 DK 5300 DFSTR 4700
He is the backup of course, but he's playing a ton of minutes, sharing court time with Williams. It's a bit weird to consider this on a big slate, but the production has been there.
 

Shooting Guard

Evan Fournier - FD 5200 DK 5300 DFSTR 5000
He had a brutal games against the Heat on Sunday but outside of that clunker, this is a guy getting up a ton of shots on the season. Not many other shooting guards get the kind of shot volume he's seeing. He ranks ninth among active shooting guards in shots per game and is significantly less expensive than anyone else above him. I love the volume and will take it against a Golden State team that's actually struggling to keep opposing shooting guards in check with the scoring.

Joe Johnson - FD 6400 DK 6500 DFSTR 6600
Gets the Philly bump and it's coming at just the right time. His production is always up and down which keeps his price moderate. That's means makes a great buy when the opponent is choice. That's the case here against a Philly team allowing 21% more than than league average scoring to opposing shooting guards. Johnson is a guy who can get hot quick and I suspect you'll see him as a decent percentage cash game start because the mid level salary doesn't crush your cap.

Giannis Antetokounmpo - FD 5700 DK 6200 DFSTR 4400
His minutes appear, at least for the moment, locked in. This is never a great thing to bank of when it comes to the Bucks who, although they have a new coach, have employed some of the starter carousel we saw last season under Larry Drew. He's seen his price climb over the short term now that he's playing the starter minutes and appears to have a longer leash. He has high upside, but there's some risk that comes along with him. Like his terrible shooting night last night. I'm not too dismayed about that though because he won't shoot say 10% from the field for long.

Also consider Eric Bledsoe, Demar Derozan and Courtney Lee

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Small Forward

Josh Smith - FD 6900 DK 6400 DFSTR 7300
Never a sure thing, and can definitely test the very things you hold tried and true in your life. He'll make you question your existence. But there's great value to be had tonight if you think they can stay in the game with the Clippers. If he's playing the three, the Clips have an incredibly difficult time with the position. On the season they've allowed 22% more scoring and 10% more rebounding than league average to the three. Smith is far from consistent and will test your DFS mettle. But his price is in the sweet spot following a rough stretch and this is a great time to buy on the guy as long as he can stay in the coach's good graces.

Jabari Parker - FD 5400 DK 5700 DFSTR 5100
In the typical small forward mold (outside of the LBJ's and KD's of the world) you are subject to the ebbs and flows of fantasy production. Because they play off the ball so much and away from the basket, you rarely have the small forward who offers consistent fantasy production with upside. Parker is a dude who can fill it up under the right circumstances. He faces a Timberwolves team in flux as they've lost their starting backcourt and lack any real consistency right now. He beasted on the Pistons last night and gets just as favorable a matchup tonight.

Trevor Ariza - FD 6000 DK 6000 DFSTR 5700
He falls much into the same mold as the guys above though I'd probably lean a bit more his way in cash games simply because the minutes aren't at all in question ever. That consistency has tremendous value. He's lacked many of the insane shooting nights we saw at times last season, but that's thanks in part to having a guy like Harden on the team who does tend to dominate the ball. That being said, I like Ariza's safety at this price as he's contributing on a nightly basis.

Keep an eye on whether Rudy Gay is out again in order to get your hands on Omri Casspi again.

Power Forward

Blake Griffin - FD 9200 DK 9200 DFSTR 9200
He trolled me hard on Sunday night as I hemmed and hawed about whether to play him against the Hornets and ultimately decided against it. Oops. He went nuts coming an assist away from a triple double in a complete dismantling of Charlotte. Detroit gets absolutely shredded by power forwards and it doesn't too much matter who they throw down there. They are allowing a whopping 25% more rebounding than league average to the four and the other stats aren't much better.

Zach Randolph - FD 7700 DK 7900 DFSTR 7400
Got a bit skunked last time they played, but occurrences like that should be rare against the Lakers. I love when a team like the Grizz, who plod (effectively) up and down the court face a group like the Lakers because the volume alone is worth the prices. Z-Bo should be able to do work against either Ed Davis or Carlos Boozer (preferably the latter) but really either is fine.

Ed Davis - FD 4800 DK 4300 DFSTR 4800
If he is starting for the Lakers over Boozer tonight then I think you can play him at his prices even with the tough matchup against the Grizzlies. If he's projected for say 25-28 minutes because he can stay out of foul trouble then you are getting fantastic value on his price.

Kris Humphries - FD 4200 DK 4800 DFSTR 3500
Drew Gooden - FD 3600 DK 3000 DFSTR 3400
This is completely dependent on Nene sitting again tonight. These guys split Humphries entered the starting lineup last night against the Hawks but Gooden actually played two more minutes. Both are risky of course, but they are getting expanded opportunity at the minimums.

 

Center

Anderson Varejao - FD 5200 DK 5300 DFSTR 5600
I keep waiting for the production to slow down and he just keeps delivering. And the price almost refuses to move. I suspect he will be a big cash game play this time around. He was a healthy percentage start on Sunday against the Magic and really nothing about the situation has changed. He's priced on the lower end of the spectrum and just putting up monster games. He doesn't need to play a ton of minutes to pay though if the game is close, all the better. Washington handles the scoring from centers but struggles in rebounding and assists, both strengths for Varejao.

Gorgui Dieng - FD 6100 DK 6500 DFSTR 5100
As long as Pekovic remains out of the lineup then Deing is a viable option for his prices. It will be a shame when Pek does come back because Gorgui seems to be getting comfortable, averaging around a double-double over his last four. As Andre Drummond showcased last night, Milwaukee can be exploited down low.

Consider Demarcus Cousins if Dwight is out again.

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