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featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

10/11/2014
James Davis

Sleepers - Daily Fantasy Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster for Week 6

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A peek ahead at week 6

Looking for the week 6 picks? Follow the link! I go position by position and give you whom I believe to be the best plays, dollar for dollar, for Week 6's games. This article is going to be a little bit different. Instead, I'm going to focus on particular lineup formation strategies that might help you get some separation from the field and get those value plays and sleepers that will let you spend money elsewhere while cashing in for cheap.

 

Sleepers

Weekly disclaimer:
The whole concept of a sleeper in one week fantasy football games needs to be adjusted. First of all, there's no real such thing as a "sleeper," in that you're not really going to sleep on a guy until he wakes up. What you're looking at with cheap plays are guys who are priced very reasonably who could go off if all things break right. Sniffing out the best cheap plays with upside is really the only way to have a chance in hell at taking down some of these utterly massive NFL tournaments. You'll pay up for the big names, and then hope your bargain plays pay off. That's where we come in - here are some sleepers that we love for Week 6.

Andre Williams - FD 6300 DK 5400 DD 7950 DFSTR 6200
We recommended him in the main picks article for week 6, but Andre Williams is filling in for Rashad Jennings, and predictably, the various sites don't seem to understand that a system creates a back more than a back ignites a system. Don't be discouraged by Williams' poor yards per carry - the G-men have used him frequently in short yardage situations this year - and that should turn around sooner rather than later if he's the running downs back until Jennings' return. The thing you have to like most in terms of his upside are his goal line looks. Even with Jennings playing, Andre Williams is among the league leaders with 15 red zone carries this season. Now that he's the only show in town, he could explode.

Branden Oliver - FD 6200 DK 5500 DD 9900 DFSTR 6600
Hard to call him a sleeper after last week's explosion, but his prices are still quite affordable across the industry. The Sproles comparisons stop, for me, after the number and the height, but there's still a lot to like about the Chargers' new diminutive running back. First of all, he's a lot more powerful than you might think. Second, based on Donald Brown's usage, the Chargers have an affinity for using running backs in the passing game. This is a particular strength of Oliver's. You can't ask for a much better match-up than squaring off against the hapless Raiders' defense, so you could be looking at a high start % and a big day from Oliver.

Tim Wright - FD 5200 DK 3000 DD 4000 DFSTR 3300
A lot of people are calling Tim Wright the next Aaron Hernandez, and that's probably a little premature since we don't even know if he has murdered anyone yet. Oh, you think it's a football comp? That makes a little more sense. Wright put on a delightful athletic display when he was at Rutgers, and flashed those tools by scoring 5 TDs with a mediocre Bucs offense last year. I doubt Brady is TOM BRADY based on one game, but Wright could be a very valuable asset for a team that is going to need to look beyond just Edelman and Gronkowski if it wants to be effective in the passing game. This is a true boom or bust play based on how frequently he was targeted before last game, but you have to think the Pats are motivated to build upon last game's successes.

Ronnie Hillman - FD 5900 DK 3000 DD 7100 DFSTR 4100
A lot of people are wringing their hands over who will slide into the starting role in Denver, and while I agree with our projection system that you can't necessarily count on Hillman to go off, I think Hillman is clearly the guy the Broncos prefer. He did very nicely in 15 carries (64 Yards) against a very tough Cardinals defense, and while it's not encouraging that Juwan Thompson got the inside the 10 yard line carry, I imagine Hillman will get the bulk of the workload. Jeff Legwold, ESPN's Denver beat reporter, seems to agree. It's a risk to be sure, but it's one that could pay off if (when?) the Broncos get up early.

Louis Murphy FD - 5700
Murphy is an interesting play for his price, even if he is coming off of a pretty bad week. The journeyman WR has been targeted 18 times in the last couple of weeks, and given Vincent Jackson's lack of success in reeling in his own targets, it stands to reason that Murphy could continue to see a high number of balls thrown his way. Vincent Jackson is dealing with some sore ribs as well, so keep an eye on Murphy in a game that figures to have the Bucs playing some serious catch-up.

Allen Robinson - FD 5400 DK 3700 DD 8400 DFSTR 4500
We listed Robinson as a sleeper in the week 5 sleepers article, and he was targeted a team-high 11 times. He only turned those targets into 5 catches for 54 yards, but as he and Bortles get more comfortable, one has to assume that he'll have games significantly better than that. Tennessee is a below average passing defense this year, and you could certainly do a lot worse on bare minimum prices, especially as other previous guys from this article (Kendall Wright, Brian Quick, etc) get more and more expensive.

Andre Holmes - FD 4700 DK 3000 DD 8750 DFSTR 3600

Well, someone has to emerge as the Raiders' WR1, right? Holmes reeled in 5 balls on a huge 12 targets last week, including a touch down. Getting a guy for these ridiculously low prices that is even capable of the game he had last week is a serious steal. Obviously there's no track record here whatsoever, but he was on the field for 62 of his team's 67 snaps last week, so it sure doesn't look fluky from here.

Andrew Hawkins - FD 5300 DK 4600 DD 9150 DFSTR 5000
Hawkins disappointed fantasy owners last week with just 3 catches for 27 yards, but he's still averaging double digit targets and is the Browns leading target-receiver. You're getting a guy at bare-bones prices who is on pace for 1,000 yards, and when he inevitably puts together a 100 yards 1 touchdown game he'll start showing up on the Fantasy Focus or wherever else and his price will climb to the mid $6,000s on Fanduel and high $4,000s on DK. I don't find Jordan Cameron's return to health worrisome at all - in fact, I think it will actually free Hawkins up a little bit more when opposing defenses have something else to worry about. The Steelers have been basically league average against the pass this year, and I think this could be the week he puts it all together.

Mohamed Sanu - FD 6000 DK 5300 DD 10300 DFSTR 4500
With AJ Green being carted off the field during Wednesday's practice, I love the emerging Sanu as a relatively cheap option for week 6. In the past two weeks he's caught 10 balls on 17 targets for 117 yards and a touchdown, and he's the heavy favorite to receive the bulk of the work left behind by AJ Green. Carolina has been the 19th most generous passing defense this year, and we could see Sanu's prices jump by 10% after a breakout in week 6.

 
Give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr and @dougnorrie.

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Thanks, and good luck!

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