Daily Fantasy Football Picks Week 8 - ScoreStreak

Looking for our picks for traditional salary cap leagues like FanDuel, Draftster, and Draftkings? Check out our week 8 picks article, or our week 8 podcast.

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Passing Touchdowns

Aaron Rodgers
There are a few factors having me lean towards Rodgers this week for the top tier of passing touchdowns. This game against the Saints has, by far, the highest O/U of the week at 55 and it’s a pick’em. A ton of points are projected to go up for this game. Rodgers has been victimized a bit this season simply because the Packers get up a bunch early and don’t need to throw anymore. So, in some ways, his numbers look a little lighter than what they could be if the other teams could hang at all with Green Bay. The other reason I’m loving Rodgers’ opportunity this week has to do with what the Packers do when they get down around the red zone. On the season they pass 63% of the time. And when they get closer, like within the 10 yard line, it jumps up to passing 73% of the time. This is the highest in the league by a fair margin. It’s a byproduct of having one the NFL’s best receivers in Jordy Nelson and a damn good one in Randall Cobb. Look for Rodgers to chuck all day long in this game and slot him in for the upper tier of TDs.

Andrew Luck
It really doesn’t make me feel great going chalk all the way, and I get away a little from it later on in these picks, but there really is no reason to get away from Luck on Sunday. With Manning, Rivers, Stafford and Ryan already having played (not that I loved any of them more than Luck per se) few pass heavy offenses are going by the time we reach the regular schedule of games. Luck has at least three passing touchdowns in four of his seven games this season and is now facing a Steeler team only slightly above average against the pass. As with Rodgers, Indy leans toward the pass in the red zone (though not to such a stark degree) and Luck should see the opportunity he needs. I won’t play him in the highest slot, but he appears safe relative to the field.

Total Yards

Matt Forte
It says something about a player when he has his worst game of the year and still totals 109 total yards on the day (49 rushing, 60 receiving). Forte is just a monster and though I’m off him a bit in salary cap formats, I don’t see any reason to stay away when we aren’t constrained by the almighty dollar. The great thing about Forte in this situation is that it doesn’t really matter what happens with the Bears in terms of this game. If they are winning he gets the ball on the ground. If they are losing (or frankly, even if they are winning) he factors so much in the passing game that he could meet his mark just through the air. Forte has an insane 52 receptions on the season. That’s great for a wide receiver. He’s a running back. The Patriots are below average against the run, better against the pass. He isn’t the favorite by a big margin over say Demarco Murray, but I’ll take Forte as the best chance to eclipse the top slot in All-Purpose yards.

Justin Forsett
I mentioned Murray and I’ll have him in some spots on ScoreStreak, but I’m forever concerned with either A: the Cowboys decreasing his touches or B: Him dying because the Cowboys refused to decrease his touches. Instead I’m looking at Forsett against a Bengals team that’s seen much, much better days. My only real concern with Forsett, in terms of traditional fantasy, were the red zone carries and touchdown production. Not a worry here. He should see a majority of the Ravens’ run against a rushing defense allowing close to 150 yards per game on the ground. The last two weeks have seen him decrease his role in the passing game. That’s of some concern. But he has the ability to catch the ball out of the backfield.

Receptions

Note: Golden Tate is my top play here, but I tried to focus these plays strictly for Sunday because I think that’s when most folks will play this format. Julio Jones falls into this category as well.

Jordy Nelson
Much like Rodgers above, the only knock on Nelson this season has come from games in which the Packers were manhandling their opponents and simply didn’t need to throw the ball anymore. If you look at games in which the other team held it somewhat close, Nelson is just destroying the competition in targets and receptions. Four of his games have seen him with 12 or more targets and and he’s hit the nine reception mark all four times. This could be another one of those games against the Saints. The game total is looking to be on the high side and no other receiver gets this kind of love from his quarterback when the game is competitive. I am playing Nelson heavily in every format.

Mohamed Sanu
This feels risky after seeing him come off a week in which he only caught three passes. But he still saw nine targets and it looks like A.J. Green will sit again. The Ravens are below average against the pass and are allowing more than 270 yards per game through the air. This is a bit circumstantial, but I also believe the Bengals will be playing down in this one, forcing them to air it out. Sanu should benefit here and if you need him to hit the mid range in terms of receptions, I think he’s actually pretty safe.