Daily Fantasy College Football Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 10 - Saturday Early Games

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Quarterbacks

News Alert - Kyle Allen has been named the starter for Texas A&M. Allen is immediately a must start option and should be treated as such. You can safely swap him in for Long.
AJ Long - FD 4800 DK 4800
Gut call here folks and if you follow me you know my gut doesn’t miss often. Long is super cheap, which immediately pays dividends because of the flexibility it allows throughout the rest of your lineup. Look, he hasn’t been great since taking over for the injured Terrel Hunt, but let’s take a closer look at his game action. In his only snaps on his home turf he looked better than okay against a quality opponent. In limited action against FSU (split reps with Wilson) he went 16 of 27 for 167/2, which is good for almost 15pts (DK). Next up, at Wake Forest and he was sort of underwhelming there. I recommended him against Wake and used him often (bummer), but considering Cuse scored two defensive touchdowns in the first half and they were up 30-7 entering the fourth, I guess it’s understandable he missed value. His next start was at Clemson. That’s not an easy task for some of the best quarterbacks in the country. I don’t think many people were surprised he struggled. This week against NCST is the best matchup he has had since taking over and here’s why. For starters, it’s at home. NCST is clearly a better team than WF, but that’s a good thing. Cuse will be able to move the ball against them, but it won’t be a blowout. Lastly, they ain’t scoring two more defensive touchdowns. You’re either gonna love me or hate me come Saturday night for convincing you Long needs to see most of your lineups on both sites.
News Alert - Kyle Allen has been named the starter for Texas A&M. Allen is immediately a must start option and should be treated as such. You can safely swap him in for Long.

Shane Carden - FD 9800 DK 9500
Carden was going to be my top QB play for the week, but the impending weather has me concerned just enough to take him out of the #1 slot. I still think Carden will do some serious damage against an over-matched Temple secondary. The weather forecast certainly isn’t great, but it’s not a total monsoon. Temple is currently ranked 49th against the pass, but as I mentioned in previous weeks, it’s a very misleading number. Teams that have an above average passing attack have been able to really move the ball against them. Take a look at the Tulsa game for example; Temple was ranked even higher against the pass heading into that game and I recommended playing Keevan Lucas despite the lofty ranking. Final stat line was 9/109/1 or roughly 29pts (DK). Carden & Co. has a much more prolific passing attack and a multitude of capable receivers. Speaking of ECU receivers, Justin Hardy is an NFL talent and the Owls absolutely have no answer for him. If they double or triple him it may slow him a bit, but Carden will just look to Worthy or Jones, Allen out of the backfield, or ahh never mind you get the point. Who cares the game is on the road. I live in Philly and trust me when I tell you; there will be a lot of open seats in the stadium. Being able to grab a cheesesteak will be the best thing for any fan going to this game. Carden has the matchup, the weapons and the skill to dominate this contest. Check the weather and unless it’s worse than expected Shane should boogie.

Connor Halliday - FD 9500 DK 9300
At first glance, I was all over Carden and fading Halliday due to his somewhat tough matchup against USC. Halliday is similarly priced so it made sense to roll Carden every time considering the favorable matchup. As I mentioned above, the expected soggy weather has me giving Halliday a much longer look. Halliday has been rock solid all year except the hiccup against Stanford. That game was at Stanford and they have a better defense than USC. One thing is for sure, Halliday and the Wazzu offense is going to chuck whistle to whistle regardless if they are getting stymied. He has a great set of receivers that run about 4 deep and that’s something USC hasn’t had to face yet. Arizona State dropped some big numbers on USC, like 5 TD passes and no INT's, and J. Strong was unstoppable. Wazzu might not have a WR the caliber of Strong (although Mayle is close), but they have a multiple of really good ones. I still have some reservations, but the risk is similar to the potential weather impact on Carden. The volume is just too much to ignore what Halliday brings to the table.

Running Backs

Duke Johnson - FD 9200 DK 8700
DJ went bananas last week and is my top overall play this week. Correction; DJ went bananas in the first half last week. Johnson was simply unstoppable last week and now has an even tastier matchup. I think I may be able to rush for a few 100 yards against North Carolina. This game has everything you want; a hot running back, at home, and an absolutely horrible run defense. The Tar Heels sit at 107th against the run. Add out of the eight games North Carolina has played, only two of their opponents would be considered heavy rush teams (SDST & GT). Possibly the tastiest part of all is that UNC has found their offense and has been putting up some gaudy stats. Miami is currently a 14.5 favorite with a 68.5 total. That’s about as perfect a line you can ask for. So Miami is expected to win comfortably, but it’s not expected to be a blowout. And both teams are expected to score a ton of points. The Hurricane offense will feed Duke early and often and everything in between. This is going to be a fun game to watch and you may see Duke exceed his incredible game from one week ago. As John Oliver would say, “You lock that sh*t down, you lock it down, LOCK that sh8t down”. DJ is a must play across the boards.

