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Giancarlo Stanton
No surprise here really. Stanton's having an incredible season posting a .970 OPS and that .267 ISO remains one of the elite numbers in the whole game. One of the big breakthroughs for him this year is his success against righty pitching as his 153 wRC+ and .395 wOBA show a dude seeing things pretty well in that side of the split. He's playing in Coors which as we all know has paper thin air and allows balls to travel out with alarming regularity. Don't like him as much as yesterday, but he's still the total bases favorite in the evening slate.
Marcel Ozuna
Digging a little deeper here. Of would have been had he not put on a show last night in Coors. He won some folks (us) some cash for sure as his eighth inning grand slam really sealed the deal. I'm will to buy him for total bases again even on the wrong side of his split because the ballpark just boosts everything everywhere. Jordan Lyles isn't as trashy as Franklin Morales, and does generate some groundballs. But overall this is a good place to keep targeting Coors.
Ben Revere
Very quietly Ben Revere has amasses one million hits this season. He's among the league leaders in the category thanks to a low K rate and and even lower walk rate. This guy hates free things and walks only 2% of his at bats. You won't see many hitters with a number that low. His contact rate and speed is in play here against Shelby Miller who's been a little bit of trash this season. He can't strike anyone out and really struggles with control. I like Revere from the leadoff spot and think he has a chance to collect multiple hits in this one.
Shin-Soo Choo
Another leadoff hitter, this one with a very different profile. Choo has struggled with injuries this season that has led to a decline in most of his raw numbers. But he is still getting his bat on the ball and collecting hits from this spot. Jeremy Guthrie's profile rates perfectly for this situation as he's always pitched to contact and just been a below average pitcher over the long term. Choo is off many a radar for being considered a disappointment but this is a fine place to slot him in for a hit.
Zack Greinke
Though the elbow seems to a bit of a concern, it isn't enough to force a DL stint and I trust that teams know more about this stuff than the common man (you, not me, I'm extraordinary). If a guy takes the mound I have to assume he's healthy and I'm going to play him. Greinke's been excellent this season posting a sub 3 xFIP along with a K rate more than a batter an inning. The Mets are a bottom-feeding offense against righties and really struggle in the power department. This decreases their chances at big innings and keeps starters in the game longer. I don't know if I see him hitting 9 K's, but 7 is completely reasonable.
Dany Salazar
The evening slate of games isn't rife with pitching so you are going to need to take some risks. Salazar is one of those guys. There's a decent chance he gets blown up, but this guy racks up strike outs early and often even in his worst starts. The Astros strike out more than 23% of the time against righties (second most in the league) and Salazar only needs to hang in this one a little to have a chance of getting to at least 6 K's.
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