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David Ortiz
Been some time since I put Papi out there but today seems like as good a day as any. He's struggled a bit this season thanks in part to a much lower Babip than his historical averages. This has driven down his triple slash line. It isn't the only problem, but it's worth mentioning. Today he faces average dude Mike Leake in a decidedly hitter's park. I'm buying on Papi for the first time in a while and think he offers some nice total bases upside in the early slate.
Jay Bruce
Going a little off board today, but since I focused on the early slate with Papi, I'll give you another guy you can pair with him during the early PM games. Bruce has struggled this season, but he faces low K, middling prospect Anthony Raunaudo. This is a solid spot for Bruce, hitting at the top of the lineup in a matchup that downgrades his chances at K-ing repeatedly. Looking for a little separation from the field with this pick and I think the upside is there.
Jose Altuve
I don't want to get in the habit of picking him every single day, but sometimes that kind of repetition is warranted. Such is the case with Altuve who is just have a crazy good season. his contact rate is awesome, he rarely walks and today the stars align as he faces a pitcher in Kyle Gibson who doesn't strike anyone out. The latter consideration is especially important as whatever happens with Altuve today, it's as heavy a favorite as you'll see to at least have the ball in play four times.
Victor Martinez
Another dude I throw out there on the regular. And why not? He's so tough for righties to strike out with a 7% K% in that split this season. That number is kind of dumb how low it is and Vance Worley doesn't exactly dial up the heat. V-Mart is another guy we can almost definitely take to the bank on having his bat on the ball four or so times today and that's all you can ask for in this format.
Hyun-Jin Ryu
Tough day to chase K's. This pick is risky for a couple of reasons. One: Ryu isn't a big strikeout by nature (or by nurture, whichever you subscribe to) putting down less than eight batters per nine. And the Braves rank in the top third of the league against lefty pitching. So Ryu might not be around too, too long. But Atlanta also K's almost 25% of the time against southpaws so Ryu may only need a limited run to hit the six or seven K mark. On a day without any real power arms going this is a guy to take a shot on.
Jordan Zimmermann
Our system isn't crazy high on him which is more than a little surprising. But he face a bottom-feeding Mets squad that strikes out about 24% of the time against righties. Zimmerman's had pinpoint control this year striking out 8.62 batters per nine and walking less than 2. That kind of efficiency should serve him well against the Mets today.
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