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Total Bases

Adrian Gonzalez
Our system really likes him still in Coors. What a surprise. Some of the other big pats like Trout, Miggy and Papi have tough matchups today so I'm avoiding them. Gonzo gets a crappy Jhoulys Chacin in the best ballpark ever created for hitters. He's on the right side of his platoon split and though there have been some power issues lately, he still rates out as our top total bases play factored for matchup.

Jay Bruce
Weird name right? Don't let it be. Bruce is in an awesome spot today to put up some stats. He faces a righty in Roberto Hernandez who's a little smoke and mirrors-y. Bruce has struck out a little more than I'd like to see, but I love that he's in a hitter's ballpark against a weaker arm. He is about .100 OPS points better against this side of the split. Honestly, not a name I'd have really considered actively, but our projections have him right near the top.

Hits

Michael Brantley
Plain and simple, dude just puts his bat on the ball. When we are looking to rack up hit totals this is a fantastic consideration. Brantley doesn't like to walk and he doesn't like to strikeout. He likes to swing and make contact. He's having a great season with 70 hits already, and it doesn't look too Babip-fueled. Nick Tepesch doesn't have big K stuff either which has me super encouraged about Brantley's chances of gutting out a few hits.

Starlin Castro
Another guy, like Brantley, who doesn't enjoy walking too much. He wants his bat on the ball. K's a little more than MB but not at a rate that'll crush the expectation. Castro doesn't have much power, but the speed is there (sort of) to allow him chances at reaching base on hits. I am no believer in Randy Wolf and like Starlin in this spot. Another guy who will not be a heavy play because of name, but for sure rates out as a dude with a high expectation of grabbing you some points in this category.

Strikeouts

As I said in our daily picks article, today is a tough day for ace-type pitchers. Many of them are facing some strong offenses which I think will limit their upside considerably. Not that you should completely avoid some of these guys, but be wary.

Max Scherzer
I like Scherzer against the Red Sox today, a team that actually ranks pretty low in the league against righties. Power is a big issue for the Sox, especially near the bottom of the lineup. This helps pitchers extend their outings as they aren't faced with balls flying over the fences. The Sox also strikeout a fair amount against righties and Scherzer is a big time K guy. His numbers are right in line with his Cy Young season last year and I like his chances of racking them up today. I don't know if I'd put him in my 9K slot only because that's a real push for the upside. Play it safe, put him in seven and swing for the fences with one of the other big arms.

Jeff Samardzija
The Marlins K a ton. Sure they can hit righty pitching. But it comes at the expense of swinging for the fences. Their 23.4% K% is among the worst in the league and they generate a ton of outs that way. The Marlins are like the Braves in this way. They can hit, but they also go down swinging. Samardzija doesn't need to go late into this game to hit one of the strikeout markers today on ScoreStreak. I think he'll be off of people's radars and offers a chance for you to pick up some points when one of the big arms struggles in his outing.