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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

08/03/2014
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 8/4/14

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Total Bases

Miguel Cabrera
Feels like I’ve been putting here everyday, but that’s what happens when one of the best hitters in the league heads to one of the best hitter’s parks in all of baseball. Yankee Stadium boosts power to righty bats. And though Brandon McCarthy’s been no slouch this season, Miggy’s platoon splits don’t give him a downgrade against the righty arm. This short slate is a dicey one. Best to default to the best bats and move on.

Jose Abreu
Speaking of defaulting to the best bats, Abreu is a monster. And that monster faces Nick Martinez, an arm so bad he’d be in the minors on almost any other team. Martinez strikes out less than four batters per nine and walks more. He’s garbage. Abreu meanwhile has been one of the best hitters in baseball in that platoon split. Even accounting for the unsustainable 30% Hr/FB ratio, he’s still a rockstar. His power will regress a bit as some of those flyballs turn into outs. But even with that in mind I’d target him against Martinez.

 

Hits

Adam Eaton
Connor Gillaspie
Speaking of how bad Nick Martinez is, these two dudes will be at the top of my hits category today. Neither walks too much and their strikeout rates, while in the mid teens, shouldn’t factor in at all today against Martinez who couldn’t strike out my daughter. (She’s so short the strike zone would be nearly impossible to hit, not because she’s any good). If you are looking for players with high contact expectations these are two places to start. Both hit righties well (Gillaspie especially this season) and operate near the top of the lineup. Lots of my money getting in on the Chi-Sox today.

 

Strikeouts

Corey Kluber
Holy mackerel is today tough with strikeouts. There are some big arms going, but all are facing tougher teams who don’t strike out to any great degree. It’s a mess out there. Not only do I not feel confident about the nine K slot from anyone, even the seven slot has me nervous. I think Kluber is the safest bet to finish near the top in K’s. He faces a weaker Reds team that ranks near the bottom of the league in team wOBA. Kluber’s K/9 is solid and he limits the walks allowing him to go deeper in games. Tough day all around, but I think this is someone I’ll put in the seven slot.

Max Scherzer
Kind of just have to do this play even though the Yankees have one of the lowest strikeout rates in the league against righty pitching. Scherzer makes up for is but K-ing 10.29 batters per nine, one of the highest in the league. He’ll end up somewhere in the six range would be my guess though.

 

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