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These two guys are about as easy as it gets for your top two spots today.
Mike Trout
Is facing a lefty in Saunders that has some pretty awful peripherals. Dude strikes out barely five batters per nine and has an xFIP in the mid fours. Trout is Trout, a guy with tremendous power and speed who against almost anyone is a favorite in the total bases category on a given night. He is actually platoon neutral but neutral only applies to his own range in splits because he destroys everyone without favor. The top play today and will most likely be in the majority of your opponents' TB spots today.
Ryan Braun
Not too far behind Trout today but for slightly different reasons. Braun is facing a righty in Christian Bergmann who actually has similar strikeout rates to Saunders above. Bergmann though doesn't walk anyone which helps Braun's case in putting the ball in play. And once that ball's in play the Mile High air should take over. Obviously batters get big bumps in our system when they touch down in Denver. Braun is no exception and the park factors help bring his raw numbers up to make up for the platoon split drop off. It all points to him being a great play in total bases today.
You are about to get further education into just how much our system hates Joe Saunders.
Howie Kendrick
Erick Aybar
I have never listed two guys from the same team together in the same category before lest anyone thinks this is some kind of copout. It's not. It's just that the Halos as a whole should be able to get to Saunders early and often. Both of these guys have similar batted ball profiles. They like to make contact, rarely walk and the ball is in play off their bats. When we are looking to pile on hits, that is exactly what we are looking for. Either of these guys could go into your two hit spot and I think you'd feel good about it. What I love about them is that they aren't necessarily household fantasy names meaning by playing them you stand to grab a little contrarian value in a model that really benefits going off board in the higher point categories.
Stephen Strasburg
As I wrote in our daily picks article, this is really the perfect storm for Strasburg. He pitches at home where he's been light years better over his career. He is facing the swing happy Braves team that ranks near the bottom of the league against righties in every relevant hitting category. And he's been nails this season, posting some of his best numbers yet. Shoot for the moon with 9K's here. Not a place to fade him at all.
David Price
This guy is having such a weird season. He's basically become a two true outcomes pitcher. He seems to either strike a guy out or allow a home run to him. Of course that's an overstatement but not by much. Price has an insane 12:1 K:BB rate. Without looking it up, I'd say that would stand to be among the best ever for that stat. The problem is the long ball. But we don't care about that in this format. Price is awesome in terms of raw K's because he can go so late in games, even ones he's given up runs in because the lack of walks keep his pitch counts low. Stras and Price should be in your top two spots without hesitation.
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