Justin Jackson - FD 6000 DK 5100
Jackson has been a beast since assuming the full time starting role over fellow back Treyvon Green. Since the transition (5 weeks) JJ has rushed for 538 yards and 3 touchdowns. He also added 8/79/1 out of the backfield. So I hear ya, 617 total yards and 4 scores aren’t all that special over five weeks. Well, @PSU, Wisc, @Minn, and Neb doesn’t exactly scream soft. In fact that’s a pretty tough stretch for the mediocre Northwestern offense. I’m not saying Iowa is soft, but they sit at 42nd against the run. Considering PSU & Wisc both sit inside the top 15 at stopping the run this may seem easy to Jackson. This is going to be a field position, grind it out kind of game. Classic Big Ten football. Feeding your running back over and over is also classic Big Ten football. Jackson is strong value on both sites and can be played in all formats. Maybe not the greatest of GPP plays, but could hit a homerun.

Prince-Tyson Gulley - FD 4600 DK 3900
This play is simply about value and man these prices are cheap. I realize why they’re cheap, but I’ve good a good feeling about this game. Plus, at basement prices the risk is mitigated to an extent. I’m not feeling running back as a whole this week so using Gully allows for cash on the lock down guys like Duke. Gully is a guy with a solid matchup at home and he also happens to be one of the few semi bright spots on the Cuse offense. NCST ranks 90th against the run and I see the Orangemen being able to move the ball. AJ Long is still a little wet behind the ears so they should lean on Gully a little more to keep the pressure off the passing game. Man this price is cheap.

Wide Receivers

Deontay Greenberry - DK 4400
Continuing the theme of delivering you bargain plays at each position we’re going with DGB (that’s short for Deontay GreenBerry). DGB was a regular cascarruthers play most of last season and early on this year. I quickly realized something went horribly wrong O’Korn and the Cougar offense during the offseason. They were terrible, but since Ward Jr. took over for O’Korn, they have shown some signs of life. Last week DGB snagged 10/63/1. The yardage wasn’t great, but double digit receptions makes up ground quickly. The prices haven’t reflected the recent breath of offense and you can snag Greenberry on the cheap with a juicy matchup. South Florida is currently ranked 98th against receivers/pass and will likely leave some holes for DGB to exploit. Ward Jr. is a duel threat QB so you would think the volume might decline as Ward Jr. carries the ball some. Well, O’Korn couldn’t keep the offense on the field so any volume would be an upgrade. Fellow wide out, Daniel Spencer, has been lost for the year and his targets need to be absorbed by someone. Greenberry was already the stud of the group and now the #2 is out. His volume alone should cover his price tag with some serious upside built in.

Vince Mayle - FD 7800 DK 7900
Mayle has been really getting it done lately. In three of his last four games he surpassed 35pts (DK) and will look to record double digit receptions for the 4th time this year. I was high on Cracraft last week based on his floor being a smidge better than Mayle’s, but he left early in the game with a leg injury. Cracraft leaving early probably contributed a bit to Mayle ending up with 14 grabs, but in this offense it wouldn’t be shocking to hit that number with or without Cracraft in the lineup. I haven’t seen anything definitive about Cracraft’s status for this week’s game. Mayle has accounted for 71/926/8 on the year and Halliday has complete confidence throwing him the ball. His final line will really depend on him finding the end zone, but the expected volume should get him near his value by itself.

Nelson Agholor - FD 7700 DK 6700
Mayle’s counterpart, Mr. Agholor will line up on the other side will no doubt want to do his part to keep the USC passing attack humming. Agholor actually matches Mayle’s volume since he completely dominates the targets on his team. Nelson has 32 receptions over his last four games to go along with 404 yards and four touchdowns. Washington State currently ranks 115th against the pass, which is pretty much awful. The Trojan’s boast a pretty potent backfield led by Buck Allen. There is no way WSU can drop guys back in coverage or Allen will gash them. I expect Nelson to get some one-on-one matchups and will be a major player in the passing game. Love his price on DK.

Tight Ends

David J. Grinnage - FD 3700 DK 2600
I enjoy picking a TE like I enjoy paying for crap ass toys my kids insist on having only to break or “lose” 10 minutes later. If you have kids try and stay away from Dollar Stores. I stopped to get batteries after picking them up at daycare and left with $97.50 of useless crap that my dog is going to eat and eventually dispose of in my backyard. Back to the task at hand; your TE. Grinnage is great value on Draftkings and somewhere between so-so and decent on Fanduel. He gets red zone targets and NCST doesn’t really have a go to guy on the outside to dominate the targets. Cuse stops the run better than the pass.

If you want to see how these plays and some others fit into cash game lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings you can purchase a CFB pack that includes three FanDuel lineups, three DraftKings lineups, and a cheatsheet with analysis on a variety of other plays for $5 by clicking the PayPal button below. This service is separate from our NFL projection system.