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Listen - it'd be nearly impossible to create a whole projection system for college football, but Casey is willing to sell his cash game lineups through DFSR.
If you want to see how these plays and some others fit into cash game lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings you can purchase a CFB pack that includes three FanDuel lineups, three DraftKings lineups, and a cheatsheet with analysis on a variety of other plays for $5 by clicking the PayPal button below. This service is separate from our NFL projection system.
Dak Prescott - FD 10400 DK 9900
Quarterback is a little weird tonight so I’m opting for safety and spending big. And if I’m spending big I’m spending big on this dude. Dak’s floor is so unbelievably high and he has proven he is basically matchup proof. Arkansas certainly won’t lie down, but I don’t think there are many defenses in the country that can really shut Prescott down. He is averaging almost 40pts (DK) per game and has accounted for 25 total touchdowns. Playing in the SEC you’re bound to go up against some tough matchups. Dak has and he has continued to do his thing. The Bulldogs are modest favorites at -10 with a total hovering around 60. I see this game as a little higher scoring than that, but I do agree with the line. Dak will have to earn it, but he’s been doing that all year.
Johnny McCrary - FD 5300 DK 4700
On the total other end of the spectrum we have Johnny Football (I heard someone once called him that). McCrary started the year holding a clip board, but has sprung into action due to an injury to Robinette. In his first start he was just okay, but just okay is okay at these prices. Was that one too many okays? Last week was at Missouri, which is hardly an optimal first start. This week the Vandals are back home and Johnny McCrary should be a little more comfortable with the offense with another week to get acclimated. The Vanderbilt offense has been woeful at times this year so getting to take on a soft Old Dominion team compared to the gauntlet, also known as, the SEC, should have the Vandy offense licking its lips. Shoot, Vanderbilt is actually favored by a touchdown and the total is just south of 60. I'm not saying McCrary is going to totally crush it (he might), but I am saying that these prices and considering the matchup, you have yourself a great cash game play.
Jordan Howard - FD 6700
The Blazers will be without their starting QB, Clement, who will be out a few weeks. They ran the ball more than passed before the loss of their starting signal caller and now they should run even more. Howard won’t be the only back to get the ball, but he will get it the most. In his last four games he has five total touchdowns. That includes a zero TD game last week against Arkansas. Florida Atlantic is ranked 106th against the run and I think UAB is going to test that ranking quite a bit. Vegas says the game will be close and relatively high scoring with a 4.5 line in favor of FAU and a total near 60. Howard should see as much volume as he has seen all year and should have no problem eclipsing 100 and a touch.
Ezekiel Elliott - FD 7500 DK 6800
Elliott may appear a smidge overpriced due to his lack of touchdowns and I probably wouldn’t disagree with you. While he hasn’t found the end zone often, he has racked up the yards. Last week he went for 109 against a very tough Penn State run defense (were 1st in the country). Now Zeke gets to take on the 120th ranked run defense in the country. Illinois was an abomination against the run last season and it appears some things don’t change. In addition, last week Barrett got a little nicked with some sort of knee strain. He didn’t miss any action and is expected to be fine, but Urban Meyer may elect to run more often to protect his star QB. His price is right where it should be and compared to the field Zeke offers decent safety and, if he can score, some upside too. He wouldn’t be on here if I didn’t think he would end zone against an extremely porous Illini defense. Go Buckeyes (sorry mom).
Mike Davis - FD 8600 DK 6900
Davis had a very disappointing year given the season he had last year and the lofty expectations coming into this year. The past few weeks have been better and since the spotlight has shifted to other star players around the country, not many people have taken notice of his resurgence. Davis has seven total touchdowns in his past four games and in his last three has hit the 30pt (DK) mark each game. My inner chi is telling me this game will feature Davis quite a bit. Cooper has been a nice surprise on the outside and no doubt some of his success is due to defenses keying in on Davis. The Volunteers have a solid secondary and the Ball Coach will need to shift some of his focus to feeding his star back the rock. I expect MD to continue this little hot streak he’s on. SC is only favored by 6 so the game should be close enough Davis gets a full run. He may start a little slow, but come the fourth quarter he will start run dudes over.
Jordan Payton - FD 6700 DK 5600
I really like Payton in this spot. UCLA has three weapons; Hundley, Perkins, and Payton. It’s not to say that Hundley doesn’t get the ball to other players, he does, just not at the same frequency he looks for Payton. This should be a really good game with tons of scoring or at least Vegas thinks so with a total pushing 70. Arizona is considerably better at stopping the run (40th) than stopping the pass (107th). That’s a pretty wide gap and you can bet the UCLA coaching staff is looking for ways to exploit the holes in the secondary. He doesn’t break the bank and his upside paired with his safety makes Payton a strong cash game play.
Antonio Vaughan - FD 6600 DK 6500
Vaughan went off last week and if you follow us here in DFSR he was in your lineups. He finished with only six receptions, but those six receptions went for 220 yards and two scores. I’m probably sticking my neck out a bit with this pick given it’s on the road against an SEC school. The thing is its Vanderbilt. They’re kind of like the SEC sub division Poly Tech A&M. Ok, they’re not that bad, but they’re not your standard SEC team. On the flip side, when you have a team like ODU traveling to an SEC school, they may have a little extra giddyup in their step to stake their claim that they belong. The risk is real, but Vaughan is a real talent and he should create some real mismatches. As long as Heinke can get him the ball AV should get it done again.
Lucky Whitehead - FD 5400
Whitehead is actually one of my favorite plays for the late slate. Obviously only available on Fanduel, but you should consider him often as a really strong value play. We already know he’s lucky and it’s better to be lucky than good. Whitehead is the main target in the passing game and should find quite a few holes against a soft Southern Miss secondary. To clarify what I mean by soft; Rick Moranis and The Little Giants has a more formidable defense. “Don't be talkin' bout my momma!” A 116th against the pass the only good news is you can’t get much worse. Florida Atlantic should have success through the air and on the ground. When it’s through the air you bet my man Lucky will be on the receiving end.
Tight end is a disaster as usual. All of the guys mentioned below offer a decent chance at some production. I don’t have a TE I’m really keying on for the night slate. One thing for sure though, is the TE I use is very site specific. I’m playing P. Brown a bunch on Draftkings, but not once on Fanduel due to the price difference. Jarred Gipson is seeing most of my Fanduel lineups. Both Ohio St. TE’s (Heuerman & Vannett) are scoring threats.
Westlee Tonga - FD 3200 DK 3300
Jeff Heuerman - FD 3100 DK 2900
Pharaoh Brown - FD 4800 DK 3100
Jarred Gipson - FD 3000 DK 2800
Malcolm Johnson - FD 3200 DK 2500
If you want to see how these plays and some others fit into cash game lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings you can purchase a CFB pack that includes three FanDuel lineups, three DraftKings lineups, and a cheatsheet with analysis on a variety of other plays for $5 by clicking the PayPal button below. This service is separate from our NFL projection system.
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