Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/29/14

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Total Bases

Mike Trout
Going the best player in baseball against a middling pitcher. Trout is a generational talent. That we already know. His OPS is close to 1.000 and he's good enough on even the reverse side of the split that I don't worry about the righty-righty matchup. Tillman sucks. He's struggling this season with a 5.70 K/9 and xFIP in the mid 4's. Trout is basically a baseball God dressed in a mortal's uniform.

Corey Dickerson
Wondering where he ranks in terms of qualified batters against righty pitching this season? Number one with a 1.032 OPS. Even with an inflated Babip, that number is no joke and outranks a bunch of other guys you'd label as "superstars". He's having an incredible season, no way about it. Today he faces off against Edwin Jackson who has a tendency to get bombed all over the ballpark.

Hits

Jacoby Ellsbury
Our system has loved him all season long and while I think his outward projections are a little inflated, there's no denying that his stock today should be considerably higher than normal. Nick Martinez is total trash and yes, I know he held the Yankees scoreless last time around. It was an aberration. Martinez K's less the four batters per nine and walks the same amount. His xFIP is in the high fives. I'm all over this play.

Ben Revere
Not a guy I've ever played before, but our system likes him today against Dillon Gee. Revere has two specific things going for him in this format. He never ever walks. And he rarely strikes out. Both of these outcomes combines to about 10% of his at bats. That means the other 90% of the time the ball is getting put in play. That's exactly what we are looking for when we can get paid just on hits.

Strikeouts

Stephen Strasburg
Going for nine K's here without even thinking twice about it. I'll be talking more about Strasburg in our other picks today, but he makes a sensational start against the Marlins who were born to K. They strike out as a team around 24% of the time against righties and Stras is racking up swings in misses in big numbers this season. The ballpark helps him in Miami even if he's better at home. I love this play today and am rarely feeling confident about a guy putting up a huge K total. But tonight is one of those nights.

Jeff Samardzija
The Astros, like the Marlins, also strike out nearly a quarter of the time against righties. The difference between them is the Marlins hit home runs when they aren't going down on strikes. The Astros? Not so much. Their team wOBA is near the bottom of the league and Samardzija is averaging about eight K's per nine. He should be able to stick around long enough in this one to hit seven K's.