Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 11/25/14

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Point Guard

Mario Chalmers - FD 6100 DK 6400 DFSTR 5000
This one is rather obvious at this point. When Wade isn’t playing
Chalmers becomes the cog in the Heat engine. In fact, he’s been so
good that when D-Wade returns I still think Chalmers is a value. His
upside isn’t as great with another scorer in the rotation, but it
seems he’s solidified his role. And as long as Norris Cole remains
out, Chalmers should still see the majority of the starter point guard
minutes. Monitor the situation leading to gametime. If both Cole and
Wade are back then I do downgrade Mario’s value some. But he’s been a
beast at low costs and certainly isn’t a hidden gem any longer.

John Wall - FD 9200 DK 9800 DFSTR 7900
In his last 5 games, Wall has averaged nearly 10 assists AND 3 steals a game. And with him, the points will always come. If he's dishing like this and playing this kind of D, he'll be one of the most consistent fantasy options in the game. Throw in an Atlanta team that has suffered to cover opposing PGs (ranking 21st in the league against them on the backs of Teague's lousy defense) and you've got a cash game play like you read about.

Jrue Holiday - FD 7400 DK 7500 DFSTR 7600
Holiday hasn't posted less than 26 fantasy points since November 3rd. He's averaging 34-37 minutes a game, and has established great chemistry with Davis and the other offensive weapons on the Pels. Sacramento is actually a step worse than the Hawks are against opposing PGs, and this looks like a high floor AND high ceiling play.

Shooting Guard

Austin Rivers - FD 3500 DK 3600 DFSTR 3700
If NBA DFS, or DFS in general, is about finding the opportunity at low
costs then Rivers is your man. It matters not his skill level, or
whether he has a long term future in the league. All that matters here
is he is coming super cheap and is now the starting shooting guard for
the Pelicans with Eric Gordon out. He’ll be on the court with Holiday,
Evans, and Davis so I wouldn’t automatically translate his his second
team starts to his starter minutes. But if he stands to see a 25%
minutes increase (at the minimum) then he is the perfect plug and
play. Again, I’m tempering my excitement some considering Evans and
Brow have high usage rates meaning others on the court see less
opportunity. But the minutes alone should translate for Austin.

Jimmy Butler - FD 7700 DK 7300 DFSTR 5700

This is the great daily question when the Bulls play. Who will play for them? His price is up there and like I said yesterday, that does limit his ultimate upside. He’s essentially been correctly priced for the opportunity with Rose away. It will take a while of Derrick playing to get Butler’s salary back down again. But if he’s one of the primary scoring options on the court then his usage and minutes are solid for cash games.

Tyreke Evans - FD 7500 DK 7200 DFSTR 7300
On a short slate, SG can be one of the toughest positions to fill. Not enough guys play consistently enough, and not enough guys will chip in across multiple categories. Listen - I know we've recommended 'Reke in each of his last two flops - and I know that the perceived safety surrounding him is gone. But he's still one of the only guys who qualifies at this position who has a high likelihood of posting 5+ boards and 5+ assists. With Eric Gordon out, we have to think that this will mean more shots for Evans, and I like the match-up against Rudy Gay quite a bit.
 
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Small Forward

Wilson Chandler - FD 5300 DK 5900 DFSTR 4700
With his minutes finally where we'd hoped they'd be, Chandler has turned into one of the very safest small forward options in daily fantasy basketball. He's getting his shots, crashing the boards, and playing his usual tenacious D. While Chicago isn't a great team to face for any offensive player, they do have somewhat of a dark spot against small forwards - they're 8th in the league against them instead of the 4th they are against the other positions. This should mean more opportunities for Chandler, and he will still have his rebound and defensive stat opportunities.

Omri Casspi - FD 3600 DK 3500 DFSTR 3200
With news around Gay's Achilles continuing to darken, I'm more tempted than ever to take a shot on Omri Casspi. The King's backup has posted plenty of fine fantasy lines on these prices so far this season, and at the very least I expect him to get additional run with Gay being banged up. If Gay takes a game off, Casspi becomes a must start in all formats.

Also considered: Josh Smith

Power Forward

Anthony Davis - FD 12000 DK 11500 DFSTR 9300
At this point there is really only one question to ask yourself with
Davis: To fade or not to fade. The price is exorbitant. And yet he
continues to pay. It’s ridiculous. If he gets a full minute run he’s
seems like almost even money to hit 5x on like 12K worth of salary.
This was like Durant’s run last season except that was related to KD
being without Westbrook and having to handle most of the scoring.
Davis is contributing in every way imaginable. It’s a bit out of hand.
Sacramanto allows 10% more scoring than league average to opposing
power forwards and this should be a high-scoring affair. I’m not
concerned with the foul trouble as he won’t be matched up with an
offensive PF on the other side. So the floor is high. It just depends
on what sacrifices you need to make elsewhere in your lineup on a
shorter slate.

Nikola Mirotic - FD 3700 DK 4300 DFSTR 3000
With Gibson being ruled out of tonight's game and Pau's injury still lingering, Mirotic becomes a stunning value play once again. The big Yugoslavian rookie has demonstrated both vim AND vigor in his limited minutes this season, and Thibs is clearly trusting him more and more. The Nuggets have been a mess at PF this season, with Faried doing Faried things and a bunch of tweeners like Gallo and Chandler trying to fill in the gaps. Mirotic could post a monster line, and is a must start if Pau sits again.

Also considered: Greg Monroe, though he's been erratic, there's lots of upside here if things get going against a lousy Milwaukee team.

Center

DeMarcus Cousins - FD 10300 DK 10400 DFSTR 9400
You almost certainly won’t be able to fit both he and Davis tonight
unless a bunch of starters go down heading into lineup locks and you
think you can get safe money in on some punts. That’s unlikely, though
there are some cheaper options out there. And I do believe he’s more
of a GPP play because the foul trouble is a real thing with him. He
gets a ton of fouls called on him (justified or no) and that can
become a problem with his minutes. It’s what makes him an upside play
and if you are fading Davis, this is where I would go. Even when
getting bounced from some games this season he’s averaging an insane
24/13/2. Putting up these kinds of stats has him in the elite class
and he’s facing a Pelican team allowing worse than average scoring and
rebounding to opposing centers.

Andre Drummond - FD 6900 DK 7100 DFSTR 6700
The price on Drummond is trending toward the ridiculous. The dude didn't go from being a 60% shooter to a 40% shooter overnight. The stuff that's more consistent - the blocks and the boards - are still in lock step with where he was on a per minute basis last year. I don't think Sanders gets him in foul trouble, and I think we're seeing something like his lowest prices of the year, even if he drifts downward a little further before things finally click back together.

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