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There is a tight grouping of guys in our system today. Hard to pick the top guy.
Nelson Cruz
If you're young, you might not realize that some fringe contingents used to think that JA Happ was going to be a good pitcher. Those days are long gone, and much to his dismay he'll have to see Nelson Cruz step into the batter's box today. Cruz has posted a .983 OPS vs. all left handed pitchers this year, and that includes actual good ones. Easy call for me for the top spot for total bases.
Justin Morneau
A lot to love about Morneau today. He's a sneaky candidate for guys who don't work or strike out - just 17% of his at bats end without a ball in play - and that number rates to be even better against the pitch-to-contact Hendricks. It's really the perfect scenario for a hits play, all things considered.
Miguel Cabrera
Our projection system simply doesn't think Shane Greene can hold Cabrera off base in this one. Probably not much else that needs to be said.
No recommendation for the top slot today. I'll be offering picks for the 7 K and 6 K slots, and going for a homerun with someone yet to be determine in the top slot.
Jon Lester
Lester is the top strike out play by some distance today, and it basically comes down to this: Lester can go deep into games, and the Twins are the 7th easiest team in the majors to strike out. We good? Good.
Homer Bailey
Woof. It's not a great day for strike outs, guys. Bailey edges out a fairly mediocre class today simply on the hope that he can go deep into the game and gather some Ks by attrition. He's averaged more than 7 innings per start since June 29th, which is a heck of a better resume than a lot of guys who are going today.
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