Daily Fantasy College Football Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 13 - Saturday Early Games

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If you want to see how these plays and some others fit into cash game lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings you can purchase a CFB pack that includes three FanDuel lineups, three DraftKings lineups, and a cheatsheet with analysis on a variety of other plays for $5 by clicking the PayPal button below. This service is separate from our NFL projection system.

Quarterbacks

Marcus Mariota - FD 10300 DK 9800
Mariota or Barrett? This was a tough one for me. As the season nears an end, there are seemingly fewer slam dunk plays. The pricing has corrected itself (for the most part) and/or the matchups are difficult, not to mention we are entering rivalry week(s). I’m leaning Mariota for a few reasons. One, the price on Draftkings is 1k less and that can make a big difference. I get it, Barrett has been lights out, putting up numbers in the mid 40's, while Mariota has been putting up numbers in the mid to upper 30's. If both guys delivered their top-end performance then I would say the extra 1k for Barrett is well worth it. I typically look for about 4x price so an extra 7+ points for only 1k more in salary is solid value. Two, Mariota is the more consistent of the two. It’s almost like clockwork that Mariota finishes between 35 and 40 fantasy points. I’ll take the consistency and the higher floor in cash games. Third, I LOVE Royce Freeman and stacking them together puts you in a great position to capture most of the touchdwons on a team that scores in buckets. On Fanduel I view them as equal with maybe even Barrett getting the slight edge.

Justin Holman - FD 7100 DK 5700
Speaking of value, Holman offers one of the best values in the middle price range. Holman and UCF don’t strike me as an elite offense nor do they possess an elite passing attack. They do, however, get to face a winless SMU team that couldn’t stop my local high school team if their lives depended on it. As I have mentioned on here before, SMU has had a season to forget. They have had a ton of change this year, which includes their coach up and quitting on them (there may be more to the coach leaving, but for effect I'd like to say he up and quit). UCF is going through some change of its own like losing Blake Bortles and Storm Johnson to the NFL. Holman has been a little erratic at times this year as he goes through some growing pains, but has steadied a bit recently. Their arsenal (if you can call them that) of wide receivers appear to be fully healthy so Holman should be able to effectively spread the ball around. He adds a little with his feet too. Holman offers a bit of lineup flexibility and that cannot be ignored when gauging his overall value.

Reggie Bonnafon - FD 5000 DK 4500
Speaking of value, Bonnafon comes at an extreme discount for a starting QB. Now Reggie is not a play for the faint of heart considering he has looked pretty sucky in limited action this year. On the flip side he has also shown some flashes of real talent. So back in week five against Wake Forest, Bonnafon got the start for an injured Gardner and stumbled his way through the game finishing with 11 points (DK). Last week he came on in relief (just before the half) and accounted for 3 scores (1 rushing) and 157 yards (76 rushing) which was good for almost 25 points (DK). He comes at basement prices and as mentioned with Holman, part of his value comes with the lineup flexibility he provides. Notre Dame has been Swiss Cheese on defense all year so even though Louisville struggles on offense at times they should be able to move the ball and score some points against the Irish. If you get the Reggie that finished out last week's game you will also get the best QB start of the week. One thing that should be mentioned is DeVante Parker was injured the first time around for Bonnafon. Parker is back and that may have had something to do with the better performance last week.

 

Running Backs

Royce Freeman - FD 8100 DK 7900
Love this play and love his price. Freeman comes in as my top cash game play across the board. So typically teams that score a bunch of points and run a high octane, or NASCAR, offense, do so via the pass. Well, Oregon actually runs the snot out of the ball and the ground game really has been their bread and butter since becoming the potent offense they still are today. Oregon seems to have a plethora of talented backs chomping at the bit to get their chance to showcase their talents. Last year we saw Byron Marshall (freshman) slowly overtake the dynamic Thomas Tyner. This year we are seeing Royce Freeman (freshman) slowly overtake Marshall as the lead back. Marshall now lines up as receiver just as much, if not more, than running back. Freeman is the feature back and doesn’t give way to others down near the goal line. Touchdowns are volatile for sure, but Oregon offers ample opportunity for touchdowns every game.

Ameer Abdullah - FD 8100 DK 7300
This may be a sneaky spot for Abdullah. He was on quite the tear before going down with a minor leg injury. During a six game stretch, before the injury, Abdullah put up over 40 fantasy points five times. Against Purdue he carried the ball before leaving due to injury and then Nebraska had a week off. Last week he took on a tough Wisconsin team and had a poor game by his standards. He started off well rushing for 42 yards in the first quarter, but finished with only 69 yards on the day. The game did get out of hand and Melvin Gordon gained enough yards for both backs. All of sudden his price dropped from elite levels to middling levels and he could payoff big time this week. Minnesota is strong against the run and overall, but Abdullah is one of those guys that are generally matchup proof. Assuming he’s fully healthy its going to be really difficult to leave him out of cash lineups.

