Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/25/14

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Total Bases

Andrew McCutchen
Why get crazy here right? All of the stars are aligned for this guy to have a huge game and there aren't even any salary cap issues to worry about here. He's facing a lefty in Coors and that's pretty much all you need to know. But if you feel like you need to know a little more, know this: McCutch is OPS'ing over 1.000 against lefties this season and Brett Anderson is a dude who pitches to contact. This can be a poison pill in Colorado and McCutchen is in such a great spot. Anderson strikes out less than six batters per nine and has an xFIP near four. Why think too hard about this one?

Mike Trout
Speaking of guys who destroy lefties. Have you heard of Michael Nelson Trout? He's pretty good on this side of the platoon split. His 187 wRC+ and .438 wOBA against southpaws is something we dream about in situations like this: facing the Drew Smyly's of the world. Smyly's xFIP is over four and though he can strike some ("some" being the operative word) batters out, this is still Trout we are talking about.

Hits

Jose Altuve
If you play anyone else in the top hitters spot, you are simply doing it wrong. Altuve is a hit machine. He never strikes out. Walks even less and is having a fantastic season. He's among the best hitters in the league against lefty pitching with an OPS in the mid .900's thanks in part to a high Babip, but also due to a career platoon split that much favors facing lefties. Oh, and good news: Brad Hand stinks.

Howie Kendrick
Another guy I'll be targeting against Smyly, Kendrick profiles different than Trout (duh) but makes an advantageous play on this side of the split. His 143 wRC+ against lefties is thanks in large part to his LD% against lefties, a contact rate that plays perfectly to this style of DFS play. Should be able to eek out a hit at least right? I'm putting money on it.

Strikeouts

Felix Hernandez
Not much surprise here. King Felix is about as good as it gets by any metric you fancy. His xFIP is in the mid 2's, trailing his ERA by about a half run. The matchup against the Orioles is less than ideal, but I think he overcomes many a matchup on his skill set. One big piece of upside I like for Felix (and it holds true for David Price as well) is that because the peripherals are solid in his K:BB, he is able to go late into games increasing the upside for K's. Limiting walks does that and keeps the pitch counts low.

Alex Wood
Look, the other obvious guy here is Price, and I think you'll see he and Felix up and down the K's slots today. I wouldn't fade Price, though I don't like him as much as Hernandez. But Alex Wood is the other guy in the mix. He is striking out nearly a batter an inning and gets to face a little team called the Padres. The Dads strike out 23% of the time against lefties and are basically that team you used to play in little league when the dad coach just screwed up the draft real bad. Wood should be in one of your slots today as I think he can get to six K's rather easily.