Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 11/23/14

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Point Guard

Mario Chalmers - FD 5300 DK 5900 DFSTR
Chalmers was positively transcendent last night, and draws an even better match-up tonight against Kemba Walker and the Hornets. If Wade is out yet again, or even if Norris Cole misses another game, Chalmers remains at the top of the point guard food chain on a points per dollar basis.

Reggie Jackson - FD 7900 DK 7700 DFSTR 6200
For your double up and cash game needs, I'd like to submit Reggie Jackson. While the minutes are tapering off to some degree, he's still up in the 35-37 minute range, and the Thunder are decidedly lacking in other offensive options. What makes him the perfect cash game play, though, is his well roundedness. He's averaging 6 boards and 8 assists in his last 5 games - ever since his minutes started going down. Golden State hasn't been quite so tough against PGs this year, and while there's blowout risk here, I think Jackson's a terrific play regardless.

Ty Lawson - FD 8200 DK 8800 DFSTR 6300
When the Nuggets aren't busy getting blown out, Lawson is good for 40 minutes a game. I don't think there's a whole heck of a lot of risk of that against the Lakers of Los Angeles. Sweetening the deal are the Lakers' fast pace, and Jeremy Lin's notoriously awful defense. Lawson makes for a very high upside play for his price point.

Spending your thing? Consider Steph Curry. I like the cheaper guys better on a points per dollar basis, but our projection system thinks he's got a good chance to play well against the Thunder. I do worry that other guys will take on the bulk of the scoring, given that Jackson is basically the one competent OKC guy not named Ibaka.

Shooting Guard

Kobe Bryant - FD 9400 DK 8900 DFSTR 7600
It's semi-weird for me to recommend Kobe Bean at these prices, but our projection system is a big fan. Given the Lakers lack of offensive options, Kobe seems content to shoot the lights out. And Arron Afflalo's defense is not what it used to be. Denver has been the 23rd most effective team against opposing shooting guards this year. I'll be real with you - unless a few punts bubble up to the surface, shooting guard is a mess tonight.

Arron Afflalo - FD 5200 DK 5800 DFSTR 5000
Afflalo is not the safe option that he ought to be, given that he really doesn't do anything reliably except for score. The good thing about this match-up is that scoring should be significantly easier than usual. The Lakers are dead last this season (and last!) when it comes to defending opposing shooting guards, and Afflalo could see open look after open look.

Courtney Lee - FD 5300 DK 4000 DFSTR
Don't read into Lee's last game too much. He was bouncing back from illness, and played fewer minutes while also seeing fewer looks during those minutes. Coming back against the Redick/Crawford combination is enough to get any shooting guard back on track, and I think Lee will be playing at full strength.

Poo-poo platter guys
After these two, it falls off a cliff for me.

Small Forward

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Wilson Chandler - FD 5100 DK 5900 DFSTR 4700
He's back, baby! The Nuggets seem to have remembered that Chandler is kind of an awesome player, but the DFS sites seem to have not remembered. Since November 12th he's paid at least 4x on his FanDuel price in every game, and 6x his last time out. And now? He gets his best match-up yet. He'll anchor all of my squads.

Shawne Williams - FD 4500 DK 4600 DFSTR
This is a riskier play, given how McRoberts' minutes seem to be cutting into Williams'. And if Wade is back, it's sort of a non-starter. But Williams is playing.... kinda well in the minutes he's gotten this season. The risk is mitigated significantly by the price, though. And this leads me to an important point. On nights where there aren't a lot of good options, we want to be spending more, and not less. Instead of playing an underperforming Jeff Green or Nic Batum, I'll be going cheap.

If the money works out for you...
Our projection system is pretty much torn on choosing between Jeff Green and Nicolas Batum. With a gun to my head I'll take Green, since Batum has been banged up, and there are more mouths to feed in Portland. It's your call, though.

Power Forward

Jared Sullinger - FD 7100 DK 7200 DFSTR
If there's a clear play in the darkness of PF, it's Jared Sullinger. He's just 15/9/4 basically every night, which more often than not, is plenty to get you through in your cash games. I'm a little wary of the foul trouble he can get into going up against Aldridge, but not wary enough to not play the most consistent points per dollar guy at the position.

Kenneth Faried - FD 6200 DK 6300 DFSTR 5800
Lakers sweepstakes, etc. Tough to right the same thing 100 times in a row, but the Lakers are awful against every position, and dead last against power forwards as well. If you have to choose, I like Faried a ton because I think Boozer is the next worst defender on the team after Lin. This strictly a GPP play, but the upside is intense when Faried gets going.

Blake Griffin - FD 9200 DK 9100 DFSTR
This one feels a little weird, given the guys Memphis features on defense. But hear me out. The Grizz are really tough on guards, and crush centers. But against power forwards? They're only a tick better than league average. I think the athleticism difference between Z-bo and Blake will be too much for Z-bo to overcome, and that the Clips will get theirs on Blake's back.

Also considered: Lamarcus Aldridge

Center

Jordan Hill - FD 6600 DK 6500 DFSTR 6200
While Hill is a pretty good play on any night, he makes for a true 10 tonight. Denver has been an abomination against opposing centers this year, ranking better than only the opposing Lakers and Philadelphia. Hill's scored 30+ fantasy points against Tyson Chandler, Dwight Howard, and Al Horford in his last three games. This could be Hill's lowest price of the season. I'll play him everywhere.

Al Jefferson - FD 8700 DK 8000 DFSTR
If you simply can't make the money work with Hill, or love your punts elsewhere, consider Al-Jeff. After a couple of random disappearance games, Jefferson posted very nice totals against two tough defenders in Roy Hibbert and Vucevic. Bosh has been looking haggard defensively with the offensive load he's had to shoulder, and this has all the makings of a monster Jefferson game.

Marc Gasol - FD 8100 DK 8200 DFSTR
Gasol has quietly turned into one of the most consistent fantasy centers in the league. The boards, blocks, and steals essentially insulate Gasol against having a bad game, and he does more than enough on the offensive end to put together solid game after solid game. And while DeAndre is a nice help defender and a solid rebounder, the Clips have still allowed the 5th most points to opposing centers in the league this season. I don't think there's monster upside here, but Gasol seems like a lock for 35-45 FPs.

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