Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster 9/14/14

Evan Gattis - FD 2800 DK 4000 DD 8250 DFSTR 4000
Gattis is really more of a lefty killer, but there's just something so alluring about lining up against Meatball Lewis in Texas. This is one of those picks that could absolutely go busto, but if it does pay off, it could pay off huge.

Miguel Montero - FD 2200 DK 3100 DD 7500 DFSTR 3000
It's going to be really hard to look away from Montero today, as he'll be facing a right handed pitcher with 57 Ks and 28 BBs in 83 IP this year. Montero is a minimum salary play on FanDuel, and he's got a .756 OPS against righties this year. I just don't get the pricing.

Yadier Molina - FD 2500 DK 3500 DD 7750 DFSTR 3000
Another guy you barely have to pay for facing a below league average pitcher. With some of the bigger bats at the position going up against dynamite pitching, going safe and cheap could be the way to zig today.

First Basemen

Freddie Freeman - FD 3400 DK 4700 DD 10500 DFSTR 6100
Colby Lewis has allowed a ridiculous .387 wOBA to opposing lefties this year, and Freddie Freeman is not your run of the mill opposing lefty. In the Texas heat, Freeman and the Braves are fixing to have a huge outing against him, and Freeman is as big a threat as anyone to put a huge night up.

Jose Abreu - FD 3500 DK 4800 DD 11050 DFSTR 3000
Trevor May has been simply awful this year, with 24 Ks and 19 BBs in 29 IP. And a 8.38 ERA! Abreu, while he prefers lefties, still has an incredible .950+ OPS against right handed pitching. It's tough to get more upside in play at the first base position today.

The rest:
The top two guys have such insane match ups that I won't be deviating from them today, but if you must, our projection system thinks you could theoretically plug in Mark Teixeira (at your own risk!), or invest a lot in Miguel Cabrera.

Second Basemen

Dee Gordon - FD 3100 DK 4100 DD 8650 DFSTR 5200
If electric upside is what you're after, why look further than Dee Gordon? Sure, Yusmeiro Petit is having a great season, but at the 2nd base position, you just aren't going to find a guy who can light up a fantasy stat sheet the way Gordon can. While steals aren't as big a deal as home runs, he just has so darned many of them that he can send your score soaring by getting on base one time.

Brian Dozier - FD 3200 DK 4400 DD 9000 DFSTR 3000
He's certainly slowed down from his hero's pace earlier this season, but the price has dropped to where the Twins 2b is a great bargain. He brings true upside that's rare for the position (a 20/20 guy so far), and Hector Noesi has been a punching bag all season as far as our projection system is concerned.

Ian Kinsler - FD 3200 DK 4300 DD 8800 DFSTR 3800
On a day where our projection system thinks the Tigers are going to mop up Trevor Bauer and the Indians, it could behoove you to throw their second baseman into the fray. Kinsler is basically a poor man's Dozier with a better batting average at this point in his career, but that's actually a pretty nice player when you consider the guy he'll be facing and the lineup in which he hits.

Shortstops

Elvis Andrus - FD 2200 DK 3600 DD 7350 DFSTR 3200
Andrus' game last night is basically exactly what you're hoping for from a position that generally sucks on a night in, night out basis. A hit, a run, a steal, and the chance RBI. I'm not saying you can pencil him in for that every night, but on these ridiculously low salaries, there's almost no risk in taking a guy who bats 2nd in a great lineup.

Ian Desmond - FD 3200 DK 3900 DD 8650 DFSTR 4900
After a monster game last night, Desmond continues to show why he's one of the most rewarding/maddening players in all of daily fantasy baseball. With 22 homers, 19 steals, and a 29% strike out rate, you honestly never know what you'll get. But when the getting is good, the getting is good. And the getting has been great against left handers this year - he's posted an OPS .104 points higher against south paws. Niese is no slouch, but this could be another huge night.

Jose Reyes - FD 3200 DK 4600 DD 8800 DFSTR 4000
Well, the last time I recommended Reyes it jinxed the whole Blue Jays into getting destroyed by a terrible pitcher. So why am I recommending him against an actual good pitcher, you ask? Basically, it's because the rest of the short stops are so awful. For all of his old age, the Jays' short stop has still put up 9 homers and 26 steals this season, and while Archer is a nice pitcher, he's hardly overpowering.

Third Basemen

Nolan Arenado - FD 3700 DK 4300 DD 10000 DFSTR 7500
It's been a fantastic year for Arenado no matter how you cut it, but he's really shined against left handed pitching. With a .321 batting average against southpaws this year, he's been an incredibly tough out, and Marco Gonzales with his 18 Ks against 15 BBs is essentially the ideal match up.

Evan Longoria - FD 3300 DK 4700 DD 9750 DFSTR 6600
A woeful year for Longoria, but his .850 OPS against lefties is still respectable, and our projection system likes him for a lot more against Buehrle. While Buehrle has grudgingly been solid in terms of run prevention this year, his pitch to contact approach is exactly what Longoria needs to get on track. If strike outs are ruled out, that means Longoria's high effort swing could produce a huge night.

Conor Gillaspie - FD 2400 DK 3500 DD 6950 DFSTR 3400
The White Sox lefty is a platoon specialist, there's no doubt, but on bargain basement prices, the guy can really rake against a right handed pitcher. And when that pitcher is the hapless Trevor May? Really, anything is in play.

Also considered: Todd Frazier, Adrian Beltre

Outfielders

Michael Cuddyer - FD 3100 DK 4100 DD 10550 DFSTR 8200
Cuddyer is back from injury, and nothing has changed about his mashing abilities. The old man has a .567 wOBA against lefties this year - that would make Barry Bonds blush - and has shown no signs of having lost a step since returning. Marco Gonzales seems to be unready for the majors. Terrific play.

Jason Heyward - FD 3600 DK 4400 DD 8900 DFSTR 5400
Heyward remains a very solid option against right handed pitching (a .309 BA and an .838 OPS) in spite of his woes against lefties. And Colby Lewis just can't seem to do a single thing against lefties. You've got to pay for him, but when Heyward is seeing the ball, he can put up huge numbers.

Billy Hamilton - FD 2700 DK 4200 DD 7300 DFSTR 3000
It's been a serious drought for Hamilton, but the pricing hate has gone way too far. All he needs to do is beat out a couple of hits to put up a monster night, and while Garza is fine, I don't see him overpowering Hamilton to the point where you can't justify him and then some at these prices.

Andrew McCutchen - FD 4200 DK 5500 DD 11900 DFSTR 9900
Poor Jacob Turner. It just hasn't been his year. With just 65 Ks in 98 innings and an ERA north of 5, I imagine he's ready for the season to be over. Well, I've got bad news for you, Jake. You have to face Andrew McCutchen. Wishing you all the best, man, but it's not looking great.

Jacoby Ellsbury - FD 3900 DK 4700 DD 9400 DFSTR 5700
Ellsbury has amassed 15 homers and 39 steals this year, putting him in the very top tier of outfielders when it comes to producing upside for his owners. Tillman is a better than league average pitcher at this point, but he's basically a pitch to contact guy, and that suits Ellsbury's approach just fine.

Also considered: Yoenis Cespedes, Coco Crisp, Jay Bruce

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