Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/28/14

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Total Bases

Adrian Beltre
I’m not a huge fan of playing Beltre against righties but on such a short slate with so many big hitters either off for the day or hurt. But Beltre has been serviceable on this side of the split this season with an OPS in the mid .800’s and a 134 wRC+. That’s good enough for me against David Phelps, a league average pitcher at best. The one thing concerning me about this play is Phelps’ BB rate is a little higher than I’d like from an opponent in this format. More walks means less chances to hit. But overall, with the margins thin today you can use Beltre in this format.

Todd Frazier
I’m nearly positive this will be the first and last time I recommend this guy. But like I said, today’s slate is about as tough as it’ll ever get from an offensive perspective. Frazier is on the wrong side of the platoon splits, but he’s fine against righties, stronger this season than in years past. I like him in a hitter’s park against Chase Anderson.

Hits

Pablo Sandoval
Big Panda doesn’t walk a whole bunch and keeps the strikeouts on the lower side against righties which has me considering him for the total hits category today. The big upshot for Sandoval in this format is that Vance Worley has a relatively low K rate combined with a crazy low BB rate. These two stats point to Panda getting his bat on the ball enough to at least raise the hits expectation.

Starlin Castro
Really digging deep on this one. But Castro, hitting in the middle of the order and being slightly better on the lefty side of his platoon split is a guy who could scratch out a hit or two today. Yohan Flande stinks and doesn’t strike anyone out. So Castro has that going for him as well. Man today is tough.

Strikeouts

Madison Bumgarner
Things are a little clearer on the pitching side of things. Bumgarner makes a strong pitching play against the Twins today. Minnesota struggles against lefty pitching with a 21.4% strikeout rate and a team wOBA ranking in the bottom third of the league. I think for today I’ll have these two pitchers going in the seven and six K spots for safety. Bumgarner K’s exactly a batter an inning and should be able to go deeper into the game against this squad. Correction: Bumgarner is against the Pirates, which only makes him a better play. Correction: Bumgarner is against the Pirates, which only makes him a better play. 

Yu Darvish
Do I need to explain him to you? Darvish strikes out more than 11 batters per nine which is about as good as you’ll see in the majors. He does walk a few more batters than I’d like and the Yankees, as a team, aren’t prone to a ton of K’s. I think those two factors limit his ultimate upside and he’ll need to be pretty on point to crest nine K’s today. But Yu’s Yu. And I don’t see how you’d fade him across the slate.