Jeremy Langford - FD 9600 DK 7400
Justin Jackson - FD 6000 DK 6400
I think these guys offer equal value, but at different price points. Langford has quietly been churning out solid game after solid game and should do so again this week against a Rutgers team still getting used to playing in the Big Ten. Rutgers is down defensively compared some of their more recent teams and that may be glaring come Saturday. Langford scored 4 touchdowns though the first 6 games. He has scored 11 touchdowns the past 4. That’s a heck of a pace and I would totally want to get on board with that.

Meanwhile, Jackson is the focal point of the Northwestern offense and sees the kind of volume you want for cash games. Purdue can be feisty at times, but I just don’t see them being able to shut down the Wildcats for an entire game. Northwestern has had some struggles on offense, but since Jackson has taken over they have been a little better and more consistent. Especially if you consider some the difficult (defensively) opponents they have had to face playing a Big Ten schedule.

Wide Receivers

DeVante Parker - FD 7400 DK 7000
I hate receiver this week. The big boys just don’t seem to offer enough value for one reason or the other. While there are plenty of low-end/punt plays they are priced that low for a reason. They help you fill out a lineup and play an important role, but they usually don’t offer a ton of safety. Parker is one guy that I think kind of stands out to me. The change at quarterback is certainly cause for some concern, but hey, it looked okay last week when Bonnafon came on in relief. Parker missed the first half of the season and has been back for three games now. In those three games he has at least 8 catches and 132 yards. He only has one touchdown, which he scored last week with Bonnafon under center. At 6’3’ 210lbs Parker can be a difficult matchup for DB’s. He’s a legit talent that should get his chance at the next level. Best of all, Parker doesn’t need to score to hit value here, but it would be nice if he did. The Irish will likely allow him the opportunity to get in for six.

 

As for the remaining group of receivers there really isn’t a guy that separates himself for me. I try to avoid grouping guys, but it’s how I see it and how I’m playing it. Plus, the last time I gave you two different pairings it did quite well. Week 11; Goodley/Coleman combined for 24/316/1 and Lucas/Garrett combined for 8/184/4.

Justin Hardy - FD 9000 DK 9300
Cam Worthy - FD 4900 DK 5600
Hardy is the dominant receiver on a team with a dominant passing attack. Hardy went for 15/188/2 and a 7 yard rushing TD last week. That’s the kind of game he is capable each week, but that potential comes at a price. The rub with teams that have a dynamic passing attack is they usually have more than one capable receiver, as is the case with East Carolina. There’s no doubt Hardy is the best, but Worthy and Jones have some skill and can steal the show if Carden decides to look their way more often. Hardy is actually the riskier play in my opinion. Worthy typically sees enough volume that he offers a reasonable safety at this price.

Breshad Perriman - FD 5600 DK 4600
J.J. Worton - FD 5100 DK 3800
Rannell Hall - DK 3100
There’s only so many ways you can say a team sucks and I’m slowly running out of ways. This week’s way is equating SMU to the Philadelphia Sixers. They’re real players and stuff, but you’re just not sure who they are or how they made the team. SMU hasn’t won all year. It’s quite likely they won’t win a game all year. Most of why I like these guys you can gather from my spot on Holman. They are all strong value plays at reasonable prices. Hall is especially attractive on Draftkings where he almost minimum price. Hall is returning from a hammy issue so buyer beware. Perriman is the top dog, but it’s not by a wide margin. These guys all make excellent low-end/punt plays. They can also be used in GPP format since none of them should be heavy starts and all are capable of big games.

Tight Ends

Maxx Williams - FD 4100 DK 3300
Yes, we finally made it to TE. If you have followed me all year you are witness to my many pleas for the next Jace Amaro to please stand up. Williams isn’t the next Jace Amaro, but by process of elimination he is the closest thing from the guys you can choose from. He did have a three score game a couple weeks back. Nebraska isn’t a great matchup, but sometimes those are the ones that result in more TE targets. (Casey Pierce, who isn’t available, is actually kind of close to Jace Amaro and has a cool first name).

If you want to see how these plays and some others fit into cash game lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings you can purchase a CFB pack that includes three FanDuel lineups, three DraftKings lineups, and a cheatsheet with analysis on a variety of other plays for $5 by clicking the PayPal button below. This service is separate from our NFL projection system.