Daily Fantasy College Football Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Saturday Early 10/18/14

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If you want to see how these plays and some others fit into cash game lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings you can purchase a CFB pack that includes three FanDuel lineups, three DraftKings lineups, and a cheatsheet with analysis on a variety of other plays for $5 by clicking the PayPal button below. This service is separate from our NFL projection system.

 

Quarterbacks

AJ Long - FD 5500 DK 4200
Long comes with a little built in risk. He took his first collegiate snaps last week so there is zero track record to get any type of feel where he is in his career progression. Still, at these prices the risk is somewhat mitigated. Plus, it’s Wake Forest. Long could be anything from Hero to Zero, but I think the chances of a total dud are pretty low. I’m more than willing to accept a slight miss from Long because his price allows for stronger plays in other areas. A starting QB against a team like Wake Forest (no disrespect Deacons), at this price offers safety and upside. I honestly can’t get a read if Long will be a heavy start or not, but he can be used across all formats.

Bryce Petty - FD 10500 DK 10400
On the complete other side of the spectrum, we find Bryce Petty and the Baylor Bears. Sometimes picking skill position players from offensive teams like Baylor and Oregon can be traps. They score so many points and all of their guys just ooze potential, but they usually have so many athletes that it’s easy to miss which of the skills guys is going to get the production. One thing that is a constant is the guy delivering the ball to all those athletes. Petty is the starting QB for a team that scores in buckets in a game with an 81 over/under. Let me repeat that, an 81 over/under. I don’t need to get into the stats, all you need to know is the previous; Starter, Juggernaut, Game Total. Also, thank AJ long for allowing this play.

Gunner Kiel - FD 8300 DK 7500
Cincinnati is definitely two things; Offensively proficient and defensively challenged. SMU is just challenged all together. Kiel really spreads the ball around to a plethora of receivers and I seriously doubt SMU can one of them yet alone all of them. Kiel was questionable to play last week, but was able to suit up and throw for 355 yards and 3 scores. That was against Miami so you can probably see why I like Kiel given this week’s opponent. Hopefully SMU can score a little to keep it interesting. I think they will and I think Kiel will once again throw for 3+ TD’s.
 

Running Backs

Jarvion Franklin - FD 8900
Franklin is my top big money play and my top play overall. Bowling Green has been downright giving it up on the ground and currently ranks 110th against the run. Franklin has rushed for 692 yards and a whopping 12 TD’s this year. In his games against Purdue, Ball St. and Idaho, Franklin eclipsed 150 yards rushing and scored 3 times each game. The game has an over/under of 71 so it’s expected to be a back and forth high scoring game. WMU runs a balanced offense and Franklin doesn’t give many carries away to his backups. This is all great news for Franklin. The players still need to play the game, but I think it’s safe to expect around 130yds and 2+ touchdowns.

Nick Chubb - FD 7400 DK 4600
Chubb got the start for the suspended Gurley and injured Marshall last week against Mizzu and boy did he boogie. He was at basement prices and finished with 30 fantasy pts (DK). There is a major price difference between Fanduel and DraftKings and I feel very differently about Chubb due to that difference. Look, he was great last week, but unless Missouri played one of its best defensive games (they lost 34-0), Chubb kind of struggled a little bit. It took an eye popping 42 touches to get those 30pts. That’s way too many touches to expect a repeat in volume. On DraftKings his price is low enough that he falls into must start territory, but on Fanduel you will need better efficiency or another heavy dose of volume. If you’re confident he will see the volume then run him on both sites. Arkansas sits at 38th against the run. He’s a one site play for me, but a really good site play!

B.J. Catalon - FD 5900 DK 5300
So fair warning, I have an innate ability to pick guys like Catalon, on the exact week they totally disappear. You know, these tier two guys that keep hitting their number each, but you can’t pull the trigger for one reason or the other. A career RB2 fantasy back, Catalon has had exceptional value/production most of the year and paid his number each week. He doesn’t see a ton of volume, as he’s only received more than 13 carries once this year and is averaging just 14.4 total touches per game. I guess that’s not totally awful, but what makes Catalon so effective (fantasy-wise) is how TCU uses him. They call his number quite a bit in scoring situations, evidenced by his 8 total TD’s through 5 games. He’s doing against legit opponents too! TCU’s offense is white hot and Catalon is the guy they look for when they need six. This brings me back to my point. Catalon had big games last year too, but he hasn’t produced consistent numbers like this. Now that I finally pull the trigger he’s destined for failure. I like him, I like him a lot, but you’ve been warned. Not a GPP play.
 

Wide Receivers

Antwan Goodley - FD 7800 DK 7900
Goodley was back to old form last week hauling in 8 grabs for a buck 58 and two scores. Now that’s the Antwan Goodley we became accustomed to last season. He was hampered by a nagging leg injury early in the year and it appears it just took him a couple games to get back up to speed. I know I said it can be hard to pick the right guy on teams, like Baylor, that have an excess of weapons, but there are always exceptions to the rule. Goodley is clearly the top option, and more importantly, favorite option of Heisman candidate, Bryce Petty. That’s a good thing! A couple of weeks ago, when he was under 7k, I said you needed to get while the getting was good. Well, his price is up a G, but he is still under 8k and this week’s game offers about as much scoring potential as you will see. We’re still in get while the getting is Goodley, territory.

Tony Lippett - FD 6900 DK 7400
I think I may be developing a man crush on Lippett. Considering the strength of the Spartan offense, they actually have little star power. Cook is good, not great. Langford is good, not great. Lippett may not be great, but if he isn’t then he is knocking on the door. Lippett has eight receiving touchdowns through six games, not too shabby! He has also amassed 663 receiving yards and added a lone 32-yard touchdown run week six against Nebraska. This week they take on Indiana who just lost their starting quarterback, Nate Sudfeld, to injury. I wasn’t overly worried about the blowout risk because Indiana had the ability to score on most teams, but now I’m not so sure. Going from back-up, to facing Michigan State’s 34th ranked passing defense in one week, is a tall order. Looks like another 100+ yard multi TD game for Lippett.

Darius Joseph - FD 5400 DK 4200
Joseph is not stone cold cash game play, but at these prices there is a lot to like. SMU’s offense suddenly came alive last week against East Carolina. Joseph had a 13/100/2 stat line, which is a typical SMU receiver stat line circa 2013. Last year SMU took dink and dunk to a whole other level. June Jones and his Run and Shoot offense offered sky high volume for any of their receivers. Well, they lost their QB and best WR and apparently that was a void that could not be filled because SMU opened the season in disastrous fashion. Jones resigned. The Mustangs made a QB change after week 3 and last week everything finally clicked. They could easily go right back to Suckville, but at this price Joseph shouldn’t crush you even if he does come up a little short. Oh and Cincinnati’s pass defense is the capital of Suckville. DJ gonna handle his!!!

 

Tight Ends

Maxx Williams - FD 3800 DK 3200
Williams is the Gopher’s top receiving threat, not that’s saying a whole lot. He is kind of a site specific play for since his price on Draftkings is oddly low. I'm mostly punting on Fanduel with the guys listed below. He’s not the best TE on the board, but I think he offers the best value.

Consider: Deon-Tay McManus, Cam Serigne, Jake Duzey, Zach Trujillo.

If you want to see how these plays and some others fit into cash game lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings you can purchase a CFB pack that includes three FanDuel lineups, three DraftKings lineups, and a cheatsheet with analysis on a variety of other plays for $5 by clicking the PayPal button below. This service is separate from our NFL projection system.